K
Kuressaare
Home
L
D
W
D
W
2W 2D 6L
▼ Declining
VS
—
5:00 pm
—
Kuressaare Linnastaadion (Kuressaare)
F
Flora
Away
W
L
W
L
W
8W 0D 2L
→ Steady
Kuressaare
20%
Draw
30%
Flora
50%
H Fair Odds
5
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
2
Implied Prob
76.9%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-8.9%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
0
Kuressaare
1
Draws
9
Flora
10
Meetings
3.5
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Flora won 9 of 10 meetings.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Kuressaare
Metric
Flora
0.8
Goals For / Game
2.5
1.3
Goals Against / Game
0.8
10%
Clean Sheets
50%
2-2-6
W — D — L
8-0-2
Win Rate
2.7
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
K0
0-0
6.7%
0-1
12.8%
0-2
12.1%
0-3
7.7%
0-4
3.7%
0-5
1.4%
K1
1-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
1-3
6.2%
1-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
K2
2-0
2.2%
2-1
4.1%
2-2
3.9%
2-3
2.5%
2-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
K3
3-0
0.6%
3-1
1.1%
3-2
1.0%
3-3
0.7%
3-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
K4
4-0
0.1%
4-1
0.2%
4-2
0.2%
4-3
0.1%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
K5
5-0
0.0%
5-1
0.0%
5-2
0.0%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
0-1(12.8%)
0-2(12.1%)
1-2(9.7%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
K=Home goals ↓ F=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Kuressaare Win
5
20%
Draw
3.33
30%
Flora Win
2
50%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
9%
Home Win & BTTS No
9%
Draw & BTTS Yes
5%
Draw & BTTS No
5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
37%
Away Win & BTTS No
37%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
11%
Home Win & Under 2.5
7%
Draw & Over 2.5
5%
Draw & Under 2.5
4%
Away Win & Over 2.5
44%
Away Win & Under 2.5
29%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Flora2
Kuressaare1
Flora2
Kuressaare0
Kuressaare1
Flora2
Kuressaare1
Flora3
Flora5
Kuressaare0
Flora3
Kuressaare0
Kuressaare3
Flora4
Flora1
Kuressaare0
Kuressaare2
Flora2
Flora3
Kuressaare0
Recent Form
Kuressaare
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Kuressaare0
Kuressaare0
Narva0
Harju JK Laagri2
Kuressaare3
Paide1
Kuressaare1
Kuressaare2
Nomme Utd1
Kuressaare0
Kalju2
Tammeka1
Kuressaare0
Kuressaare1
Levadia2
Nomme Utd2
Kuressaare1
Kuressaare0
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Flora
Levadia1
Flora2
Flora1
Paide2
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Flora2
Flora1
Levadia3
Nomme Utd0
Flora4
Paide1
Flora5
Narva0
Flora3
Kalju0
Flora1
Flora1
Narva0
Flora5
Harju JK Laagri0
Kuressaare (Home)
Kuressaare0
Narva0
Kuressaare2
Nomme Utd1
Kuressaare0
Kalju2
Kuressaare1
Levadia2
Kuressaare0
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Kuressaare3
Harju JK Laagri2
Kuressaare0
Paide1
Kuressaare3
Tammeka2
Kuressaare2
Narva2
Kuressaare2
Tallinna Kalev0
Flora (Away)
Levadia1
Flora2
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Flora2
Nomme Utd0
Flora4
Paide1
Flora5
Narva0
Flora3
Kalju0
Flora1
Paide1
Flora2
Levadia4
Flora0
Tammeka3
Flora1
Harju JK Laagri2
Flora0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Saturday, 7th February 2026, Kuressaare host Flora at Kuressaare Linnastaadion (Kuressaare) in Estonia Meistriliiga. We recommend Flora to win as the standout selection.
Kuressaare arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Flora are travelling well, with a record of 8W 0D 2L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Kuressaare, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Flora's 9, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.
Our verdict: flora to win at odds of 1.30 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Estonia Meistriliiga match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 2 at @1.30, sitting at roughly 80% in our model. The match gets going at 5:00 pm over at Kuressaare Linnastaadion (Kuressaare).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kuressaare vs Flora?
Our selection is 2 — Flora to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Kuressaare's current form?
Kuressaare have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Flora been performing recently?
Flora have recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Kuressaare lead with 0 wins versus Flora's 9, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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