WON
Tip WON
AC Oulu 2-1 Mariehamn
A
AC Oulu
Home
D
W
W
W
L
5W 1D 4L
→ Steady
VS
2-1
M
Mariehamn
Away
L
L
L
L
D
2W 2D 6L
→ Steady
AC Oulu
50%
Draw
30%
Mariehamn
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
77.5%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-27.5%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — AC Oulu to win
1.29
BTTS — No65%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
AC Oulu vs Mariehamn
Competition: Finland Veikkausliiga
Date: Thursday, 18th June 2026
Pick: 1 (AC Oulu to win)
Odds: 1.29
Confidence: 50%
Also: BTTS — No (65%)
Head to Head
Record
5
AC Oulu
1
Draws
4
Mariehamn
10
Meetings
3.1
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Neutral
AC Oulu won 5 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
AC Oulu
Metric
Mariehamn
1.1
Goals For / Game
0.7
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.3
50%
Clean Sheets
10%
5-1-4
W — D — L
2-2-6
Win Rate
2
Avg Goals
55%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
A0
0-0
13.5%
0-1
10.8%
0-2
4.3%
0-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
0-5
0.0%
A1
1-0
16.2%
1-1
13.0%
1-2
5.2%
1-3
1.4%
1-4
0.3%
1-5
0.0%
A2
2-0
9.7%
2-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
2-5
0.0%
A3
3-0
3.9%
3-1
3.1%
3-2
1.3%
3-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
3-5
0.0%
A4
4-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
4-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
A5
5-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(16.2%)
2-0(9.7%)
2-1(7.8%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
A=Home goals ↓ M=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
AC Oulu Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Mariehamn Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
21%
Home Win & BTTS No
38%
Draw & BTTS Yes
6%
Draw & BTTS No
12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
8%
Away Win & BTTS No
15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
24%
Home Win & Under 2.5
35%
Draw & Over 2.5
7%
Draw & Under 2.5
11%
Away Win & Over 2.5
9%
Away Win & Under 2.5
14%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Mariehamn2
AC Oulu0
Mariehamn0
AC Oulu1
AC Oulu0
Mariehamn1
AC Oulu1
Mariehamn2
Mariehamn2
AC Oulu1
AC Oulu1
Mariehamn1
AC Oulu3
Mariehamn2
Mariehamn1
AC Oulu2
AC Oulu3
Mariehamn2
Mariehamn2
AC Oulu4
Recent Form
AC Oulu
Inter Turku0
AC Oulu0
AC Oulu2
Jaro1
SJK0
AC Oulu1
AC Oulu1
TPS0
Ilves1
AC Oulu0
AC Oulu2
KuPS0
Lahti2
AC Oulu1
KuPS3
AC Oulu2
AC Oulu1
VPS0
AC Oulu1
Jaro2
Mariehamn
Mariehamn0
Gnistan3
HJK1
Mariehamn0
Mariehamn0
Lahti1
Jaro3
Mariehamn0
Mariehamn1
KuPS1
Mariehamn3
PuiU0
Lahti1
Mariehamn1
Mariehamn0
VPS1
HPS1
Mariehamn2
Inter Turku1
Mariehamn0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Thursday, 18th June 2026, AC Oulu host Mariehamn in Finland Veikkausliiga. We recommend AC Oulu to win as the standout selection.
AC Oulu arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Mariehamn are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 2D 6L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour AC Oulu, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Mariehamn's 4, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.
Our verdict: ac oulu to win at odds of 1.29 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Finland Veikkausliiga match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.
Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.
Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.
On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.
Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.29. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for AC Oulu vs Mariehamn?
Our selection is 1 — AC Oulu to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is AC Oulu's current form?
AC Oulu have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Mariehamn been performing recently?
Mariehamn have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
AC Oulu lead with 5 wins versus Mariehamn's 4, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
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