LOST
Tip LOST
Hammarby TFF 1-1 Jarfalla
H
Hammarby TFF
Home
W
W
L
W
W
8W 1D 1L
โผ Declining
VS
1-1
J
Jarfalla
Away
L
L
L
W
W
3W 1D 6L
โ Steady
Hammarby TFF
50%
Draw
30%
Jarfalla
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
86.2%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-24.2%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 โ Hammarby TFF to win
1.16
Over 2.5 Goals70%
Over 1.5 Goals90%
Hammarby TFF Clean Sheet60%
๐ Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Hammarby TFF vs Jarfalla
Competition: Sweden Div 1 Norra
Date: Thursday, 18th June 2026
Pick: 1 (Hammarby TFF to win)
Odds: 1.16
Confidence: 62%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%)
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
Also: Hammarby TFF Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
Neutral
No head-to-head data found.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Hammarby TFF
Metric
Jarfalla
2.5
Goals For / Game
1.6
0.6
Goals Against / Game
2.3
60%
Clean Sheets
20%
8-1-1
W โ D โ L
3-1-6
Win Rate
3.5
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
J0
J1
J2
J3
J4
J5
H0
0-0
3.0%
0-1
3.3%
0-2
1.8%
0-3
0.7%
0-4
0.2%
0-5
0.0%
H1
1-0
7.3%
1-1
8.0%
1-2
4.4%
1-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
H2
2-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
H3
3-0
7.0%
3-1
7.7%
3-2
4.2%
3-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
H4
4-0
4.2%
4-1
4.6%
4-2
2.5%
4-3
0.9%
4-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
H5
5-0
2.0%
5-1
2.2%
5-2
1.2%
5-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
2-1(9.6%)
2-0(8.7%)
3-1(7.7%)
โ Best match
โ Possible
โ Low ยท โ Contradicts tip
H=Home goals โ J=Away โ
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Hammarby TFF Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Jarfalla Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
34%
Home Win & BTTS No
34%
Draw & BTTS Yes
4%
Draw & BTTS No
4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
13%
Away Win & BTTS No
13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
47%
Home Win & Under 2.5
20%
Draw & Over 2.5
6%
Draw & Under 2.5
2%
Away Win & Over 2.5
18%
Away Win & Under 2.5
8%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ
Kelly %
โ
Stake
โ
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
No data found.
Recent Form
Hammarby TFF
Karlbergs0
Hammarby TFF2
Gefle0
Hammarby TFF4
Hammarby TFF1
AFC Eskilstuna2
Enkoping SK0
Hammarby TFF1
Hammarby TFF3
Stockholm Internazionale1
Sollentuna0
Hammarby TFF2
Hammarby TFF4
Assyriska FF0
Karlstad0
Hammarby TFF2
Hammarby TFF2
Vasalund2
Pitea1
Hammarby TFF4
Jarfalla
Jarfalla2
Arlanda3
Jarfalla1
Stocksund6
Vasalund3
Jarfalla1
Jarfalla4
Gefle0
Karlbergs1
Jarfalla3
Jarfalla0
Enkoping SK3
FBK Karlstad2
Jarfalla0
Assyriska FF3
Jarfalla3
Jarfalla1
Pitea0
Karlstad2
Jarfalla1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Thursday, 18th June 2026, Hammarby TFF host Jarfalla in Sweden Div 1 Norra. We recommend Hammarby TFF to win as the standout selection.
Hammarby TFF arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Jarfalla are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 1D 6L across 10 matches.
Our verdict: hammarby tff to win at odds of 1.16 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Sweden Div 1 Norra match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.
Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.
Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.
On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.
Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.16. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Hammarby TFF vs Jarfalla?
Our selection is 1 โ Hammarby TFF to win, priced at approximately 1.16. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is Hammarby TFF's current form?
Hammarby TFF have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Jarfalla been performing recently?
Jarfalla have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game.
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