WON Tip WON Al Jeel 1-0 Najran
A

Al Jeel

Home
W W W W W
6W 1D 3L ▼ Declining
VS
1-0
N
Najran
Away
W L W D W
6W 2D 2L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Tuesday, 24th March 2026
1X
Backing Al Jeel to win or draw
Implied Prob 84.7% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +5.3% Value detected
Kelly % 34.4% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
2
Al Jeel
4
Draws
4
Najran
10
Meetings
2.6
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Jeel
Metric
Najran
1.3
Goals For / Game
1.4
1.1
Goals Against / Game
0.8
20%
Clean Sheets
40%
6-1-3
W — D — L
6-2-2
Win Rate
60%
60%
2.3
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
A0
0-0 10.0%
0-1 12.5%
0-2 7.8%
0-3 3.3%
0-4 1.0%
0-5 0.3%
A1
1-0 10.5%
1-1 13.2%
1-2 8.2%
1-3 3.4%
1-4 1.1%
1-5 0.3%
A2
2-0 5.5%
2-1 6.9%
2-2 4.3%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
A3
3-0 1.9%
3-1 2.4%
3-2 1.5%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
A4
4-0 0.5%
4-1 0.6%
4-2 0.4%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(13.2%) 1-0(10.5%) 0-0(10.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   N=Away →
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Team Ratings
Grades
Al Jeel
Overall
6.3
Scoring
4.3
Defence
6.3
Najran
Overall
6.6
Scoring
4.7
Defence
7.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Away Win & BTTS No 25%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 26%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 27%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
05.12.25
D2: Najran SC1
Al Jeel2
19.04.22
DIV: Al Jeel0
Najran SC3
08.12.21
DIV: Najran SC2
Al Jeel0
19.04.21
DIV: Najran SC0
Al Jeel0
02.01.21
DIV: Al Jeel1
Najran SC1
16.08.20
DIV: Al Jeel1
Najran SC2
12.11.19
DIV: Najran SC0
Al Jeel2
10.05.19
DIV: Najran SC3
Al Jeel2
25.12.18
DIV: Al Jeel2
Najran SC2
07.04.17
DIV: Najran SC1
Al Jeel1
Recent Form
Al Jeel
14.03.26
D2: Jerash2
Al Jeel3
W
27.02.26
D2: Al-Shoalah1
Al Jeel2
W
21.02.26
D2: Al Jeel2
Al Rawdah1
W
16.02.26
D2: Al Taraji1
Al Jeel2
W
11.02.26
D2: Al-Sadd2
Al Jeel3
W
06.02.26
D2: Al Jeel0
Al Ain0
D
31.01.26
D2: Tuwaiq0
Al Jeel1
W
25.01.26
D2: Al Jeel0
Al-Sahel2
L
20.01.26
D2: Al Jeel0
Al-Washm1
L
15.01.26
D2: Al Entesar1
Al Jeel0
L
Najran
14.03.26
D2: Najran SC2
Al-Sadd1
W
27.02.26
D2: Najran SC0
Al-Sharq1
L
21.02.26
D2: Najran SC1
Al-Shoalah0
W
16.02.26
D2: Tuwaiq2
Najran SC2
D
11.02.26
D2: Jerash0
Najran SC1
W
06.02.26
D2: Najran SC3
Al Rawdah1
W
31.01.26
D2: Al Taraji1
Najran SC1
D
25.01.26
D2: Najran SC2
Afief0
W
20.01.26
D2: Najran SC2
Al Ain0
W
15.01.26
D2: Al-Washm2
Najran SC0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 24th March 2026, Al Jeel host Najran in Saudi Division 2. We recommend Al Jeel to win or draw as the standout selection.

Al Jeel arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Najran are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 2D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Jeel, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Najran's 4, with 4 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al jeel to win or draw at odds of 1.18 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Saudi Division 2 match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1X, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.18. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Jeel vs Najran?
Our selection is 1X — Al Jeel to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Al Jeel's current form?
Al Jeel have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Najran been performing recently?
Najran have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Jeel lead with 2 wins versus Najran's 4, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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