LOST Tip LOST Gateshead 3-1 York City
G

Gateshead

Home
L W D D W
5W 3D 2L → Steady
VS
3-1
Y
York City
Away
W W W L W
9W 0D 1L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Tuesday, 24th March 2026
2
Backing York City to win
Gateshead 30%
Draw 20%
York City 50%
H Fair Odds 3.33
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 77.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -17.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — York City to win
1.29
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Gateshead vs York City Competition: National League Date: Tuesday, 24th March 2026 Pick: 2 (York City to win) Odds: 1.29 Confidence: 60% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
2
Gateshead
4
Draws
4
York City
10
Meetings
2.6
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Against Tip York City won 4 of 10 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Gateshead
Metric
York City
1.4
Goals For / Game
2.8
1.4
Goals Against / Game
0.8
20%
Clean Sheets
50%
5-3-2
W — D — L
9-0-1
Win Rate
50%
90%
3.2
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
Y0
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
G0
0-0 4.1%
0-1 8.6%
0-2 9.0%
0-3 6.3%
0-4 3.3%
0-5 1.4%
G1
1-0 4.5%
1-1 9.4%
1-2 9.9%
1-3 6.9%
1-4 3.6%
1-5 1.5%
G2
2-0 2.5%
2-1 5.2%
2-2 5.4%
2-3 3.8%
2-4 2.0%
2-5 0.8%
G3
3-0 0.9%
3-1 1.9%
3-2 2.0%
3-3 1.4%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.3%
G4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.5%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
G5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-2(9.9%) 0-2(9.0%) 0-1(8.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip G=Home goals ↓   Y=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Gateshead Win
30%
3.33
Draw
20%
5
York City Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Gateshead
Overall
5.9
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.3
York City
Overall
9.0
Scoring
9.3
Defence
7.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Away Win & BTTS No 26%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 41%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
05.11.25
NL: York City4
Gateshead0
18.04.25
NL: Gateshead1
York City3
01.01.25
NL: York City1
Gateshead0
01.01.24
NL: York City2
Gateshead0
26.12.23
NL: Gateshead1
York City1
02.01.23
NL: Gateshead2
York City2
26.12.22
NL: York City0
Gateshead3
29.01.22
NLN: York City1
Gateshead1
07.12.21
NLN: Gateshead2
York City0
26.08.19
NLN: York City1
Gateshead1
Recent Form
Gateshead
21.03.26
NL: Boreham Wood3
Gateshead0
L
17.03.26
NL: Gateshead1
Wealdstone0
W
14.03.26
NL: Gateshead1
Sutton United1
D
10.03.26
NL: Southend United1
Gateshead1
D
07.03.26
NL: Solihull Moors1
Gateshead2
W
04.03.26
NL: Gateshead1
Braintree Town0
W
28.02.26
NL: Gateshead0
Forest Green2
L
25.02.26
NL: Gateshead4
Morecambe4
D
21.02.26
NL: Truro City1
Gateshead2
W
17.02.26
NL: FC Halifax Town1
Gateshead2
W
York City
21.03.26
NL: York City4
Brackley Town0
W
14.03.26
NL: Aldershot Town0
York City3
W
07.03.26
NL: York City3
Eastleigh1
W
03.03.26
NL: Boreham Wood3
York City2
L
28.02.26
NL: Morecambe0
York City1
W
24.02.26
NL: Scunthorpe United0
York City3
W
21.02.26
NL: York City4
FC Halifax Town1
W
14.02.26
NL: Wealdstone0
York City3
W
11.02.26
NL: York City3
Hartlepool United2
W
07.02.26
NL: York City2
Forest Green Rovers1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 24th March 2026, Gateshead host York City in National League. We recommend York City to win as the standout selection.

Gateshead arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

York City are travelling well, with a record of 9W 0D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Gateshead, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to York City's 4, with 4 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: york city to win at odds of 1.29 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming National League match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 2, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.29. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Gateshead vs York City?
Our selection is 2 — York City to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 60%.
What is Gateshead's current form?
Gateshead have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has York City been performing recently?
York City have recorded 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Gateshead lead with 2 wins versus York City's 4, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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