WON
Tip WON
Al Muharraq 1-0 Aali Club
A
Al Muharraq
Home
W
W
W
W
W
8W 1D 1L
โผ Declining
VS
1-0
A
Aali Club
Away
W
W
L
L
W
6W 0D 4L
โ Steady
Al Muharraq
60%
Draw
20%
Aali Club
20%
H Fair Odds
1.67
D Fair Odds
5
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
82%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-26%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 โ Al Muharraq to win
1.22
BTTS โ No65%
๐ Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Al Muharraq vs Aali Club
Competition: Bahrain Premier League
Date: Saturday, 16th May 2026
Pick: 1 (Al Muharraq to win)
Odds: 1.22
Confidence: 56%
Also: BTTS โ No (65%)
Head to Head
Record
0
Al Muharraq
1
Draws
0
Aali Club
1
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Against Tip
Al Muharraq won 0 of the last 1 meetings (1 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Muharraq
Metric
Aali Club
1.8
Goals For / Game
1
0.8
Goals Against / Game
0.8
40%
Clean Sheets
40%
8-1-1
W โ D โ L
6-0-4
Win Rate
2.2
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0
11.1%
0-1
10.0%
0-2
4.5%
0-3
1.4%
0-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
A1
1-0
14.4%
1-1
13.0%
1-2
5.8%
1-3
1.8%
1-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
A2
2-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
A3
3-0
4.1%
3-1
3.7%
3-2
1.6%
3-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
3-5
0.0%
A4
4-0
1.3%
4-1
1.2%
4-2
0.5%
4-3
0.2%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
A5
5-0
0.3%
5-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(14.4%)
2-0(9.4%)
2-1(8.4%)
โ Best match
โ Possible
โ Low ยท โ Contradicts tip
A=Home goals โ A=Away โ
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Al Muharraq Win
1.67
60%
Draw
5
20%
Aali Club Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
19%
Home Win & BTTS No
36%
Draw & BTTS Yes
1%
Draw & BTTS No
2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
15%
Away Win & BTTS No
27%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
25%
Home Win & Under 2.5
30%
Draw & Over 2.5
1%
Draw & Under 2.5
2%
Away Win & Over 2.5
19%
Away Win & Under 2.5
23%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ
Kelly %
โ
Stake
โ
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Aali Club1
Al-Muharraq1
Recent Form
Al Muharraq
Al Khalidiyah1
Al-Muharraq2
Al-Najma1
Al-Muharraq3
Al-Muharraq1
Al-Budaiya0
Al-Muharraq2
Al Riffa1
Al-Hidd0
Al-Muharraq1
Al-Muharraq2
Al-Ahli Manama1
Al-Muharraq3
Sitra0
Al-Muharraq0
Al Khalidiyah3
Al Riffa1
Al-Muharraq1
Al-Muharraq3
Al-Shabbab0
Aali Club
Aali Club2
Al-Budaiya0
Al-Hidd0
Aali Club1
Aali Club0
Sitra2
Al Riffa1
Aali Club0
Aali Club2
Bahrain SC1
Malkia0
Aali Club1
Al Khalidiyah2
Aali Club0
Aali Club0
Al-Shabbab1
Al-Ahli Manama1
Aali Club2
Aali Club2
Al-Najma0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Saturday, 16th May 2026, Al Muharraq host Aali Club in Bahrain Premier League. We recommend Al Muharraq to win as the standout selection.
Al Muharraq arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Aali Club are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 0D 4L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Al Muharraq, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Aali Club's 0, with 1 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.
Our verdict: al muharraq to win at odds of 1.22 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Bahrain Premier League match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.
Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.
Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.
On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.
Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.22. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Muharraq vs Aali Club?
Our selection is 1 โ Al Muharraq to win, priced at approximately 1.22. Tip confidence rating: 56%.
What is Al Muharraq's current form?
Al Muharraq have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Aali Club been performing recently?
Aali Club have recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Muharraq lead with 0 wins versus Aali Club's 0, with 1 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
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