LOST Tip LOST Al Najaf 1-0 Al Zawraa
A

Al Najaf

Home
W L L D L
1W 2D 7L ▲ Improving
VS
1-0
A
Al Zawraa
Away
L L D W W
5W 3D 2L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Monday, 1st June 2026
2
Backing Al Zawraa to win
Al Najaf 20%
Draw 30%
Al Zawraa 50%
H Fair Odds 5
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 75.2% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -30.2% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Al Zawraa to win
1.33
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Al Najaf vs Al Zawraa Competition: Iraq Stars League Date: Monday, 1st June 2026 Pick: 2 (Al Zawraa to win) Odds: 1.33 Confidence: 45% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
Head to Head
Record
2
Al Najaf
5
Draws
3
Al Zawraa
10
Meetings
1.9
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Al Zawraa won 3 of 10 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Najaf
Metric
Al Zawraa
1.1
Goals For / Game
1.6
2.3
Goals Against / Game
0.9
0%
Clean Sheets
40%
1-2-7
W — D — L
5-3-2
Win Rate
10%
50%
3
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 5.2%
0-1 10.2%
0-2 10.0%
0-3 6.5%
0-4 3.2%
0-5 1.2%
A1
1-0 5.2%
1-1 10.2%
1-2 10.0%
1-3 6.5%
1-4 3.2%
1-5 1.2%
A2
2-0 2.6%
2-1 5.1%
2-2 5.0%
2-3 3.2%
2-4 1.6%
2-5 0.6%
A3
3-0 0.9%
3-1 1.7%
3-2 1.7%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.2%
A4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.4%
4-2 0.4%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.1%
A5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(10.2%) 0-2(10.0%) 1-2(10.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Al Najaf Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Al Zawraa Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Najaf
Overall
1.6
Scoring
3.7
Defence
2.3
Al Zawraa
Overall
5.9
Scoring
5.3
Defence
7.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Home Win & BTTS No 4%
Draw & BTTS Yes 20%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 41%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 8%
Home Win & Under 2.5 4%
Draw & Over 2.5 19%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 38%
Away Win & Under 2.5 21%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
22.01.26SL
Al Zawraa2
Al Najaf0
08.03.25SL
Al Najaf1
Al Zawraa2
30.11.24SL
Al Zawraa1
Al Najaf1
31.03.24SL
Al Zawraa0
Al Najaf0
02.12.23SL
Al Najaf0
Al Zawraa0
29.04.23SL
Al Zawraa1
Al Najaf1
30.11.22SL
Al Najaf1
Al Zawraa0
03.07.22SL
Al Zawraa1
Al Najaf2
15.01.22SL
Al Najaf2
Al Zawraa2
05.07.21SL
Al Zawraa2
Al Najaf0
Recent Form
Al Najaf
28.05.26SL
Al Najaf1
Al-Qassim2
W
24.05.26SL
Naft Missan2
Al Najaf1
L
20.05.26SL
Al Najaf2
Al Karkh5
L
16.05.26SL
Zakho1
Al Najaf1
D
11.05.26SL
Al Najaf1
Erbil4
L
07.05.26SL
Al Najaf1
Baghdad1
D
27.04.26SL
Al Najaf1
Duhok2
L
17.04.26SL
Al Najaf2
Newroz1
W
12.04.26SL
Al Najaf0
Al-Karma3
L
08.04.26SL
Al Talaba2
Al Najaf1
L
Al Zawraa
27.05.26SL
Al Zawraa0
Al Naft1
L
20.05.26SL
Al Quwa Al Jawiya2
Al Zawraa1
L
14.05.26SL
Al Zawraa1
Al-Qassim1
D
10.05.26SL
Al Minaa0
Al Zawraa2
W
05.05.26SL
Al Talaba0
Al Zawraa1
W
01.05.26SL
Al Zawraa2
Duhok2
D
26.04.26SL
Baghdad2
Al Zawraa2
D
22.04.26SL
Al Zawraa2
Diyala0
W
18.04.26SL
Al Zawraa3
Al Karkh0
W
13.04.26SL
Al Shorta1
Al Zawraa2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Monday, 1st June 2026, Al Najaf host Al Zawraa in Iraq Stars League. We recommend Al Zawraa to win as the standout selection.

Al Najaf arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Al Zawraa are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 3D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Najaf, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Al Zawraa's 3, with 5 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al zawraa to win at odds of 1.33 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Iraq Stars League match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 2, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.33. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Najaf vs Al Zawraa?
Our selection is 2 — Al Zawraa to win, priced at approximately 1.33. Tip confidence rating: 45%.
What is Al Najaf's current form?
Al Najaf have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Zawraa been performing recently?
Al Zawraa have recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Najaf lead with 2 wins versus Al Zawraa's 3, with 5 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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