A
Apollon
Home
W
D
W
W
L
6W 1D 3L
▲ Improving
VS
—
6:00 pm
—
Alphamega Stadium (Kolossi)
D
Dila Gori
Away
W
L
L
W
L
4W 0D 5L
▼ Declining
Apollon
50%
Draw
30%
Dila Gori
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
74.1%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-12.1%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
1
Apollon
0
Draws
0
Dila Gori
1
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Apollon won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Apollon
Metric
Dila Gori
1.7
Goals For / Game
1.6
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.6
50%
Clean Sheets
22%
6-1-3
W — D — L
4-0-5
Win Rate
2.9
Avg Goals
68%
Over 1.5
58%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
D0
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
A0
0-0
5.0%
0-1
6.7%
0-2
4.5%
0-3
2.0%
0-4
0.7%
0-5
0.2%
A1
1-0
8.2%
1-1
11.1%
1-2
7.5%
1-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
A2
2-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
2-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
A3
3-0
3.7%
3-1
5.0%
3-2
3.4%
3-3
1.5%
3-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
A4
4-0
1.5%
4-1
2.1%
4-2
1.4%
4-3
0.6%
4-4
0.2%
4-5
0.1%
A5
5-0
0.5%
5-1
0.7%
5-2
0.5%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
2-1(9.2%)
1-0(8.2%)
2-0(6.8%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
A=Home goals ↓ D=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Apollon Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Dila Gori Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
20%
Home Win & BTTS No
35%
Draw & BTTS Yes
2%
Draw & BTTS No
3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
15%
Away Win & BTTS No
25%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
32%
Home Win & Under 2.5
23%
Draw & Over 2.5
3%
Draw & Under 2.5
2%
Away Win & Over 2.5
23%
Away Win & Under 2.5
17%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Dila Gori0
Apollon4
Recent Form
Apollon
Dila Gori0
Apollon4
Apollon0
AEK Larnaca0
G.A. Eagles0
Apollon3
Utrecht0
Apollon1
Apollon0
Pafos2
Omonia5
Apollon2
Apollon3
Aris2
Apollon2
APOEL0
AEK Larnaca1
Apollon0
Apollon2
Pafos1
Dila Gori
Iberia 20100
Dila Gori1
Dila Gori0
Apollon4
Virtus1
Dila Gori0
Dila Gori3
Virtus1
Dila Gori0
Torpedo Kutaisi1
Dila Gori3
Rustavi0
Dila Gori3
Spaeri1
Dinamo Batumi3
Dila Gori2
Dila Gori2
Samgurali3
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Tuesday, 28th July 2026, Apollon host Dila Gori at Alphamega Stadium (Kolossi) in Conference League Qualifiers. We recommend Apollon to win as the standout selection.
Apollon arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Dila Gori are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 0D 5L across 9 matches.
Historical meetings favour Apollon, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Dila Gori's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.
Our verdict: apollon to win at odds of 1.35 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Conference League Qualifiers match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.35, sitting at roughly 50,30,20% in our model. The match gets going at 6:00 pm over at Alphamega Stadium (Kolossi).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Apollon vs Dila Gori?
Our selection is 1 — Apollon to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is Apollon's current form?
Apollon have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Dila Gori been performing recently?
Dila Gori have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats from 9 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Apollon lead with 1 wins versus Dila Gori's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
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