WON
Tip WON
AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Sparta Prague
A
AZ Alkmaar
Home
L
W
L
W
W
3W 0D 2L
โ Steady
VS
2-1
S
Sparta Prague
Away
L
L
W
D
W
2W 1D 2L
โฒ Improving
AZ Alkmaar
70%
Draw
20%
Sparta Prague
10%
H Fair Odds
1.43
D Fair Odds
5
A Fair Odds
10
Implied Prob
78.1%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
+11.9%
Value detected
Kelly %
54.3%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1X โ AZ Alkmaar to win or draw
1.28
Over 1.5 Goals80%
๐ Betting Slip / Acca Builder
AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Prague
Competition: UEFA Europa League
Date: Thursday, 12th March 2026
Pick: 1X (AZ Alkmaar to win or draw)
Odds: 1.28
Confidence: 90%
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Head to Head
Record
Neutral
Insufficient H2H data.
Stats Duel
Comparison
AZ Alkmaar
Metric
Sparta Prague
2
Goals For / Game
1.6
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.2
20%
Clean Sheets
40%
3-0-2
W โ D โ L
2-1-2
Win Rate
3
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
A0
0-0
5.0%
0-1
7.0%
0-2
4.9%
0-3
2.3%
0-4
0.8%
0-5
0.2%
A1
1-0
8.0%
1-1
11.2%
1-2
7.8%
1-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
A2
2-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
2-2
6.3%
2-3
2.9%
2-4
1.0%
2-5
0.3%
A3
3-0
3.4%
3-1
4.8%
3-2
3.3%
3-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
3-5
0.2%
A4
4-0
1.4%
4-1
1.9%
4-2
1.3%
4-3
0.6%
4-4
0.2%
4-5
0.1%
A5
5-0
0.4%
5-1
0.6%
5-2
0.4%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-1(11.2%)
2-1(8.9%)
1-0(8.0%)
โ Best match
โ Possible
โ Low ยท โ Contradicts tip
A=Home goals โ S=Away โ
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
AZ Alkmaar Win
1.43
70%
Draw
5
20%
Sparta Prague Win
10
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
28%
Home Win & BTTS No
28%
Draw & BTTS Yes
5%
Draw & BTTS No
5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
18%
Away Win & BTTS No
18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
33%
Home Win & Under 2.5
22%
Draw & Over 2.5
5%
Draw & Under 2.5
4%
Away Win & Over 2.5
22%
Away Win & Under 2.5
14%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ
Kelly %
โ
Stake
โ
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
No data found.
Recent Form
AZ Alkmaar
โฝ ERE (07.03.26): PSV2
AZ Alkmaar1
โฝ KNV (04.03.26): AZ Alkmaar2
Telstar1
โฝ ERE (01.03.26): Utrecht2
AZ Alkmaar0
โฝ UECL (26.02.26): AZ Alkmaar4
FC Noah0
โฝ ERE (22.02.26): AZ Alkmaar3
Sparta Rotterdam1
Sparta Prague
โฝ 1L (08.03.26): Slavia Prague3
Sparta Prague1
โฝ CUP (03.03.26): Mlada Boleslav1
Sparta Prague (4-2)0
โฝ 1L (28.02.26): Sparta Prague5
Ostrava2
โฝ 1L (22.02.26): Viktoria Plzeล0
Sparta Prague0
โฝ 1L (15.02.26): Sparta Prague2
Hradec Kralove0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Thursday, 12th March 2026, AZ Alkmaar host Sparta Prague in UEFA Europa League. We recommend AZ Alkmaar to win or draw as the standout selection.
AZ Alkmaar arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 outings.
Sparta Prague are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 2W 1D 2L across 5 matches.
Our verdict: az alkmaar to win or draw at odds of 1.28 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Prague?
Our selection is 1X โ AZ Alkmaar to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.28. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is AZ Alkmaar's current form?
AZ Alkmaar have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches.
How has Sparta Prague been performing recently?
Sparta Prague have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game.
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