WON Tip WON Babrungas 3-0 Zalgiris 2
B

Babrungas

Home
D W L W W
7W 1D 2L ▼ Declining
VS
3-0
Z
Zalgiris 2
Away
D L D D W
3W 4D 3L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Friday, 15th May 2026
1
Backing Babrungas to win
Babrungas 50%
Draw 30%
Zalgiris 2 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 73% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -22% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
3
Babrungas
3
Draws
4
Zalgiris 2
10
Meetings
2.9
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Babrungas won 3 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Babrungas
Metric
Zalgiris 2
1.9
Goals For / Game
1.2
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.4
50%
Clean Sheets
50%
7-1-2
W — D — L
3-4-3
Win Rate
70%
30%
2.7
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
Z0
Z1
Z2
Z3
Z4
Z5
B0
0-0 6.7%
0-1 7.1%
0-2 3.7%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
B1
1-0 11.1%
1-1 11.6%
1-2 6.1%
1-3 2.1%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
B2
2-0 9.2%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 5.0%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
B3
3-0 5.0%
3-1 5.3%
3-2 2.8%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
B4
4-0 2.1%
4-1 2.2%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(11.1%) 2-1(9.6%) 2-0(9.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip B=Home goals ↓   Z=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Babrungas Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Zalgiris 2 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
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Team Ratings
Grades
Babrungas
Overall
7.3
Scoring
6.3
Defence
7.0
Zalgiris 2
Overall
4.2
Scoring
4.0
Defence
5.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Home Win & BTTS No 34%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 34%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
25.07.25IL
Babrungas2
Zalgiris 21
16.03.25IL
Zalgiris 22
Babrungas2
12.08.23IL
Zalgiris 22
Babrungas1
23.03.23IL
Babrungas2
Zalgiris 20
12.10.22IL
Babrungas1
Zalgiris 20
08.04.22IL
Zalgiris 20
Babrungas0
11.09.21IL
Zalgiris 23
Babrungas3
15.05.21IL
Babrungas2
Zalgiris 23
06.08.06IL
Zalgiris 24
Babrungas0
22.04.06IL
Babrungas0
Zalgiris 21
Recent Form
Babrungas
09.05.26IL
Atmosfera1
Babrungas1
D
01.05.26IL
Babrungas4
BFA Vilnius0
W
28.04.26CUP
BFA Vilnius1
Babrungas0
L
24.04.26IL
Babrungas1
Garliava0
W
18.04.26IL
Tauras Taurage1
Babrungas2
W
04.04.26IL
Babrungas1
Neptunas0
W
22.03.26IL
Babrungas3
Dainava Alytus1
W
18.03.26IL
Babrungas3
Transinvest 20
W
14.03.26IL
Ekranas0
Babrungas3
W
09.11.25IL
Babrungas1
Siauliai 25
L
Zalgiris 2
08.05.26IL
Zalgiris 22
Tauras Taurage2
D
02.05.26IL
Neptunas2
Zalgiris 21
L
24.04.26IL
Zalgiris 20
Dainava Alytus0
D
19.04.26IL
Transinvest 22
Zalgiris 22
D
12.04.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
Zalgiris 21
W
03.04.26IL
Zalgiris 24
Siauliai 20
W
17.03.26IL
Zalgiris 21
Ekranas0
W
14.03.26IL
FK Minija4
Zalgiris 20
L
09.11.25IL
Transinvest4
Zalgiris 21
L
31.10.25IL
Zalgiris 20
Jonava0
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 15th May 2026, Babrungas host Zalgiris 2 in Lithuania 1 Lyga. We recommend Babrungas to win as the standout selection.

Babrungas arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Zalgiris 2 are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 4D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Babrungas, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Zalgiris 2's 4, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: babrungas to win at odds of 1.37 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Lithuania 1 Lyga match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.37. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Babrungas vs Zalgiris 2?
Our selection is 1 — Babrungas to win, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 51%.
What is Babrungas's current form?
Babrungas have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Zalgiris 2 been performing recently?
Zalgiris 2 have recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Babrungas lead with 3 wins versus Zalgiris 2's 4, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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