WON Tip WON Olimpia Asuncion 3-2 Recoleta
O

Olimpia Asuncion

Home
L W D L L
4W 2D 4L ▲ Improving
VS
3-2
R
Recoleta
Away
L D W D L
3W 4D 3L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Friday, 15th May 2026
1
Backing Olimpia Asuncion to win
Olimpia Asuncion 50%
Draw 30%
Recoleta 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 74.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -27.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Olimpia Asuncion to win
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Olimpia Asuncion vs Recoleta Competition: Paraguay Copa de Primera Date: Friday, 15th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Olimpia Asuncion to win) Odds: 1.34 Confidence: 47% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
4
Olimpia Asuncion
3
Draws
1
Recoleta
8
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
38%
Over 2.5
Neutral Olimpia Asuncion won 4 of the last 8 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Olimpia Asuncion
Metric
Recoleta
1.2
Goals For / Game
1.8
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.3
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
4-2-4
W — D — L
3-4-3
Win Rate
40%
30%
2.8
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
O0
0-0 6.4%
0-1 9.6%
0-2 7.2%
0-3 3.6%
0-4 1.4%
0-5 0.4%
O1
1-0 8.0%
1-1 12.0%
1-2 9.0%
1-3 4.5%
1-4 1.7%
1-5 0.5%
O2
2-0 5.0%
2-1 7.5%
2-2 5.6%
2-3 2.8%
2-4 1.1%
2-5 0.3%
O3
3-0 2.1%
3-1 3.1%
3-2 2.3%
3-3 1.2%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
O4
4-0 0.7%
4-1 1.0%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
O5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(8.0%) 2-1(7.5%) 2-0(5.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip O=Home goals ↓   R=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Olimpia Asuncion Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Recoleta Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Olimpia Asuncion
Overall
4.6
Scoring
4.0
Defence
6.0
Recoleta
Overall
4.2
Scoring
6.0
Defence
5.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 17%
Draw & BTTS No 14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 17%
Draw & Under 2.5 14%
Away Win & Over 2.5 17%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
14.03.26PD
Recoleta0
Olimpia Asuncion1
10.10.25PD
Recoleta1
Olimpia Asuncion0
31.07.25PD
Olimpia Asuncion1
Recoleta0
01.06.25PD
Olimpia Asuncion0
Recoleta0
30.03.25PD
Recoleta1
Olimpia Asuncion1
11.10.02PD
Recoleta1
Olimpia Asuncion2
09.08.02PD
Olimpia Asuncion3
Recoleta1
22.03.02PD
Olimpia Asuncion2
Recoleta2
Recent Form
Olimpia Asuncion
10.05.26PD
San Lorenzo1
Olimpia Asuncion0
L
07.05.26COP
Barracas Central1
Olimpia Asuncion2
W
03.05.26PD
Olimpia Asuncion1
Ameliano1
D
30.04.26COP
Vasco3
Olimpia Asuncion0
L
26.04.26PD
Libertad Asuncion3
Olimpia Asuncion2
L
19.04.26PD
Olimpia Asuncion3
Cerro Porteno0
W
16.04.26COP
Olimpia Asuncion0
Barracas Central0
D
12.04.26PD
Rubio Nu0
Olimpia Asuncion2
W
09.04.26COP
A. Italiano0
Olimpia Asuncion2
W
04.04.26PD
Olimpia Asuncion3
Nacional Asuncion0
W
Recoleta
11.05.26PD
Ameliano3
Recoleta2
L
06.05.26COP
Recoleta1
Santos1
D
03.05.26PD
Recoleta2
Cerro Porteno1
W
29.04.26COP
Recoleta0
Dep. Cuenca0
D
24.04.26PD
Nacional Asuncion2
Recoleta1
L
19.04.26PD
Recoleta5
2 de Mayo0
W
15.04.26COP
Santos1
Recoleta1
D
11.04.26PD
Sp. Luqueno2
Recoleta1
L
08.04.26COP
Recoleta1
San Lorenzo1
D
05.04.26PD
Recoleta4
San Lorenzo2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 15th May 2026, Olimpia Asuncion host Recoleta in Paraguay Copa de Primera. We recommend Olimpia Asuncion to win as the standout selection.

Olimpia Asuncion arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Recoleta are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 4D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Olimpia Asuncion, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Recoleta's 1, with 3 draws from 8 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: olimpia asuncion to win at odds of 1.34 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Paraguay Copa de Primera match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.34. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Olimpia Asuncion vs Recoleta?
Our selection is 1 — Olimpia Asuncion to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 47%.
What is Olimpia Asuncion's current form?
Olimpia Asuncion have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Recoleta been performing recently?
Recoleta have recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Olimpia Asuncion lead with 4 wins versus Recoleta's 1, with 3 draws across 8 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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