LOST Tip LOST Bayern Leverkusen 1-1 Arsenal
B

Bayern Leverkusen

Home
D W D D L
1W 3D 1L ▼ Declining
VS
1-1
A
Arsenal
Away
W W W W D
4W 1D 0L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Wednesday, 11th March 2026
2
Backing Arsenal to win
Bayern Leverkusen 30%
Draw 20%
Arsenal 50%
H Fair Odds 3.33
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 64.9% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -1.9% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
0
Bayern Leverkusen
1
Draws
2
Arsenal
3
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
67%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Arsenal won 2 of 3 meetings.
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Bayern Leverkusen
Metric
Arsenal
1
Goals For / Game
2.2
1
Goals Against / Game
1
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
1-3-1
W — D — L
4-1-0
Win Rate
20%
80%
2.6
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
B0
0-0 7.4%
0-1 11.9%
0-2 9.5%
0-3 5.1%
0-4 2.0%
0-5 0.7%
B1
1-0 7.4%
1-1 11.9%
1-2 9.5%
1-3 5.1%
1-4 2.0%
1-5 0.7%
B2
2-0 3.7%
2-1 5.9%
2-2 4.8%
2-3 2.5%
2-4 1.0%
2-5 0.3%
B3
3-0 1.2%
3-1 2.0%
3-2 1.6%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
B4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.5%
4-2 0.4%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(11.9%) 0-2(9.5%) 1-2(9.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip B=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Bayern Leverkusen Win
30%
3.33
Draw
20%
5
Arsenal Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
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Team Ratings
Grades
Bayern Leverkusen
Overall
3.8
Scoring
3.3
Defence
6.7
Arsenal
Overall
8.6
Scoring
7.3
Defence
6.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Home Win & BTTS No 6%
Draw & BTTS Yes 17%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Away Win & BTTS No 23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 7%
Home Win & Under 2.5 7%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 29%
Away Win & Under 2.5 29%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
⚽ CF (07.08.24): Arsenal4
Bayer Leverkusen1
⚽ CL (27.02.02): Arsenal4
Bayer Leverkusen1
⚽ CL (19.02.02): Bayer Leverkusen1
Arsenal1
Recent Form
Bayern Leverkusen
⚽ BUN (07.03.26): Freiburg3
Bayer Leverkusen3
⚽ BUN (04.03.26): Hamburger SV0
Bayer Leverkusen1
⚽ BUN (28.02.26): Bayer Leverkusen1
Mainz1
⚽ CL (24.02.26): Bayer Leverkusen0
Olympiacos Piraeus0
⚽ BUN (21.02.26): Union Berlin1
Bayer Leverkusen0
Arsenal
Cup Thrills: FAC on (07.03.26): Arsenal secured a hard-fought2
win against Mansfield1
Premier League Resilience: PL (04.03.26): Arsenal edged Brighton1
away from home0
Derby Day Dominance: PL (01.03.26): Arsenal claimed a crucial2
victory over Chelsea1
North London Derby Masterclass: PL (22.02.26): Arsenal thrashed Tottenham4
in a memorable clash1
Gritty Away Draw: PL (18.02.26): Arsenal battled to a2
draw with Wolves2
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Bayern Leverkusen vs Arsenal?
Our selection is 2 — Arsenal to win, priced at approximately 1.54. Tip confidence rating: 63%.
What is Bayern Leverkusen's current form?
Bayern Leverkusen have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.
How has Arsenal been performing recently?
Arsenal have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Bayern Leverkusen lead with 0 wins versus Arsenal's 2, with 1 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
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