WON
Tip WON
PSG 5-2 Chelsea
P
PSG
Home
L
W
D
W
W
3W 1D 1L
→ Steady
VS
5-2
C
Chelsea
Away
W
W
L
D
W
3W 1D 1L
▼ Declining
Implied Prob
65.8%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
+20.2%
Value detected
Kelly %
59.1%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
BTTS — both teams to score
1.52
Over 2.5 Goals80%
Over 1.5 Goals90%
BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
PSG vs Chelsea
Competition: Champions League
Date: Wednesday, 11th March 2026
Pick: BTTS (both teams to score)
Odds: 1.52
Confidence: 86%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%)
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
Head to Head
Record
2
PSG
2
Draws
1
Chelsea
5
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
BTTS in 4 of 5 H2H games.
Stats Duel
Comparison
PSG
Metric
Chelsea
2
Goals For / Game
2.8
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1.2
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
3-1-1
W — D — L
3-1-1
Win Rate
3.7
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
P0
0-0
2.5%
0-1
5.2%
0-2
5.5%
0-3
3.8%
0-4
2.0%
0-5
0.8%
P1
1-0
4.0%
1-1
8.3%
1-2
8.7%
1-3
6.1%
1-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
P2
2-0
3.2%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
7.0%
2-3
4.9%
2-4
2.6%
2-5
1.1%
P3
3-0
1.7%
3-1
3.5%
3-2
3.7%
3-3
2.6%
3-4
1.4%
3-5
0.6%
P4
4-0
0.7%
4-1
1.4%
4-2
1.5%
4-3
1.0%
4-4
0.6%
4-5
0.2%
P5
5-0
0.2%
5-1
0.5%
5-2
0.5%
5-3
0.3%
5-4
0.2%
5-5
0.1%
Top Scores
1-2(8.7%)
1-1(8.3%)
2-2(7.0%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
P=Home goals ↓ C=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
30%
Home Win & BTTS No
13%
Draw & BTTS Yes
10%
Draw & BTTS No
4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
30%
Away Win & BTTS No
13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
34%
Home Win & Under 2.5
9%
Draw & Over 2.5
11%
Draw & Under 2.5
3%
Away Win & Over 2.5
34%
Away Win & Under 2.5
9%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
⚽ CWC Grand Finale (Anticipated for 13.07.25): Chelsea’s commanding3
performance against PSG0
⚽ CL Second Leg (Past Clash, 09.03.16): PSG secured a crucial2
away victory at Chelsea1
⚽ CL First Leg (Initial Bout, 16.02.16): PSG narrowly triumphed2
over Chelsea at home1
⚽ ICC Summer Showdown (Friendly Battle, 25.07.15): A thrilling1
draw saw Chelsea claim victory 5-6 on penalties against PSG1
⚽ CL Group Stage Thriller (Tense Encounter, 11.03.15): An intense2
stalemate unfolded between Chelsea and PSG2
Recent Form
PSG
⚽ L1 (06.03.26): PSG1
Monaco3
⚽ L1 (28.02.26): Le Havre0
PSG1
⚽ CL (25.02.26): PSG2
Monaco (5-4)2
⚽ L1 (21.02.26): PSG3
Metz0
⚽ CL (17.02.26): Monaco2
PSG3
Chelsea
⚽ FAC (07.03.26): Wrexham2
Chelsea (AET)4
⚽ PL (04.03.26): Aston Villa1
Chelsea4
⚽ PL (01.03.26): Arsenal2
Chelsea1
⚽ PL (21.02.26): Chelsea1
Burnley1
⚽ FAC (13.02.26): Hull City0
Chelsea4
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Wednesday, 11th March 2026, PSG host Chelsea in Champions League. We recommend both teams to score as the standout selection.
PSG arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 5 outings.
Chelsea are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 3W 1D 1L across 5 matches.
Historical meetings favour PSG, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Chelsea's 1, with 2 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.
Our verdict: both teams to score at odds of 1.52 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for PSG vs Chelsea?
Our selection is BTTS — both teams to score, priced at approximately 1.52. Tip confidence rating: 86%.
What is PSG's current form?
PSG have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.
How has Chelsea been performing recently?
Chelsea have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
PSG lead with 2 wins versus Chelsea's 1, with 2 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
Bet Responsibly. StraightWinOdds provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.