WON
Tip WON
Bayern Munich 4-1 Atalanta
B
Bayern Munich
Home
D
W
W
W
W
8W 2D 0L
▼ Declining
VS
4-1
A
Atalanta
Away
D
L
D
D
L
5W 3D 2L
→ Steady
Bayern Munich
60%
Draw
20%
Atalanta
20%
H Fair Odds
1.67
D Fair Odds
5
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
69.9%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
+4.1%
Value detected
Kelly %
13.5%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Bayern Munich to win
1.43
Over 2.5 Goals75%
Over 1.5 Goals95%
BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Bayern Munich vs Atalanta
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Date: Wednesday, 18th March 2026
Pick: 1 (Bayern Munich to win)
Odds: 1.43
Confidence: 74%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%)
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%)
Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Bayern Munich
0
Draws
0
Atalanta
1
Meetings
7
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Bayern Munich won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Bayern Munich
Metric
Atalanta
3.1
Goals For / Game
1.8
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.1
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
8-2-0
W — D — L
5-3-2
Win Rate
3.6
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
B0
0-0
2.9%
0-1
4.2%
0-2
3.0%
0-3
1.5%
0-4
0.5%
0-5
0.2%
B1
1-0
6.0%
1-1
8.8%
1-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
B2
2-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
2-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
B3
3-0
4.4%
3-1
6.4%
3-2
4.7%
3-3
2.3%
3-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
B4
4-0
2.3%
4-1
3.4%
4-2
2.5%
4-3
1.2%
4-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
B5
5-0
1.0%
5-1
1.4%
5-2
1.0%
5-3
0.5%
5-4
0.2%
5-5
0.1%
Top Scores
2-1(9.2%)
3-1(6.4%)
2-0(6.3%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
B=Home goals ↓ A=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Bayern Munich Win
1.67
60%
Draw
5
20%
Atalanta Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
36%
Home Win & BTTS No
16%
Draw & BTTS Yes
11%
Draw & BTTS No
5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
22%
Away Win & BTTS No
10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
39%
Home Win & Under 2.5
13%
Draw & Over 2.5
12%
Draw & Under 2.5
4%
Away Win & Over 2.5
24%
Away Win & Under 2.5
8%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
CL: Atalanta1
Bayern Munich6
Recent Form
Bayern Munich
BUN: Bayer Leverkusen1
Bayern Munich1
CL: Atalanta1
Bayern Munich6
BUN: Bayern Munich4
B. Monchengladbach1
BUN: Dortmund2
Bayern Munich3
BUN: Bayern Munich3
Eintracht Frankfurt2
BUN: Werder Bremen0
Bayern Munich3
POK: Bayern Munich2
RB Leipzig0
BUN: Bayern Munich5
Hoffenheim1
BUN: Hamburger SV2
Bayern Munich2
CL: PSV1
Bayern Munich2
Atalanta
SA: Atalanta2
Udinese2
COP: Lazio2
Atalanta2
SA: Sassuolo2
Atalanta1
CL: Atalanta4
Dortmund1
SA: Atalanta2
Napoli1
CL: Dortmund2
Atalanta0
SA: Lazio0
Atalanta2
SA: Atalanta2
Cremonese1
COP: Atalanta3
Juventus0
SA: Como0
Atalanta0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Wednesday, 18th March 2026, Bayern Munich host Atalanta in UEFA Champions League. We recommend Bayern Munich to win as the standout selection.
Bayern Munich arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Atalanta are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 3D 2L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Bayern Munich, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Atalanta's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.
Our verdict: bayern munich to win at odds of 1.43 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Bayern Munich vs Atalanta?
Our selection is 1 — Bayern Munich to win, priced at approximately 1.43. Tip confidence rating: 74%.
What is Bayern Munich's current form?
Bayern Munich have won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Atalanta been performing recently?
Atalanta have recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Bayern Munich lead with 1 wins versus Atalanta's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
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