WON
Tip WON
Chelsea W 2-1 Brighton W
C
Chelsea W
Home
W
W
W
W
L
8W 0D 2L
▲ Improving
VS
2-1
B
Brighton W
Away
W
L
L
W
W
5W 0D 5L
▲ Improving
Chelsea W
50%
Draw
30%
Brighton W
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
82.6%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-18.6%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Chelsea W to win
1.21
Over 1.5 Goals80%
Chelsea W Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Chelsea W vs Brighton W
Competition: WSL
Date: Wednesday, 18th March 2026
Pick: 1 (Chelsea W to win)
Odds: 1.21
Confidence: 64%
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Also: Chelsea W Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
7
Chelsea W
2
Draws
1
Brighton W
10
Meetings
3.5
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Chelsea W won 7 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Chelsea W
Metric
Brighton W
2.9
Goals For / Game
1.4
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.3
60%
Clean Sheets
30%
8-0-2
W — D — L
5-0-5
Win Rate
3.3
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
C0
0-0
3.9%
0-1
4.5%
0-2
2.6%
0-3
1.0%
0-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
C1
1-0
8.1%
1-1
9.4%
1-2
5.4%
1-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
C2
2-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
C3
3-0
6.0%
3-1
6.9%
3-2
4.0%
3-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
C4
4-0
3.1%
4-1
3.6%
4-2
2.1%
4-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
4-5
0.1%
C5
5-0
1.3%
5-1
1.5%
5-2
0.9%
5-3
0.3%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
2-1(9.8%)
2-0(8.6%)
1-0(8.1%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
C=Home goals ↓ B=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Chelsea W Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Brighton W Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
25%
Home Win & BTTS No
37%
Draw & BTTS Yes
0%
Draw & BTTS No
0%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
15%
Away Win & BTTS No
23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
34%
Home Win & Under 2.5
28%
Draw & Over 2.5
0%
Draw & Under 2.5
0%
Away Win & Over 2.5
21%
Away Win & Under 2.5
17%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
WSL: Brighton W0
Chelsea3
WSL: Brighton W2
Chelsea2
WSL: Chelsea W4
Brighton2
WSL: Brighton W0
Chelsea3
WSL: Chelsea W4
Brighton2
WSL: Chelsea W3
Brighton1
WSL: Brighton W0
Chelsea2
WSL: Brighton W0
Chelsea0
WSL: Chelsea W3
Brighton1
WSL: Chelsea W1
Brighton2
Recent Form
Chelsea W
CUP: Chelsea W2
Manchester Utd W0
FAC: Chelsea W2
Manchester Utd W1
WSL: Chelsea W2
Liverpool W0
WSL: Tottenham W0
Chelsea W2
WSL: Manchester City W5
Chelsea W1
WSL: Chelsea W0
Arsenal W2
CUP: Manchester City W0
Chelsea W1
FAC: Chelsea W5
Crystal Palace W0
WSL: Chelsea W5
West Ham W0
CUP: Liverpool W1
Chelsea W9
Brighton W
FAC: West Ham W1
Brighton W2
WSL: West Ham W3
Brighton W2
WSL: Brighton W1
London City Lionesses W2
WSL: Everton W0
Brighton W1
FAC: Brighton W2
Nottingham W0
WSL: Aston Villa W2
Brighton W1
WSL: Brighton W0
Chelsea W3
WSL: London City Lionesses W0
Brighton W1
WSL: Brighton W4
Leicester W1
CUP: Brighton W0
Charlton W1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Wednesday, 18th March 2026, Chelsea W host Brighton W in WSL. We recommend Chelsea W to win as the standout selection.
Chelsea W arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Brighton W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 0D 5L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Chelsea W, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Brighton W's 1, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.
Our verdict: chelsea w to win at odds of 1.21 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Chelsea W vs Brighton W?
Our selection is 1 — Chelsea W to win, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 64%.
What is Chelsea W's current form?
Chelsea W have won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Brighton W been performing recently?
Brighton W have recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Chelsea W lead with 7 wins versus Brighton W's 1, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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