B
Besiktas
Home
L
D
L
D
W
2W 4D 4L
→ Steady
VS
—
7:00 pm
—
Besiktas Park (Istanbul)
M
Midtjylland
Away
W
W
W
D
W
5W 4D 1L
▼ Declining
Implied Prob
79.4%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
+0.6%
Value detected
Kelly %
3.1%
Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
Neutral
No head-to-head data found.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Besiktas
Metric
Midtjylland
1
Goals For / Game
2.3
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.1
30%
Clean Sheets
50%
2-4-4
W — D — L
5-4-1
Win Rate
2.8
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
B0
0-0
6.1%
0-1
10.6%
0-2
9.3%
0-3
5.4%
0-4
2.4%
0-5
0.8%
B1
1-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
1-3
5.7%
1-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
B2
2-0
3.4%
2-1
5.9%
2-2
5.1%
2-3
3.0%
2-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
B3
3-0
1.2%
3-1
2.1%
3-2
1.8%
3-3
1.1%
3-4
0.5%
3-5
0.2%
B4
4-0
0.3%
4-1
0.5%
4-2
0.5%
4-3
0.3%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
B5
5-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
5-2
0.1%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-1(11.2%)
0-1(10.6%)
1-2(9.8%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
B=Home goals ↓ M=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
9%
Home Win & BTTS No
9%
Draw & BTTS Yes
18%
Draw & BTTS No
18%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
23%
Away Win & BTTS No
23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
9%
Home Win & Under 2.5
9%
Draw & Over 2.5
18%
Draw & Under 2.5
18%
Away Win & Over 2.5
23%
Away Win & Under 2.5
23%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
No data found.
Recent Form
Besiktas
Trnava3
Besiktas2
Malzenice1
Besiktas1
Widzew Lodz2
Besiktas0
Mosonmagyarovari TE0
Besiktas0
Besiktas2
Gyirmot1
Rizespor2
Besiktas2
Besiktas1
Trabzonspor2
Besiktas0
Konyaspor1
Gaziantep0
Besiktas2
Besiktas0
Karagumruk0
Midtjylland
Midtjylland4
Odense1
Cardiff0
Midtjylland6
Midtjylland4
Silkeborg2
Malmo FF2
Midtjylland2
Midtjylland1
Lillestrom0
Midtjylland2
Brondby3
FC Copenhagen0
Midtjylland1
Nordsjaelland0
Midtjylland0
Midtjylland3
Viborg3
Aarhus0
Midtjylland0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Thursday, 23rd July 2026, Besiktas host Midtjylland at Besiktas Park (Istanbul) in Europa League Qualifiers. We recommend over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.
Besiktas arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Midtjylland are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 4D 1L across 10 matches.
Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.26 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Europa League Qualifiers match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is Over 1.5 at @1.26, sitting at roughly 90% in our model. The match gets going at 7:00 pm over at Besiktas Park (Istanbul).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Besiktas vs Midtjylland?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 80%.
What is Besiktas's current form?
Besiktas have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Midtjylland been performing recently?
Midtjylland have recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game.
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