LOST Tip LOST Bohemians 1-1 Waterford
B

Bohemians

Home
D D D W W
6W 4D 0L ▼ Declining
VS
1-1
W
Waterford
Away
D L L L L
0W 3D 7L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Monday, 6th April 2026
1
Backing Bohemians to win
Bohemians 50%
Draw 30%
Waterford 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 78.1% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -25.1% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Bohemians to win
1.28
Under 2.5 Goals65% Bohemians Clean Sheet70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Bohemians vs Waterford Competition: Ireland Premier Division Date: Monday, 6th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Bohemians to win) Odds: 1.28 Confidence: 53% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Bohemians Clean Sheet (70%)
Head to Head
Record
5
Bohemians
1
Draws
4
Waterford
10
Meetings
3.1
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Neutral Bohemians won 5 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Bohemians
Metric
Waterford
1.5
Goals For / Game
0.8
0.4
Goals Against / Game
2.4
70%
Clean Sheets
10%
6-4-0
W — D — L
0-3-7
Win Rate
60%
0%
2.6
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
W0
W1
W2
W3
W4
W5
B0
0-0 7.8%
0-1 4.7%
0-2 1.4%
0-3 0.3%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
B1
1-0 15.2%
1-1 9.1%
1-2 2.7%
1-3 0.6%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
B2
2-0 14.9%
2-1 8.9%
2-2 2.7%
2-3 0.5%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
B3
3-0 9.7%
3-1 5.8%
3-2 1.7%
3-3 0.4%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
B4
4-0 4.7%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 1.8%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(15.2%) 2-0(14.9%) 3-0(9.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip B=Home goals ↓   W=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Bohemians Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Waterford Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Bohemians
Overall
7.2
Scoring
5.0
Defence
8.7
Waterford
Overall
0.9
Scoring
2.7
Defence
2.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 38%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 22%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 41%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 24%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
06.03.26
PD: Waterford0
Bohemians1
30.01.26
CF: Waterford1
Bohemians4
19.09.25
PD: Bohemians2
Waterford1
20.06.25
PD: Waterford2
Bohemians1
02.05.25
PD: Bohemians1
Waterford2
07.03.25
PD: Waterford0
Bohemians3
01.02.25
CF: Waterford1
Bohemians2
25.10.24
PD: Waterford1
Bohemians1
09.08.24
PD: Bohemians2
Waterford3
31.05.24
PD: Waterford2
Bohemians1
Recent Form
Bohemians
03.04.26
PD: Drogheda United0
Bohemians0
D
20.03.26
PD: Bohemians1
Dundalk FC1
D
16.03.26
PD: Shelbourne0
Bohemians0
D
13.03.26
PD: Bohemians1
Galway United0
W
06.03.26
PD: Waterford FC0
Bohemians1
W
27.02.26
PD: Bohemians3
Shamrock Rovers2
W
20.02.26
PD: Derry City0
Bohemians1
W
14.02.26
PD: Sligo Rovers0
Bohemians4
W
08.02.26
PD: Bohemians0
St Patrick’s0
D
30.01.26
CF: Waterford FC1
Bohemians4
W
Waterford
03.04.26
PD: Waterford FC1
Shamrock Rovers1
D
20.03.26
PD: Waterford FC0
St Patrick’s2
L
16.03.26
PD: Galway United4
Waterford FC3
L
13.03.26
PD: Dundalk FC5
Waterford FC0
L
06.03.26
PD: Waterford FC0
Bohemians1
L
27.02.26
PD: Derry City4
Waterford FC2
L
20.02.26
PD: Waterford FC0
Sligo Rovers0
D
13.02.26
PD: Drogheda United2
Waterford FC0
L
06.02.26
PD: Waterford FC1
Shelbourne1
D
30.01.26
CF: Waterford FC1
Bohemians4
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Monday, 6th April 2026, Bohemians host Waterford in Ireland Premier Division. We recommend Bohemians to win as the standout selection.

Bohemians arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Waterford are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 3D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Bohemians, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Waterford's 4, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: bohemians to win at odds of 1.28 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Ireland Premier Division match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.28. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Bohemians vs Waterford?
Our selection is 1 — Bohemians to win, priced at approximately 1.28. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Bohemians's current form?
Bohemians have won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Waterford been performing recently?
Waterford have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Bohemians lead with 5 wins versus Waterford's 4, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
⚠️
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