WON Tip WON Den Haag 4-0 Eindhoven FC
D

Den Haag

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W W W W L
9W 0D 1L ▲ Improving
VS
4-0
E
Eindhoven FC
Away
D W L W W
4W 1D 5L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Monday, 6th April 2026
1
Backing Den Haag to win
Den Haag 50%
Draw 30%
Eindhoven FC 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 77.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -12.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Den Haag to win
1.29
Over 2.5 Goals65% Den Haag Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Den Haag vs Eindhoven FC Competition: Eerste Divisie Date: Monday, 6th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Den Haag to win) Odds: 1.29 Confidence: 65% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Den Haag Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
6
Den Haag
4
Draws
0
Eindhoven FC
10
Meetings
2.3
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Den Haag won 6 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Den Haag
Metric
Eindhoven FC
1.9
Goals For / Game
1.4
0.5
Goals Against / Game
1.5
60%
Clean Sheets
10%
9-0-1
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate
90%
40%
2.7
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
E0
E1
E2
E3
E4
E5
D0
0-0 7.1%
0-1 6.7%
0-2 3.2%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.1%
D1
1-0 12.0%
1-1 11.4%
1-2 5.4%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
D2
2-0 10.2%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 4.6%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
D3
3-0 5.8%
3-1 5.5%
3-2 2.6%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
D4
4-0 2.5%
4-1 2.3%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
D5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(12.0%) 2-0(10.2%) 2-1(9.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip D=Home goals ↓   E=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Den Haag Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Eindhoven FC Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Den Haag
Overall
9.0
Scoring
6.3
Defence
8.3
Eindhoven FC
Overall
4.3
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 37%
Home Win & BTTS No 30%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 44%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 19%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
12.09.25
EER: FC Eindhoven0
ADO Den Haag1
31.01.25
EER: ADO Den Haag2
FC Eindhoven1
01.11.24
EER: FC Eindhoven0
ADO Den Haag4
20.04.24
EER: ADO Den Haag1
FC Eindhoven1
18.09.23
EER: FC Eindhoven1
ADO Den Haag1
13.03.23
EER: FC Eindhoven1
ADO Den Haag1
07.10.22
EER: ADO Den Haag1
FC Eindhoven0
21.05.22
ERE: FC Eindhoven1
ADO Den Haag2
17.05.22
ERE: ADO Den Haag2
FC Eindhoven1
14.03.22
EER: FC Eindhoven1
ADO Den Haag1
Recent Form
Den Haag
03.04.26
EER: ADO Den Haag4
Jong Ajax2
W
22.03.26
EER: De Graafschap1
ADO Den Haag2
W
17.03.26
EER: ADO Den Haag1
Jong FC Utrecht0
W
13.03.26
EER: FC Emmen0
ADO Den Haag1
W
07.03.26
EER: Almere City1
ADO Den Haag0
L
27.02.26
EER: ADO Den Haag1
VVV-Venlo0
W
24.02.26
EER: Willem II0
ADO Den Haag1
W
20.02.26
EER: Helmond Sport1
ADO Den Haag3
W
13.02.26
EER: ADO Den Haag3
MVV Maastricht0
W
06.02.26
EER: Roda JC Kerkrade0
ADO Den Haag3
W
Eindhoven FC
03.04.26
EER: FC Eindhoven2
De Graafschap2
D
28.03.26
EER: FC Eindhoven1
FC Emmen0
W
20.03.26
EER: TOP Oss2
FC Eindhoven1
L
13.03.26
EER: Jong PSV1
FC Eindhoven2
W
06.03.26
EER: FC Eindhoven2
Jong Ajax1
W
27.02.26
EER: RKC Waalwijk2
FC Eindhoven1
L
24.02.26
EER: SC Cambuur2
FC Eindhoven1
L
21.02.26
EER: FC Eindhoven3
Almere City FC2
W
12.02.26
EER: FC Den Bosch2
FC Eindhoven1
L
07.02.26
EER: VVV-Venlo1
FC Eindhoven0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Monday, 6th April 2026, Den Haag host Eindhoven FC in Eerste Divisie. We recommend Den Haag to win as the standout selection.

Den Haag arrive in strong form, having recorded 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Eindhoven FC are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 1D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Den Haag, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Eindhoven FC's 0, with 4 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: den haag to win at odds of 1.29 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Eerste Divisie match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.29. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Den Haag vs Eindhoven FC?
Our selection is 1 — Den Haag to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 65%.
What is Den Haag's current form?
Den Haag have won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Eindhoven FC been performing recently?
Eindhoven FC have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Den Haag lead with 6 wins versus Eindhoven FC's 0, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
⚠️
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