WON
Tip WON
Cherno More 1-0 Montana
C
Cherno More
Home
W
D
L
D
D
1W 3D 1L
▼ Declining
VS
1-0
M
Montana
Away
L
L
D
L
L
0W 1D 4L
→ Steady
Cherno More
50%
Draw
30%
Montana
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
71.4%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-28.4%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Cherno More to win
1.40
Under 2.5 Goals70%
BTTS — No80%
Cherno More Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Cherno More vs Montana
Competition: Bulgaria EFBET League
Date: Sunday, 15th March 2026
Pick: 1 (Cherno More to win)
Odds: 1.40
Confidence: 43%
Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%)
Also: BTTS — No (80%)
Also: Cherno More Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
3
Cherno More
1
Draws
1
Montana
5
Meetings
2.8
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Cherno More won 3 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Cherno More
Metric
Montana
1
Goals For / Game
0
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.2
60%
Clean Sheets
20%
1-3-1
W — D — L
0-1-4
Win Rate
1.4
Avg Goals
40%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
C0
0-0
24.7%
0-1
7.4%
0-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
0-4
0.0%
0-5
0.0%
C1
1-0
27.1%
1-1
8.1%
1-2
1.2%
1-3
0.1%
1-4
0.0%
1-5
0.0%
C2
2-0
14.9%
2-1
4.5%
2-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
2-4
0.0%
2-5
0.0%
C3
3-0
5.5%
3-1
1.6%
3-2
0.3%
3-3
0.0%
3-4
0.0%
3-5
0.0%
C4
4-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
4-3
0.0%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
C5
5-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
5-2
0.0%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(27.1%)
2-0(14.9%)
3-0(5.5%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
C=Home goals ↓ M=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Cherno More Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Montana Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
7%
Home Win & BTTS No
26%
Draw & BTTS Yes
13%
Draw & BTTS No
54%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
0%
Away Win & BTTS No
0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
10%
Home Win & Under 2.5
23%
Draw & Over 2.5
20%
Draw & Under 2.5
47%
Away Win & Over 2.5
0%
Away Win & Under 2.5
0%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
1L: Montana1
Cherno More3
1L: Montana1
Cherno More1
1L: Cherno More3
Montana0
CUP: Montana2
Cherno More1
1L: Montana0
Cherno More2
Recent Form
Cherno More
1L: Septemvri Sofia0
Cherno More3
1L: Cherno More0
Arda Kardzhali0
1L: Dobrudzha2
Cherno More1
1L: Cherno More0
Botev Vratsa0
1L: Lokomotiv Plovdiv1
Cherno More1
Montana
1L: Montana0
Ludogorets3
1L: Spartak Varna1
Montana0
1L: Montana0
Botev Plovdiv0
1L: Dobrudzha1
Montana0
1L: Septemvri Sofia1
Montana0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Sunday, 15th March 2026, Cherno More host Montana in Bulgaria EFBET League. We recommend Cherno More to win as the standout selection.
Cherno More arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 5 outings.
Montana are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 1D 4L across 5 matches.
Historical meetings favour Cherno More, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Montana's 1, with 1 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.
Our verdict: cherno more to win at odds of 1.40 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Cherno More vs Montana?
Our selection is 1 — Cherno More to win, priced at approximately 1.40. Tip confidence rating: 43%.
What is Cherno More's current form?
Cherno More have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.
How has Montana been performing recently?
Montana have recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Cherno More lead with 3 wins versus Montana's 1, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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