C
Cork City
Home
W
W
W
W
W
9W 0D 1L
▼ Declining
VS
—
7:45 pm
—
N/A
L
Longford
Away
W
L
L
W
W
4W 2D 4L
→ Steady
Cork City
50%
Draw
30%
Longford
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
77.5%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-9.5%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Cork City to win
1.29
Over 1.5 Goals85%
Cork City Clean Sheet80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Cork City vs Longford
Competition: Ireland Division 1
Date: Friday, 10th July 2026
KO: 7:45 pm
Pick: 1 (Cork City to win)
Odds: 1.29
Confidence: 68%
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Also: Cork City Clean Sheet (80%)
Head to Head
Record
8
Cork City
2
Draws
0
Longford
10
Meetings
3.2
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Cork City won 8 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Cork City
Metric
Longford
2.2
Goals For / Game
1.5
0.2
Goals Against / Game
1.8
80%
Clean Sheets
0%
9-0-1
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate
2.9
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
C0
0-0
5.8%
0-1
4.9%
0-2
2.1%
0-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
0-5
0.0%
C1
1-0
11.6%
1-1
9.8%
1-2
4.2%
1-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
1-5
0.0%
C2
2-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
2-5
0.0%
C3
3-0
7.7%
3-1
6.6%
3-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
3-5
0.0%
C4
4-0
3.9%
4-1
3.3%
4-2
1.4%
4-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
C5
5-0
1.5%
5-1
1.3%
5-2
0.6%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(11.6%)
2-0(11.6%)
2-1(9.8%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
C=Home goals ↓ L=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Cork City Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Longford Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
29%
Home Win & BTTS No
35%
Draw & BTTS Yes
3%
Draw & BTTS No
4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
13%
Away Win & BTTS No
16%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
35%
Home Win & Under 2.5
29%
Draw & Over 2.5
4%
Draw & Under 2.5
3%
Away Win & Over 2.5
16%
Away Win & Under 2.5
13%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Longford0
Cork City2
Cork City2
Longford1
Cork City3
Longford2
Cork City2
Longford0
Longford1
Cork City4
Longford0
Cork City2
Longford0
Cork City2
Cork City2
Longford2
Longford1
Cork City1
Cork City4
Longford1
Recent Form
Cork City
Cobh Ramblers0
Cork City1
Cork City2
Bray0
Cork City4
Treaty United0
Wexford0
Cork City2
Cork City4
Finn Harps0
Treaty United0
Cork City1
Athlone0
Cork City3
Longford0
Cork City2
Cork City3
UC Dublin1
Kerry1
Cork City0
Longford
Longford2
UC Dublin1
Kerry2
Longford1
Bray5
Longford2
Longford2
Cobh Ramblers1
Longford3
Treaty United1
Finn Harps2
Longford2
Longford0
Cork City2
Wexford1
Longford2
Longford1
Athlone1
UC Dublin2
Longford0
Cork City (Home)
Cork City2
Bray0
Cork City4
Treaty United0
Cork City4
Finn Harps0
Cork City3
UC Dublin1
Cork City0
Cobh Ramblers1
Cork City2
Wexford1
Cork City4
Kerry2
Cork City4
Athlone1
Cork City2
Longford1
Cork City1
Bray0
Longford (Away)
Kerry2
Longford1
Bray5
Longford2
Finn Harps2
Longford2
Wexford1
Longford2
UC Dublin2
Longford0
Cobh Ramblers0
Longford0
Athlone2
Longford0
Treaty United0
Longford0
Cork City2
Longford1
Kerry1
Longford1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Friday, 10th July 2026, Cork City host Longford at N/A in Ireland Division 1. We recommend Cork City to win as the standout selection.
Cork City arrive in strong form, having recorded 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Longford are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 2D 4L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Cork City, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to Longford's 0, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.
Our verdict: cork city to win at odds of 1.29 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Ireland Division 1 match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 5 wins from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.29, sitting at roughly 50,30,20% in our model. The match gets going at 7:45 pm over at N/A.
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Cork City vs Longford?
Our selection is 1 — Cork City to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Cork City's current form?
Cork City have won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Longford been performing recently?
Longford have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Cork City lead with 8 wins versus Longford's 0, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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