C
Criciuma U20
Home
D
W
W
W
W
6W 1D 3L
โฒ Improving
VS
โ
7:00 pm
โ
N/A
C
Concordia U20
Away
L
W
W
L
W
6W 1D 3L
โฒ Improving
Criciuma U20
50%
Draw
30%
Concordia U20
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
71.9%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-26.9%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 โ Criciuma U20 to win
1.39
Under 2.5 Goals70%
BTTS โ No80%
๐ Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Criciuma U20 vs Concordia U20
Competition: Brazil Catarinense U20
Date: Wednesday, 15th July 2026
KO: 7:00 pm
Pick: 1 (Criciuma U20 to win)
Odds: 1.39
Confidence: 45%
Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%)
Also: BTTS โ No (80%)
Head to Head
Record
0
Criciuma U20
2
Draws
1
Concordia U20
3
Meetings
0.3
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Against Tip
Criciuma U20 won 0 of the last 3 meetings (2 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Criciuma U20
Metric
Concordia U20
1.3
Goals For / Game
0
1.4
Goals Against / Game
0
40%
Clean Sheets
0%
6-1-3
W โ D โ L
6-1-3
Win Rate
1.4
Avg Goals
35%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
C0
0-0
25.9%
0-1
18.2%
0-2
6.4%
0-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
0-5
0.0%
C1
1-0
16.9%
1-1
11.8%
1-2
4.1%
1-3
1.0%
1-4
0.2%
1-5
0.0%
C2
2-0
5.5%
2-1
3.8%
2-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
2-5
0.0%
C3
3-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
3-2
0.3%
3-3
0.1%
3-4
0.0%
3-5
0.0%
C4
4-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
4-2
0.1%
4-3
0.0%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
C5
5-0
0.0%
5-1
0.0%
5-2
0.0%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(16.9%)
2-0(5.5%)
2-1(3.8%)
โ Best match
โ Possible
โ Low ยท โ Contradicts tip
C=Home goals โ C=Away โ
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Criciuma U20 Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Concordia U20 Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
9%
Home Win & BTTS No
37%
Draw & BTTS Yes
2%
Draw & BTTS No
6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
9%
Away Win & BTTS No
37%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
14%
Home Win & Under 2.5
32%
Draw & Over 2.5
2%
Draw & Under 2.5
6%
Away Win & Over 2.5
14%
Away Win & Under 2.5
32%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ
Kelly %
โ
Stake
โ
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Concordia U201
Criciuma U200
Criciuma U200
Concordia U200
Concordia U200
Criciuma U200
Recent Form
Criciuma U20
Avai U200
Criciuma U200
Criciuma U202
Barra FC U201
Nacao U200
Criciuma U201
Criciuma U203
Gremio U202
Vasco U201
Criciuma U202
Cuiaba U202
Criciuma U201
Criciuma U200
Palmeiras U206
Figueirense U200
Criciuma U201
Botafogo U202
Criciuma U200
Criciuma U203
Joinville U200
Concordia U20
Avai U200
Criciuma U200
Criciuma U202
Barra FC U201
Nacao U200
Criciuma U201
Criciuma U203
Gremio U202
Vasco U201
Criciuma U202
Cuiaba U202
Criciuma U201
Criciuma U200
Palmeiras U206
Figueirense U200
Criciuma U201
Botafogo U202
Criciuma U200
Criciuma U203
Joinville U200
Criciuma U20 (Home)
Criciuma U202
Barra FC U201
Criciuma U203
Gremio U202
Criciuma U200
Palmeiras U206
Criciuma U203
Joinville U200
Criciuma U201
Bahia U201
Criciuma U200
Carlos Renaux U200
Criciuma U202
Fluminense U200
Criciuma U201
Fortaleza U202
Criciuma U201
Avai U201
Criciuma U204
Avai U206
Concordia U20 (Away)
Nacao U202
Concordia U201
Carlos Renaux U203
Concordia U202
Chapecoense-SC U203
Concordia U201
Barra FC U201
Concordia U200
Brusque U201
Concordia U201
Figueirense U204
Concordia U200
Joinville U202
Concordia U202
Chapecoense-SC U202
Concordia U200
Criciuma U200
Concordia U200
Avai U201
Concordia U201
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Wednesday, 15th July 2026, Criciuma U20 host Concordia U20 at N/A in Brazil Catarinense U20. We recommend Criciuma U20 to win as the standout selection.
Criciuma U20 arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Concordia U20 are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 1D 3L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Criciuma U20, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Concordia U20's 1, with 2 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.
Our verdict: criciuma u20 to win at odds of 1.39 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Brazil Catarinense U20 match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.39, sitting at roughly 50,30,20% in our model. The match gets going at 7:00 pm over at N/A.
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today โ but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Criciuma U20 vs Concordia U20?
Our selection is 1 โ Criciuma U20 to win, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 45%.
What is Criciuma U20's current form?
Criciuma U20 have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Concordia U20 been performing recently?
Concordia U20 have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Criciuma U20 lead with 0 wins versus Concordia U20's 1, with 2 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
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