LOST Tip LOST Crusaders 1-2 Annagh
C

Crusaders

Home
W W W W D
4W 2D 4L → Steady
VS
1-2
A
Annagh
Away
L L L L D
3W 2D 5L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Friday, 1st May 2026
1X
Backing Crusaders to win or draw
Implied Prob 93.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -3.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
1
Crusaders
0
Draws
0
Annagh
1
Meetings
5
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Crusaders
Metric
Annagh
1.4
Goals For / Game
0.9
2
Goals Against / Game
1.8
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
4-2-4
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
40%
30%
3.1
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
C0
0-0 4.7%
0-1 6.9%
0-2 5.0%
0-3 2.4%
0-4 0.9%
0-5 0.3%
C1
1-0 7.6%
1-1 11.0%
1-2 8.0%
1-3 3.9%
1-4 1.4%
1-5 0.4%
C2
2-0 6.1%
2-1 8.8%
2-2 6.4%
2-3 3.1%
2-4 1.1%
2-5 0.3%
C3
3-0 3.2%
3-1 4.7%
3-2 3.4%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
C4
4-0 1.3%
4-1 1.9%
4-2 1.4%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
C5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(11.0%) 2-1(8.8%) 1-0(7.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip C=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
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Team Ratings
Grades
Crusaders
Overall
4.6
Scoring
4.7
Defence
3.3
Annagh
Overall
3.6
Scoring
3.0
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 17%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
28.04.26NIFL
Annagh2
Crusaders3
Recent Form
Crusaders
28.04.26NIFL
Annagh2
Crusaders3
W
25.04.26NIFL
Crusaders3
Ballymena2
W
18.04.26NIFL
Glenavon0
Crusaders1
W
11.04.26NIFL
Crusaders4
Portadown0
W
07.04.26NIFL
Crusaders1
Bangor FC1
D
28.03.26NIFL
Carrick Rangers6
Crusaders1
L
21.03.26NIFL
Portadown0
Crusaders0
D
14.03.26NIFL
Crusaders0
Glenavon3
L
10.03.26NIFL
Crusaders0
Cliftonville1
L
28.02.26NIFL
Glentoran5
Crusaders1
L
Annagh
28.04.26NIFL
Annagh2
Crusaders3
L
24.04.26CHA
H&W Welders4
Annagh0
L
18.04.26CHA
Annagh0
Limavady2
L
11.04.26CHA
Annagh0
Queens Univ.4
L
04.04.26CHA
Annagh1
Loughgall1
D
27.03.26CHA
Newington1
Annagh0
L
21.03.26CHA
Annagh1
Dundela1
D
14.03.26CHA
Warrenpoint0
Annagh1
W
07.03.26CHA
Annagh3
Ards2
W
03.03.26CHA
Annagh1
Warrenpoint0
W
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Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 1st May 2026, Crusaders host Annagh in NIFL Premiership. We recommend Crusaders to win or draw as the standout selection.

Crusaders arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Annagh are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 2D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Crusaders, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Annagh's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: crusaders to win or draw at odds of 1.07 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming NIFL Premiership match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1X, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.07. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Crusaders vs Annagh?
Our selection is 1X — Crusaders to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.07. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Crusaders's current form?
Crusaders have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Annagh been performing recently?
Annagh have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Crusaders lead with 1 wins versus Annagh's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
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