WON Tip WON Shamrock Rovers 1-0 Waterford
S

Shamrock Rovers

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L W W W D
6W 3D 1L ▲ Improving
VS
1-0
W
Waterford
Away
D L D D L
0W 4D 6L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Friday, 1st May 2026
1
Backing Shamrock Rovers to win
Shamrock Rovers 50%
Draw 30%
Waterford 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 75.8% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -17.8% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Shamrock Rovers to win
1.32
Under 2.5 Goals70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford Competition: Ger. Regionalliga Bayern Date: Friday, 1st May 2026 Pick: 1 (Shamrock Rovers to win) Odds: 1.32 Confidence: 58% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%)
Head to Head
Record
7
Shamrock Rovers
1
Draws
2
Waterford
10
Meetings
2.7
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Shamrock Rovers won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Shamrock Rovers
Metric
Waterford
1.4
Goals For / Game
0.8
0.7
Goals Against / Game
2.1
50%
Clean Sheets
10%
6-3-1
W — D — L
0-4-6
Win Rate
60%
0%
2.5
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
W0
W1
W2
W3
W4
W5
S0
0-0 8.2%
0-1 6.2%
0-2 2.3%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
S1
1-0 14.4%
1-1 10.8%
1-2 4.0%
1-3 1.0%
1-4 0.2%
1-5 0.0%
S2
2-0 12.6%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 3.5%
2-3 0.9%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
S3
3-0 7.3%
3-1 5.5%
3-2 2.1%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 3.2%
4-1 2.4%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(14.4%) 2-0(12.6%) 2-1(9.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   W=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Shamrock Rovers Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Waterford Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Shamrock Rovers
Overall
6.9
Scoring
4.7
Defence
7.7
Waterford
Overall
1.2
Scoring
2.7
Defence
3.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 17%
Draw & BTTS No 20%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 19%
Home Win & Under 2.5 44%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 26%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
03.04.26PD
Waterford1
Shamrock Rovers1
22.09.25PD
Waterford1
Shamrock Rovers2
27.06.25PD
Shamrock Rovers1
Waterford0
16.05.25PD
Waterford1
Shamrock Rovers3
11.04.25PD
Shamrock Rovers2
Waterford0
01.11.24PD
Shamrock Rovers2
Waterford1
02.08.24PD
Waterford1
Shamrock Rovers2
06.05.24PD
Shamrock Rovers1
Waterford3
01.04.24PD
Waterford1
Shamrock Rovers2
04.02.23CF
Shamrock Rovers0
Waterford2
Recent Form
Shamrock Rovers
24.04.26PD
Derry City1
Shamrock Rovers0
L
17.04.26PD
Shamrock Rovers2
Bohemians1
W
10.04.26PD
St. Patricks0
Shamrock Rovers1
W
06.04.26PD
Shamrock Rovers3
Shelbourne2
W
03.04.26PD
Waterford1
Shamrock Rovers1
D
20.03.26PD
Shamrock Rovers2
Galway0
W
16.03.26PD
Drogheda0
Shamrock Rovers0
D
13.03.26PD
Sligo Rovers0
Shamrock Rovers2
W
09.03.26PD
Shelbourne2
Shamrock Rovers2
D
06.03.26PD
Shamrock Rovers1
Derry City0
W
Waterford
24.04.26PD
Waterford1
Galway1
D
18.04.26PD
Sligo Rovers2
Waterford0
L
06.04.26PD
Bohemians1
Waterford1
D
03.04.26PD
Waterford1
Shamrock Rovers1
D
20.03.26PD
Waterford0
St. Patricks2
L
16.03.26PD
Galway4
Waterford3
L
13.03.26PD
Dundalk5
Waterford0
L
06.03.26PD
Waterford0
Bohemians1
L
27.02.26PD
Derry City4
Waterford2
L
20.02.26PD
Waterford0
Sligo Rovers0
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 1st May 2026, Shamrock Rovers host Waterford in Ger. Regionalliga Bayern. We recommend Shamrock Rovers to win as the standout selection.

Shamrock Rovers arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Waterford are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 4D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Shamrock Rovers, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Waterford's 2, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: shamrock rovers to win at odds of 1.32 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Ger. Regionalliga Bayern match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts.

We always begin by checking out the home team. Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games.

That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now. Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks.

Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong. On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss.

When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold. Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.32. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money.

Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford?
Our selection is 1 — Shamrock Rovers to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Shamrock Rovers's current form?
Shamrock Rovers have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Waterford been performing recently?
Waterford have recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Shamrock Rovers lead with 7 wins versus Waterford's 2, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
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