WON Tip WON Dep Pasto W 1-3 Atl Nacional W
D

Dep Pasto W

Home
L L L D L
0W 3D 7L → Steady
VS
1-3
A
Atl Nacional W
Away
W W W L W
8W 0D 2L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Sunday, 24th May 2026
2
Backing Atl Nacional W to win
Dep Pasto W 20%
Draw 30%
Atl Nacional W 50%
H Fair Odds 5
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 73% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -10% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Atl Nacional W to win
1.37
Atl Nacional W Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Dep Pasto W vs Atl Nacional W Competition: Colombia Liga Women Date: Sunday, 24th May 2026 Pick: 2 (Atl Nacional W to win) Odds: 1.37 Confidence: 63% Also: Atl Nacional W Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
0
Dep Pasto W
1
Draws
2
Atl Nacional W
3
Meetings
2.3
Avg Goals
33%
BTTS
33%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Atl Nacional W won 2 of 3 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Dep Pasto W
Metric
Atl Nacional W
0.7
Goals For / Game
1.7
1.7
Goals Against / Game
0.4
20%
Clean Sheets
60%
0-3-7
W — D — L
8-0-2
Win Rate
0%
80%
2.3
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
D0
0-0 10.5%
0-1 17.9%
0-2 15.2%
0-3 8.6%
0-4 3.7%
0-5 1.3%
D1
1-0 5.8%
1-1 9.9%
1-2 8.4%
1-3 4.8%
1-4 2.0%
1-5 0.7%
D2
2-0 1.6%
2-1 2.7%
2-2 2.3%
2-3 1.3%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.2%
D3
3-0 0.3%
3-1 0.5%
3-2 0.4%
3-3 0.2%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
D4
4-0 0.0%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
D5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(17.9%) 0-2(15.2%) 0-3(8.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip D=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Dep Pasto W Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Atl Nacional W Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Dep Pasto W
Overall
0.9
Scoring
2.3
Defence
4.3
Atl Nacional W
Overall
8.0
Scoring
5.7
Defence
8.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Home Win & BTTS No 0%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Away Win & BTTS No 50%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 0%
Home Win & Under 2.5 0%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 38%
Away Win & Under 2.5 46%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
02.03.25LW
Atl. Nacional W2
Dep. Pasto0
06.04.24LW
Dep. Pasto W1
Atl. Nacional1
02.03.23LW
Dep. Pasto W0
Atl. Nacional3
Recent Form
Dep Pasto W
18.05.26LW
America de Cali W2
Dep. Pasto W0
L
10.05.26LW
Dep. Pasto W1
Fortaleza W2
L
04.05.26LW
Once Caldas W1
Dep. Pasto W0
L
26.04.26LW
Dep. Pasto W0
Santa Fe W0
D
11.04.26LW
Dep. Pasto W1
Millonarios W2
L
31.03.26LW
Ind. Medellin W3
Dep. Pasto W1
L
22.03.26LW
Dep. Pasto W0
Junior W0
D
18.03.26LW
Bucaramanga W3
Dep. Pasto W1
L
09.03.26LW
Real Santander W1
Dep. Pasto W1
D
01.03.26LW
Dep. Pasto W2
Inter Palmira W3
L
Atl Nacional W
16.05.26LW
Atl. Nacional W1
Once Caldas W0
W
11.05.26LW
Inter Palmira W0
Atl. Nacional W1
W
01.05.26LW
Atl. Nacional W1
Ind. Medellin W0
W
26.04.26LW
Orsomarso W1
Atl. Nacional W0
L
12.04.26LW
Atl. Nacional W5
Real Santander W0
W
30.03.26LW
Junior W1
Atl. Nacional W2
W
21.03.26LW
Atl. Nacional W2
Bucaramanga W0
W
16.03.26LW
America de Cali W1
Atl. Nacional W0
L
10.03.26LW
Atl. Nacional W2
Millonarios W1
W
25.02.26LW
Santa Fe W0
Atl. Nacional W3
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Sunday, 24th May 2026, Dep Pasto W host Atl Nacional W in Colombia Liga Women. We recommend Atl Nacional W to win as the standout selection.

Dep Pasto W arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Atl Nacional W are travelling well, with a record of 8W 0D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Dep Pasto W, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Atl Nacional W's 2, with 1 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 33% of those meetings.

Our verdict: atl nacional w to win at odds of 1.37 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Colombia Liga Women match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 2, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.37. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Dep Pasto W vs Atl Nacional W?
Our selection is 2 — Atl Nacional W to win, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 63%.
What is Dep Pasto W's current form?
Dep Pasto W have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches.
How has Atl Nacional W been performing recently?
Atl Nacional W have recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Dep Pasto W lead with 0 wins versus Atl Nacional W's 2, with 1 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 33%.
⚠️
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