WON Tip WON Essendon Royals SC 3-2 Werribee
E

Essendon Royals SC

Home
W W L W W
8W 0D 2L ▲ Improving
VS
3-2
W
Werribee
Away
L W L W L
4W 1D 5L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Friday, 19th June 2026
1
Backing Essendon Royals SC to win
Essendon Royals SC 20%
Draw 30%
Werribee 50%
H Fair Odds 5
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 68.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -30.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Essendon Royals SC to win
1.46
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Essendon Royals SC vs Werribee Competition: Australia Victoria PL 2 Date: Friday, 19th June 2026 Pick: 1 (Essendon Royals SC to win) Odds: 1.46 Confidence: 38% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Essendon Royals SC
0
Draws
0
Werribee
1
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Essendon Royals SC won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Essendon Royals SC
Metric
Werribee
3.1
Goals For / Game
1.4
1
Goals Against / Game
1.4
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
8-0-2
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate
80%
40%
3.5
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
W0
W1
W2
W3
W4
W5
E0
0-0 3.2%
0-1 3.8%
0-2 2.3%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
E1
1-0 7.1%
1-1 8.6%
1-2 5.1%
1-3 2.1%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.2%
E2
2-0 8.0%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 5.8%
2-3 2.3%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
E3
3-0 6.0%
3-1 7.2%
3-2 4.3%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
E4
4-0 3.4%
4-1 4.1%
4-2 2.4%
4-3 1.0%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
E5
5-0 1.5%
5-1 1.8%
5-2 1.1%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.6%) 2-0(8.0%) 3-1(7.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip E=Home goals ↓   W=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Essendon Royals SC Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Werribee Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Essendon Royals SC
Overall
8.0
Scoring
10.0
Defence
6.7
Werribee
Overall
4.3
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 38%
Home Win & Under 2.5 26%
Draw & Over 2.5 2%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 19%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
14.03.26VPL2
Werribee City1
Essendon Royals SC3
Recent Form
Essendon Royals SC
13.06.26VPL2
Malvern2
Essendon Royals SC4
W
05.06.26VPL2
Essendon Royals SC8
Springvale0
W
30.05.26VPL2
Goulburn Valley Suns1
Essendon Royals SC0
L
22.05.26VPL2
Essendon Royals SC5
Nunawading City1
W
15.05.26VPL2
Essendon Royals SC3
Moreland City1
W
08.05.26VPL2
Keilor Park1
Essendon Royals SC0
L
01.05.26VPL2
Essendon Royals SC2
Eastern Lions1
W
25.04.26VPL2
Altona City0
Essendon Royals SC2
W
17.04.26VPL2
Kingston City0
Essendon Royals SC3
W
10.04.26VPL2
Essendon Royals SC4
Whittlesea United3
W
Werribee
12.06.26VPL2
Whittlesea United4
Werribee City0
L
05.06.26VPL2
Box Hill0
Werribee City2
W
30.05.26VPL2
Bayside Argonauts2
Werribee City0
L
22.05.26VPL2
Kingston City0
Werribee City2
W
15.05.26VPL2
Werribee City0
Malvern1
L
08.05.26VPL2
Springvale1
Werribee City0
L
02.05.26VPL2
Werribee City2
Goulburn Valley Suns2
D
25.04.26VPL2
Nunawading City1
Werribee City4
W
18.04.26VPL2
Werribee City3
Moreland City1
W
10.04.26VPL2
Keilor Park2
Werribee City1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 19th June 2026, Essendon Royals SC host Werribee in Australia Victoria PL 2. We recommend Essendon Royals SC to win as the standout selection.

Essendon Royals SC arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Werribee are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 1D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Essendon Royals SC, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Werribee's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: essendon royals sc to win at odds of 1.46 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Australia Victoria PL 2 match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.46. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Essendon Royals SC vs Werribee?
Our selection is 1 — Essendon Royals SC to win, priced at approximately 1.46. Tip confidence rating: 38%.
What is Essendon Royals SC's current form?
Essendon Royals SC have won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Werribee been performing recently?
Werribee have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Essendon Royals SC lead with 1 wins versus Werribee's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
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