WON
Tip WON
Guangdong GZ-Power 1-2 Beijing Gouan
G
Guangdong GZ-Power
Home
W
D
L
W
D
6W 2D 2L
→ Steady
VS
1-2
B
Beijing Gouan
Away
W
L
D
W
D
4W 4D 2L
→ Steady
Guangdong GZ-Power
30%
Draw
20%
Beijing Gouan
50%
H Fair Odds
3.33
D Fair Odds
5
A Fair Odds
2
Implied Prob
69%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-23%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
Neutral
No head-to-head data found.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Guangdong GZ-Power
Metric
Beijing Gouan
1.7
Goals For / Game
2
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.6
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
6-2-2
W — D — L
4-4-2
Win Rate
3.1
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
G0
0-0
4.5%
0-1
6.5%
0-2
4.7%
0-3
2.3%
0-4
0.8%
0-5
0.2%
G1
1-0
7.4%
1-1
10.8%
1-2
7.8%
1-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
G2
2-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
2-2
6.5%
2-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
G3
3-0
3.4%
3-1
4.9%
3-2
3.6%
3-3
1.7%
3-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
G4
4-0
1.4%
4-1
2.0%
4-2
1.5%
4-3
0.7%
4-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
G5
5-0
0.5%
5-1
0.7%
5-2
0.5%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-2(7.8%)
0-1(6.5%)
0-2(4.7%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
G=Home goals ↓ B=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Guangdong GZ-Power Win
3.33
30%
Draw
5
20%
Beijing Gouan Win
2
50%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
28%
Home Win & BTTS No
18%
Draw & BTTS Yes
14%
Draw & BTTS No
9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
19%
Away Win & BTTS No
12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
28%
Home Win & Under 2.5
18%
Draw & Over 2.5
14%
Draw & Under 2.5
9%
Away Win & Over 2.5
19%
Away Win & Under 2.5
12%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
No data found.
Recent Form
Guangdong GZ-Power
Dingnan Ganlian1
Guangdong GZ-Power3
Guangdong GZ-Power0
Shenzhen Juniors0
Guangdong GZ-Power3
Yanbian Longding4
Wuhan Lianzhen0
Guangdong GZ-Power1
Dalian K’un City1
Guangdong GZ-Power1
Guangdong GZ-Power3
Nantong Zhiyun1
Changchun Yatai1
Guangdong GZ-Power2
Guangdong GZ-Power3
Meizhou Hakka0
Guangdong GZ-Power1
Wuxi Wugou0
Guangxi Hengchen1
Guangdong GZ-Power0
Beijing Gouan
Chongqing Tonglianglong2
Beijing Guoan3
Beijing Guoan1
Henan Songshan Longmen2
Qingdao West Coast1
Beijing Guoan1
Beijing Guoan4
Qingdao Hainiu2
Beijing Guoan2
Shanghai Port2
Beijing Guoan3
Dalian Yingbo0
Yunnan Yukun3
Beijing Guoan3
Beijing Guoan2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger4
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng0
Beijing Guoan1
Zhejiang Professional0
Beijing Guoan0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Friday, 19th June 2026, Guangdong GZ-Power host Beijing Gouan in China FA Cup. We recommend Beijing Gouan to win as the standout selection.
Guangdong GZ-Power arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Beijing Gouan are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 4D 2L across 10 matches.
Our verdict: beijing gouan to win at odds of 1.45 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming China FA Cup match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.
Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.
Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.
On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.
Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 2, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.45. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Guangdong GZ-Power vs Beijing Gouan?
Our selection is 2 — Beijing Gouan to win, priced at approximately 1.45. Tip confidence rating: 46%.
What is Guangdong GZ-Power's current form?
Guangdong GZ-Power have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Beijing Gouan been performing recently?
Beijing Gouan have recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game.
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