F
FC Gandzasar
Home
L
L
L
L
L
1W 1D 8L
▼ Declining
VS
—
5:00 pm
—
Stadion Gandzasar (Kapan)
A
Ararat Armenia
Away
L
W
L
W
D
5W 2D 3L
▲ Improving
FC Gandzasar
20%
Draw
30%
Ararat Armenia
50%
H Fair Odds
5
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
2
Implied Prob
75.8%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-12.8%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Ararat Armenia to win
1.32
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
FC Gandzasar vs Ararat Armenia
Competition: Armenia Premier League
Date: Saturday, 1st August 2026
KO: 5:00 pm
Pick: 2 (Ararat Armenia to win)
Odds: 1.32
Confidence: 63%
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Head to Head
Record
0
FC Gandzasar
0
Draws
7
Ararat Armenia
7
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
43%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Ararat Armenia won 7 of 7 meetings.
Stats Duel
Comparison
FC Gandzasar
Metric
Ararat Armenia
0.8
Goals For / Game
1.4
2.3
Goals Against / Game
1.3
0%
Clean Sheets
40%
1-1-8
W — D — L
5-2-3
Win Rate
2.9
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
F0
0-0
5.5%
0-1
10.2%
0-2
9.4%
0-3
5.8%
0-4
2.7%
0-5
1.0%
F1
1-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
1-3
6.1%
1-4
2.8%
1-5
1.0%
F2
2-0
3.0%
2-1
5.6%
2-2
5.2%
2-3
3.2%
2-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
F3
3-0
1.1%
3-1
2.0%
3-2
1.8%
3-3
1.1%
3-4
0.5%
3-5
0.2%
F4
4-0
0.3%
4-1
0.5%
4-2
0.5%
4-3
0.3%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.1%
F5
5-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
5-2
0.1%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
0-1(10.2%)
1-2(9.9%)
0-2(9.4%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
F=Home goals ↓ A=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
FC Gandzasar Win
5
20%
Draw
3.33
30%
Ararat Armenia Win
2
50%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
7%
Home Win & BTTS No
7%
Draw & BTTS Yes
10%
Draw & BTTS No
10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
34%
Away Win & BTTS No
34%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
6%
Home Win & Under 2.5
7%
Draw & Over 2.5
9%
Draw & Under 2.5
11%
Away Win & Over 2.5
30%
Away Win & Under 2.5
37%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Ararat-Armenia1
FC Gandzasar0
FC Gandzasar0
Ararat-Armenia1
Ararat-Armenia1
FC Gandzasar0
FC Gandzasar0
Ararat-Armenia4
Ararat-Armenia3
FC Gandzasar0
FC Gandzasar0
Ararat-Armenia3
Ararat-Armenia1
FC Gandzasar0
Recent Form
FC Gandzasar
BKMA2
FC Gandzasar0
Ararat-Armenia1
FC Gandzasar0
FC Gandzasar0
Pyunik Yerevan2
Alashkert3
FC Gandzasar1
FC Gandzasar1
Noah4
FC Gandzasar0
Van1
FC Gandzasar3
Shirak Gyumri2
BKMA1
FC Gandzasar1
FC Gandzasar0
Noah3
Urartu4
FC Gandzasar2
Ararat Armenia
Shamrock Rovers2
Ararat-Armenia1
Ararat-Armenia2
Shamrock Rovers0
Riga FC3
Ararat-Armenia2
Ararat-Armenia2
Riga FC0
Ararat-Armenia1
Vojvodina1
Ararat-Armenia1
Mura1
Ararat-Armenia1
FC Gandzasar0
BKMA2
Ararat-Armenia3
Ararat-Armenia0
Noah4
Ararat-Armenia1
Pyunik Yerevan0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Saturday, 1st August 2026, FC Gandzasar host Ararat Armenia at Stadion Gandzasar (Kapan) in Armenia Premier League. We recommend Ararat Armenia to win as the standout selection.
FC Gandzasar arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Ararat Armenia are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 2D 3L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour FC Gandzasar, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Ararat Armenia's 7, with 0 draws from 7 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.
Our verdict: ararat armenia to win at odds of 1.32 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Armenia Premier League match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 5 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 2 at @1.32, sitting at roughly 20,30,50% in our model. The match gets going at 5:00 pm over at Stadion Gandzasar (Kapan).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for FC Gandzasar vs Ararat Armenia?
Our selection is 2 — Ararat Armenia to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 63%.
What is FC Gandzasar's current form?
FC Gandzasar have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches.
How has Ararat Armenia been performing recently?
Ararat Armenia have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
FC Gandzasar lead with 0 wins versus Ararat Armenia's 7, with 0 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
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