L
Leevon PPK
Home
W
W
L
L
L
6W 1D 3L
โฒ Improving
VS
โ
5:00 pm
โ
N/A
R
Rezekne
Away
L
L
D
L
L
1W 2D 7L
โผ Declining
Leevon PPK
50%
Draw
30%
Rezekne
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
84.7%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-18.7%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 โ Leevon PPK to win
1.18
Over 2.5 Goals80%
Over 1.5 Goals85%
BTTS โ Yes80%
๐ Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Leevon PPK vs Rezekne
Competition: Latvia Nakotnes Liga
Date: Saturday, 1st August 2026
KO: 5:00 pm
Pick: 1 (Leevon PPK to win)
Odds: 1.18
Confidence: 66%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%)
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Also: BTTS โ Yes (80%)
Head to Head
Record
5
Leevon PPK
0
Draws
0
Rezekne
5
Meetings
5
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Leevon PPK won 5 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Leevon PPK
Metric
Rezekne
2
Goals For / Game
1
1.8
Goals Against / Game
2.1
10%
Clean Sheets
0%
6-1-3
W โ D โ L
1-2-7
Win Rate
3.5
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
L0
0-0
3.2%
0-1
4.4%
0-2
3.1%
0-3
1.5%
0-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
L1
1-0
6.5%
1-1
9.1%
1-2
6.4%
1-3
3.0%
1-4
1.0%
1-5
0.3%
L2
2-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
2-2
6.5%
2-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
L3
3-0
4.6%
3-1
6.4%
3-2
4.5%
3-3
2.1%
3-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
L4
4-0
2.3%
4-1
3.3%
4-2
2.3%
4-3
1.1%
4-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
L5
5-0
1.0%
5-1
1.3%
5-2
0.9%
5-3
0.4%
5-4
0.2%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
2-1(9.3%)
2-0(6.7%)
1-0(6.5%)
โ Best match
โ Possible
โ Low ยท โ Contradicts tip
L=Home goals โ R=Away โ
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Leevon PPK Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Rezekne Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
57%
Home Win & BTTS No
14%
Draw & BTTS Yes
14%
Draw & BTTS No
4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
9%
Away Win & BTTS No
2%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
57%
Home Win & Under 2.5
14%
Draw & Over 2.5
14%
Draw & Under 2.5
4%
Away Win & Over 2.5
9%
Away Win & Under 2.5
2%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ
Kelly %
โ
Stake
โ
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Rezekne0
Leevon PPK2
Rezekne1
Leevon PPK2
Leevon PPK6
Rezekne2
Rezekne0
Leevon PPK7
Leevon PPK4
Rezekne1
Recent Form
Leevon PPK
Leevon PPK2
Skanste1
Leevon PPK2
Riga Mariners1
Leevon PPK2
Riga FC3
Valmiera4
Leevon PPK1
Leevon PPK1
Metta3
JFK Ventspils1
Leevon PPK3
Alberts JDFS0
Leevon PPK0
DSVK Traktors3
Leevon PPK5
Leevon PPK2
JFK Ventspils1
RFS 21
Leevon PPK2
Rezekne
Rezekne1
Marupe2
FK Smiltene1
Rezekne0
Rezekne1
JFK Ventspils1
Rezekne2
Alberts JDFS4
RFS 23
Rezekne0
Kekava-Auda2
Rezekne1
Rezekne2
Riga FC 21
Rezekne1
Tukums 2000 24
Super Nova 21
Rezekne0
Rezekne2
Riga Mariners2
Leevon PPK (Home)
Leevon PPK2
Skanste1
Leevon PPK2
Riga Mariners1
Leevon PPK2
Riga FC3
Leevon PPK1
Metta3
Leevon PPK2
JFK Ventspils1
Leevon PPK3
Riga FC 22
Leevon PPK4
Tukums 2000 21
Leevon PPK0
Marupe0
Leevon PPK3
JFK Ventspils2
Leevon PPK0
Marupe0
Rezekne (Away)
FK Smiltene1
Rezekne0
RFS 23
Rezekne0
Kekava-Auda2
Rezekne1
Super Nova 21
Rezekne0
Valmiera3
Rezekne1
Metta5
Rezekne0
Marupe4
Rezekne0
FK Smiltene2
Rezekne2
Riga Mariners6
Rezekne0
Augsdaugavas0
Rezekne5
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Saturday, 1st August 2026, Leevon PPK host Rezekne at N/A in Latvia Nakotnes Liga. We recommend Leevon PPK to win as the standout selection.
Leevon PPK arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Rezekne are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 2D 7L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Leevon PPK, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Rezekne's 0, with 0 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.
Our verdict: leevon ppk to win at odds of 1.18 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Latvia Nakotnes Liga match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.18, sitting at roughly 50,30,20% in our model. The match gets going at 5:00 pm over at N/A.
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today โ but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Leevon PPK vs Rezekne?
Our selection is 1 โ Leevon PPK to win, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 66%.
What is Leevon PPK's current form?
Leevon PPK have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Rezekne been performing recently?
Rezekne have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Leevon PPK lead with 5 wins versus Rezekne's 0, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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