Moderate Signal 60% Confidence
F

Fenerbahce

Home
W W W D W
6W 2D 2L โ–ผ Declining
VS
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7:00 pm
โ€”
Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu (Istanbul)
G
Gornik Zabrze
Away
L W D L W
5W 2D 3L โ–ผ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection ยท Tuesday, 21st July 2026
1
Backing Fenerbahce to win
Fenerbahce 60%
Draw 20%
Gornik Zabrze 20%
H Fair Odds 1.67
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 85.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -25.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
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Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 โ€” Fenerbahce to win
1.17
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals80%
๐Ÿ“‹ Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Fenerbahce vs Gornik Zabrze Competition: UCL Qualifiers Date: Tuesday, 21st July 2026 KO: 7:00 pm Pick: 1 (Fenerbahce to win) Odds: 1.17 Confidence: 60% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
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Head to Head
Record
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Fenerbahce
Metric
Gornik Zabrze
2.6
Goals For / Game
1.6
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1
40%
Clean Sheets
50%
6-2-2
W โ€” D โ€” L
5-2-3
Win Rate
60%
50%
3.2
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
๐ŸŽฏ
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
F0
0-0 4.3%
0-1 5.8%
0-2 3.9%
0-3 1.8%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
F1
1-0 7.7%
1-1 10.4%
1-2 7.0%
1-3 3.2%
1-4 1.1%
1-5 0.3%
F2
2-0 6.9%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 6.3%
2-3 2.9%
2-4 1.0%
2-5 0.3%
F3
3-0 4.2%
3-1 5.6%
3-2 3.8%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
F4
4-0 1.9%
4-1 2.5%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
F5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.4%) 1-0(7.7%) 2-0(6.9%)
โ–  Best match โ–  Possible โ–  Low ยท โ–  Contradicts tip F=Home goals โ†“   G=Away โ†’
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Fenerbahce Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Gornik Zabrze Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
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Team Ratings
Grades
Fenerbahce
Overall
6.6 โ–ผ
Scoring
8.7 โ–ผ
Defence
6.3 โ–ผ
Gornik Zabrze
Overall
5.6 โ–ฒ
Scoring
5.3 โ–ฒ
Defence
6.7 โ–ฒ
๐Ÿ”€
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 28%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 27%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
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Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
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Kelly %
โ€”
Stake
โ€”
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Fenerbahce
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W
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Pogon Szczecin0
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D
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L
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Fenerbahce0
L
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Fenerbahce2
Rizespor2
D
11.04.26SL
Kayserispor0
Fenerbahce4
W
Gornik Zabrze
16.07.26SC
Lech Poznan3
Gornik Zabrze1
L
10.07.26CF
Nordsjaelland0
Gornik Zabrze2
W
04.07.26CF
Tirol0
Gornik Zabrze0
D
04.07.26CF
Salzburg2
Gornik Zabrze1
L
28.06.26CF
Hallescher1
Gornik Zabrze2
W
24.06.26CF
Gornik Zabrze3
Puszcza0
W
23.05.26EKS
Gornik Zabrze6
Radomiak Radom2
W
16.05.26EKS
Wisla Plock0
Gornik Zabrze1
W
13.05.26EKS
Arka Gdynia0
Gornik Zabrze0
D
09.05.26EKS
Gornik Zabrze0
Zaglebie2
L
๐Ÿ“
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 21st July 2026, Fenerbahce host Gornik Zabrze at Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu (Istanbul) in UCL Qualifiers. We recommend Fenerbahce to win as the standout selection.

Fenerbahce arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Gornik Zabrze are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 2D 3L across 10 matches.

Our verdict: fenerbahce to win at odds of 1.17 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Let me be honest with you about how this UCL Qualifiers match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.

The home team rolls in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.

Across from them, the away side brings 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.

Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.17, sitting at roughly 80% in our model. The match gets going at 7:00 pm over at Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu (Istanbul).

That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today โ€” but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.

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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Fenerbahce vs Gornik Zabrze?
Our selection is 1 โ€” Fenerbahce to win, priced at approximately 1.17. Tip confidence rating: 60%.
What is Fenerbahce's current form?
Fenerbahce have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Gornik Zabrze been performing recently?
Gornik Zabrze have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game.
โš ๏ธ
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