F
Forge
Home
W
W
W
L
W
8W 1D 1L
▼ Declining
VS
—
6:00 pm
—
Tim Hortons Field (Hamilton, ON)
V
Vancouver FC
Away
W
W
L
D
L
4W 2D 4L
▼ Declining
Forge
50%
Draw
30%
Vancouver FC
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
71.4%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-7.4%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Forge to win
1.40
Under 2.5 Goals65%
Forge Clean Sheet70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Forge vs Vancouver FC
Competition: Canadian Premier League
Date: Wednesday, 7th January 2026
KO: 6:00 pm
Pick: 1 (Forge to win)
Odds: 1.40
Confidence: 64%
Also: Under 2.5 Goals (65%)
Also: Forge Clean Sheet (70%)
Head to Head
Record
7
Forge
2
Draws
1
Vancouver FC
10
Meetings
2.8
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Forge won 7 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Forge
Metric
Vancouver FC
1.7
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.4
Goals Against / Game
1
70%
Clean Sheets
10%
8-1-1
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate
2.1
Avg Goals
55%
Over 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
V0
V1
V2
V3
V4
V5
F0
0-0
12.3%
0-1
9.2%
0-2
3.4%
0-3
0.9%
0-4
0.2%
0-5
0.0%
F1
1-0
16.5%
1-1
12.4%
1-2
4.7%
1-3
1.2%
1-4
0.2%
1-5
0.0%
F2
2-0
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
2-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
2-5
0.0%
F3
3-0
5.0%
3-1
3.8%
3-2
1.4%
3-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
3-5
0.0%
F4
4-0
1.7%
4-1
1.3%
4-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
F5
5-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(16.5%)
2-0(11.2%)
2-1(8.4%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
F=Home goals ↓ V=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Forge Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Vancouver FC Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
24%
Home Win & BTTS No
35%
Draw & BTTS Yes
4%
Draw & BTTS No
7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
12%
Away Win & BTTS No
18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
21%
Home Win & Under 2.5
38%
Draw & Over 2.5
4%
Draw & Under 2.5
7%
Away Win & Over 2.5
11%
Away Win & Under 2.5
20%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Vancouver FC0
Forge1
Forge1
Vancouver FC1
Vancouver FC0
Forge1
Forge2
Vancouver FC1
Vancouver FC0
Forge2
Vancouver FC1
Forge3
Vancouver FC1
Forge2
Forge3
Vancouver FC3
Forge1
Vancouver FC2
Vancouver FC0
Forge3
Recent Form
Forge
Forge1
HFX Wanderers0
Inter Toronto1
Forge4
Forge1
Cavalry0
Atl. Ottawa2
Forge1
Forge1
Supra du Quebec0
Forge4
HFX Wanderers0
HFX Wanderers1
Forge3
Pacific FC0
Forge1
Forge0
Cavalry0
Vancouver FC0
Forge1
Vancouver FC
Vancouver FC2
Pacific FC1
Vancouver FC2
Atl. Ottawa1
HFX Wanderers1
Vancouver FC0
Vancouver FC1
Supra du Quebec1
Vancouver FC0
Cavalry2
Vancouver FC2
Langley United0
Pacific FC1
Vancouver FC3
Atl. Ottawa1
Vancouver FC1
Inter Toronto1
Vancouver FC0
Vancouver FC0
Forge1
Forge (Home)
Forge1
HFX Wanderers0
Forge1
Cavalry0
Forge1
Supra du Quebec0
Forge4
HFX Wanderers0
Forge0
Cavalry0
Forge2
Atl. Ottawa0
Forge0
Tigres UANL0
Forge0
Cavalry1
Forge1
Atl. Ottawa2
Forge3
Inter Toronto0
Vancouver FC (Away)
HFX Wanderers1
Vancouver FC0
Pacific FC1
Vancouver FC3
Atl. Ottawa1
Vancouver FC1
Inter Toronto1
Vancouver FC0
Cruz Azul5
Vancouver FC0
Atl. Ottawa0
Vancouver FC0
Forge1
Vancouver FC1
Vancouver Whitecaps4
Vancouver FC2
Atl. Ottawa1
Vancouver FC0
Pacific FC1
Vancouver FC1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Wednesday, 7th January 2026, Forge host Vancouver FC at Tim Hortons Field (Hamilton, ON) in Canadian Premier League. We recommend Forge to win as the standout selection.
Forge arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Vancouver FC are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 2D 4L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Forge, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Vancouver FC's 1, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.
Our verdict: forge to win at odds of 1.40 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Canadian Premier League match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.40, sitting at roughly 50,30,20% in our model. The match gets going at 6:00 pm over at Tim Hortons Field (Hamilton, ON).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Forge vs Vancouver FC?
Our selection is 1 — Forge to win, priced at approximately 1.40. Tip confidence rating: 64%.
What is Forge's current form?
Forge have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Vancouver FC been performing recently?
Vancouver FC have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Forge lead with 7 wins versus Vancouver FC's 1, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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