Moderate Signal 53% Confidence
K

KDV Tomsk

Home
L W D D L
5W 2D 3L โ–ฒ Improving
VS
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1:00 pm
โ€”
N/A
A
Akron Togliatti 2
Away
D L W L W
3W 1D 6L โ–ผ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection ยท Wednesday, 7th January 2026
1
Backing KDV Tomsk to win
KDV Tomsk 50%
Draw 30%
Akron Togliatti 2 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 76.3% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -23.3% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
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Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 โ€” KDV Tomsk to win
1.31
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals85%
๐Ÿ“‹ Betting Slip / Acca Builder
KDV Tomsk vs Akron Togliatti 2 Competition: Russia FNL 2 - Div B Date: Wednesday, 7th January 2026 KO: 1:00 pm Pick: 1 (KDV Tomsk to win) Odds: 1.31 Confidence: 53% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
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Head to Head
Record
2
KDV Tomsk
0
Draws
1
Akron Togliatti 2
3
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
67%
BTTS
67%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip KDV Tomsk won 2 of the last 3 meetings (0 draws).
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Stats Duel
Comparison
KDV Tomsk
Metric
Akron Togliatti 2
1.4
Goals For / Game
1.7
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.8
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
5-2-3
W โ€” D โ€” L
3-1-6
Win Rate
50%
30%
3.1
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
K0
0-0 4.5%
0-1 6.8%
0-2 5.1%
0-3 2.5%
0-4 1.0%
0-5 0.3%
K1
1-0 7.2%
1-1 10.8%
1-2 8.1%
1-3 4.1%
1-4 1.5%
1-5 0.5%
K2
2-0 5.8%
2-1 8.7%
2-2 6.5%
2-3 3.2%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.4%
K3
3-0 3.1%
3-1 4.6%
3-2 3.5%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
K4
4-0 1.2%
4-1 1.9%
4-2 1.4%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
K5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(8.7%) 1-0(7.2%) 2-0(5.8%)
โ–  Best match โ–  Possible โ–  Low ยท โ–  Contradicts tip K=Home goals โ†“   A=Away โ†’
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
KDV Tomsk Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Akron Togliatti 2 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
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Team Ratings
Grades
KDV Tomsk
Overall
5.6 โ–ฒ
Scoring
4.7 โ–ฒ
Defence
5.7 โ–ฒ
Akron Togliatti 2
Overall
3.3 โ–ผ
Scoring
5.7 โ–ผ
Defence
4.0 โ–ผ
๐Ÿ”€
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 37%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 22%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
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Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
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Kelly %
โ€”
Stake
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Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
29.04.26FNL2B
Akron Togliatti 21
KDV Tomsk2
07.09.25FNL2B
KDV Tomsk0
Akron Togliatti 22
01.06.25FNL2B
Akron Togliatti 21
KDV Tomsk3
Recent Form
KDV Tomsk
28.06.26FNL2B
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod4
KDV Tomsk0
L
21.06.26FNL2B
KDV Tomsk4
Ural 21
W
14.06.26FNL2B
Chelyabinsk 20
KDV Tomsk0
D
07.06.26FNL2B
KDV Tomsk1
Izhevsk1
D
31.05.26FNL2B
Krylya Sovetov Samara 22
KDV Tomsk1
L
24.05.26FNL2B
Orenburg 23
KDV Tomsk0
L
17.05.26FNL2B
KDV Tomsk1
Rubin Kazan 20
W
10.05.26FNL2B
Nosta0
KDV Tomsk2
W
03.05.26FNL2B
KDV Tomsk3
Dynamo Barnaul1
W
29.04.26FNL2B
Akron Togliatti 21
KDV Tomsk2
W
Akron Togliatti 2
28.06.26FNL2B
Akron Togliatti 21
Orenburg 21
D
21.06.26FNL2B
Rubin Kazan 21
Akron Togliatti 20
L
14.06.26FNL2B
Akron Togliatti 25
Nosta0
W
07.06.26FNL2B
Krylya Sovetov Samara 22
Akron Togliatti 21
L
31.05.26FNL2B
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod1
Akron Togliatti 23
W
24.05.26FNL2B
Akron Togliatti 23
Ural 21
W
17.05.26FNL2B
Chelyabinsk 23
Akron Togliatti 21
L
10.05.26FNL2B
Akron Togliatti 21
Khimik5
L
03.05.26FNL2B
Izhevsk2
Akron Togliatti 21
L
29.04.26FNL2B
Akron Togliatti 21
KDV Tomsk2
L
KDV Tomsk (Home)
21.06.26FNL2B
KDV Tomsk4
Ural 21
W
07.06.26FNL2B
KDV Tomsk1
Izhevsk1
D
17.05.26FNL2B
KDV Tomsk1
Rubin Kazan 20
W
03.05.26FNL2B
KDV Tomsk3
Dynamo Barnaul1
W
26.04.26FNL2B
KDV Tomsk4
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod2
W
12.04.26FNL2B
KDV Tomsk3
Chelyabinsk 20
W
25.01.26CF
KDV Tomsk2
PSK Dinskoy rayon2
D
19.10.25FNL2B
KDV Tomsk3
Rubin Kazan 22
W
05.10.25FNL2B
KDV Tomsk2
Khimik1
W
Akron Togliatti 2 (Away)
21.06.26FNL2B
Rubin Kazan 21
Akron Togliatti 20
L
07.06.26FNL2B
Krylya Sovetov Samara 22
Akron Togliatti 21
L
31.05.26FNL2B
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod1
Akron Togliatti 23
W
17.05.26FNL2B
Chelyabinsk 23
Akron Togliatti 21
L
03.05.26FNL2B
Izhevsk2
Akron Togliatti 21
L
26.04.26FNL2B
Orenburg 23
Akron Togliatti 21
L
12.04.26FNL2B
Nosta2
Akron Togliatti 22
D
12.10.25FNL2B
Amkar3
Akron Togliatti 20
L
21.09.25FNL2B
Volna Nizhegorodskaya4
Akron Togliatti 22
L
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Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 7th January 2026, KDV Tomsk host Akron Togliatti 2 at N/A in Russia FNL 2 - Div B. We recommend KDV Tomsk to win as the standout selection.

KDV Tomsk arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Akron Togliatti 2 are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 1D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour KDV Tomsk, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Akron Togliatti 2's 1, with 0 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 67% of those meetings.

Our verdict: kdv tomsk to win at odds of 1.31 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Let me be honest with you about how this Russia FNL 2 – Div B match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.

The home team rolls in on 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.

Across from them, the away side brings 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.

Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.31, sitting at roughly 50,30,20% in our model. The match gets going at 1:00 pm over at N/A.

That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today โ€” but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.

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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for KDV Tomsk vs Akron Togliatti 2?
Our selection is 1 โ€” KDV Tomsk to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is KDV Tomsk's current form?
KDV Tomsk have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Akron Togliatti 2 been performing recently?
Akron Togliatti 2 have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
KDV Tomsk lead with 2 wins versus Akron Togliatti 2's 1, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
โš ๏ธ
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