G
Guangdong GZ-Power
Home
D
W
L
W
D
5W 3D 2L
▲ Improving
VS
—
12:30 pm
—
Huangpu Sports Center (Guangzhou)
S
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Away
L
W
L
D
D
1W 4D 5L
→ Steady
Guangdong GZ-Power
50%
Draw
30%
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
76.9%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-17.9%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
2
Guangdong GZ-Power
0
Draws
0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
2
Meetings
2.5
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Guangdong GZ-Power won 2 of the last 2 meetings (0 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Guangdong GZ-Power
Metric
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
1.8
Goals For / Game
0.4
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.2
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
5-3-2
W — D — L
1-4-5
Win Rate
2.4
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
G0
0-0
9.5%
0-1
8.1%
0-2
3.5%
0-3
1.0%
0-4
0.2%
0-5
0.0%
G1
1-0
14.3%
1-1
12.2%
1-2
5.2%
1-3
1.5%
1-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
G2
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
2-5
0.0%
G3
3-0
5.4%
3-1
4.6%
3-2
1.9%
3-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
3-5
0.0%
G4
4-0
2.0%
4-1
1.7%
4-2
0.7%
4-3
0.2%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
G5
5-0
0.6%
5-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(14.3%)
2-0(10.7%)
2-1(9.1%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
G=Home goals ↓ S=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Guangdong GZ-Power Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Shijiazhuang Gongfu Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
29%
Home Win & BTTS No
24%
Draw & BTTS Yes
20%
Draw & BTTS No
17%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
6%
Away Win & BTTS No
5%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
27%
Home Win & Under 2.5
27%
Draw & Over 2.5
19%
Draw & Under 2.5
19%
Away Win & Over 2.5
5%
Away Win & Under 2.5
5%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Guangdong GZ-Power2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu1
Guangdong GZ-Power2
Recent Form
Guangdong GZ-Power
Suzhou Dongwu2
Guangdong GZ-Power2
Guangdong GZ-Power2
Shaanxi Union1
Guangdong GZ-Power1
Beijing Guoan2
Dingnan Ganlian1
Guangdong GZ-Power3
Guangdong GZ-Power0
Shenzhen Juniors0
Guangdong GZ-Power3
Yanbian Longding4
Wuhan Lianzhen0
Guangdong GZ-Power1
Dalian K’un City1
Guangdong GZ-Power1
Guangdong GZ-Power3
Nantong Zhiyun1
Changchun Yatai1
Guangdong GZ-Power2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Ningbo Professional2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu1
Shijiazhuang Gongfu2
Nanjing City1
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
Shanghai Shenhua2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu1
Suzhou Dongwu1
Dalian K’un City0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
Meizhou Hakka1
Guizhou Xufengtang0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu (Pen 2 - 4)0
Shenzhen Juniors2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
Guangxi Hengchen3
Wuxi Wugou0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
Guangdong GZ-Power (Home)
Guangdong GZ-Power2
Shaanxi Union1
Guangdong GZ-Power1
Beijing Guoan2
Guangdong GZ-Power0
Shenzhen Juniors0
Guangdong GZ-Power3
Yanbian Longding4
Guangdong GZ-Power3
Nantong Zhiyun1
Guangdong GZ-Power3
Meizhou Hakka0
Guangdong GZ-Power1
Wuxi Wugou0
Guangdong GZ-Power2
Ningbo Professional0
Guangdong GZ-Power3
Nantong Zhiyun1
Guangdong GZ-Power2
Shaanxi Union2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu (Away)
Ningbo Professional2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu1
Dalian K’un City0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
Guizhou Xufengtang0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu (Pen 2 - 4)0
Shenzhen Juniors2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
Wuxi Wugou0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
Shaanxi Union1
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
Nantong Zhiyun2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu1
Foshan Nanshi0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
Chongqing Tonglianglong0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
Nanjing City1
Shijiazhuang Gongfu3
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Saturday, 11th July 2026, Guangdong GZ-Power host Shijiazhuang Gongfu at Huangpu Sports Center (Guangzhou) in China League One. We recommend Guangdong GZ-Power to win as the standout selection.
Guangdong GZ-Power arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Shijiazhuang Gongfu are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 4D 5L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Guangdong GZ-Power, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Shijiazhuang Gongfu's 0, with 0 draws from 2 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.
Our verdict: guangdong gz-power to win at odds of 1.30 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this China League One match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.30, sitting at roughly 50,30,20% in our model. The match gets going at 12:30 pm over at Huangpu Sports Center (Guangzhou).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Guangdong GZ-Power vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu?
Our selection is 1 — Guangdong GZ-Power to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Guangdong GZ-Power's current form?
Guangdong GZ-Power have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Shijiazhuang Gongfu been performing recently?
Shijiazhuang Gongfu have recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Guangdong GZ-Power lead with 2 wins versus Shijiazhuang Gongfu's 0, with 0 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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