H
Hvidovre
Home
W
L
L
L
D
2W 3D 5L
▲ Improving
VS
—
11:00 am
—
N/A
F
F Amager
Away
W
L
W
L
W
7W 0D 3L
▼ Declining
Implied Prob
69.9%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
+6.1%
Value detected
Kelly %
20.2%
Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
7
Hvidovre
0
Draws
3
F Amager
10
Meetings
3.8
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
90%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Over 2.5 in 90% of H2H.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Hvidovre
Metric
F Amager
1
Goals For / Game
1.3
2.2
Goals Against / Game
0.9
10%
Clean Sheets
40%
2-3-5
W — D — L
7-0-3
Win Rate
2.7
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
H0
0-0
6.7%
0-1
11.8%
0-2
10.3%
0-3
6.0%
0-4
2.6%
0-5
0.9%
H1
1-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
1-3
5.7%
1-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
H2
2-0
3.0%
2-1
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
2-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
H3
3-0
1.0%
3-1
1.7%
3-2
1.5%
3-3
0.9%
3-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
H4
4-0
0.2%
4-1
0.4%
4-2
0.4%
4-3
0.2%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
H5
5-0
0.0%
5-1
0.1%
5-2
0.1%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
0-1(11.8%)
1-1(11.2%)
0-2(10.3%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
H=Home goals ↓ F=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
11%
Home Win & BTTS No
8%
Draw & BTTS Yes
8%
Draw & BTTS No
6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
40%
Away Win & BTTS No
27%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
9%
Home Win & Under 2.5
10%
Draw & Over 2.5
6%
Draw & Under 2.5
8%
Away Win & Over 2.5
30%
Away Win & Under 2.5
37%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
F. Amager1
Hvidovre IF4
Hvidovre IF5
F. Amager1
F. Amager3
Hvidovre IF0
F. Amager1
Hvidovre IF4
Hvidovre IF3
F. Amager0
F. Amager0
Hvidovre IF1
Hvidovre IF3
F. Amager0
Hvidovre IF1
F. Amager2
F. Amager4
Hvidovre IF0
F. Amager2
Hvidovre IF3
Recent Form
Hvidovre
Hvidovre IF1
Koge0
Brondby8
Hvidovre IF1
Hillerod2
Hvidovre IF1
Hvidovre IF1
Esbjerg4
Horsens1
Hvidovre IF1
Hvidovre IF0
Lyngby2
Kolding IF1
Hvidovre IF1
Hvidovre IF1
Horsens1
Hvidovre IF2
Kolding IF1
Lyngby2
Hvidovre IF1
F Amager
Brabrand1
F. Amager2
F. Amager0
Skive1
VSK Aarhus0
F. Amager1
F. Amager1
Ishoj2
Helsingor2
F. Amager4
F. Amager1
Brabrand0
F. Amager1
VSK Aarhus0
Skive1
F. Amager2
F. Amager1
Helsingor0
Ishoj2
F. Amager0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Tuesday, 7th July 2026, Hvidovre host F Amager at N/A in Club Friendly. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.
Hvidovre arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.
F Amager are travelling well, with a record of 7W 0D 3L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Hvidovre, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to F Amager's 3, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.
Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.43 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Club Friendly match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is Over 2.5 at @1.43, sitting at roughly 90% in our model. The match gets going at 11:00 am over at N/A.
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Hvidovre vs F Amager?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.43. Tip confidence rating: 76%.
What is Hvidovre's current form?
Hvidovre have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has F Amager been performing recently?
F Amager have recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Hvidovre lead with 7 wins versus F Amager's 3, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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