S
Spain U19 W
Home
W
W
D
D
W
7W 2D 0L
▲ Improving
VS
—
3:00 pm
—
FF BH Football Training Centre (Zenica)
S
Sweden U19 W
Away
L
W
W
D
W
6W 1D 3L
→ Steady
Implied Prob
87.7%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-14.7%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Spain U19 W to win
1.14
BTTS — No78%
Spain U19 W Clean Sheet67%
Sweden U19 W Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Spain U19 W vs Sweden U19 W
Competition: Euro U19 Women
Date: Tuesday, 7th July 2026
KO: 3:00 pm
Pick: 1 (Spain U19 W to win)
Odds: 1.14
Confidence: 73%
Also: BTTS — No (78%)
Also: Spain U19 W Clean Sheet (67%)
Also: Sweden U19 W Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
4
Spain U19 W
1
Draws
2
Sweden U19 W
7
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
14%
BTTS
43%
Over 2.5
Neutral
Spain U19 W won 4 of the last 7 meetings (1 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Spain U19 W
Metric
Sweden U19 W
3.6
Goals For / Game
1.2
0.4
Goals Against / Game
0.8
67%
Clean Sheets
60%
7-2-0
W — D — L
6-1-3
Win Rate
2.9
Avg Goals
74%
Over 1.5
58%
Over 2.5
22%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
S0
0-0
5.0%
0-1
4.0%
0-2
1.6%
0-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
0-5
0.0%
S1
1-0
11.0%
1-1
8.8%
1-2
3.5%
1-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
1-5
0.0%
S2
2-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
2-3
1.0%
2-4
0.2%
2-5
0.0%
S3
3-0
8.8%
3-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
3-5
0.0%
S4
4-0
4.9%
4-1
3.9%
4-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
S5
5-0
2.1%
5-1
1.7%
5-2
0.7%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
2-0(12.1%)
1-0(11.0%)
2-1(9.6%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
S=Home goals ↓ S=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
11%
Home Win & BTTS No
40%
Draw & BTTS Yes
2%
Draw & BTTS No
8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
8%
Away Win & BTTS No
31%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
30%
Home Win & Under 2.5
21%
Draw & Over 2.5
6%
Draw & Under 2.5
4%
Away Win & Over 2.5
23%
Away Win & Under 2.5
16%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Spain U19 W3
Sweden U190
Sweden U19 W0
Spain U193
Spain U19 W1
Sweden U190
Spain U19 W1
Sweden U193
Sweden U19 W0
Spain U192
(EUR) Sweden U19 W1
Spain U190
Sweden U19 W0
Spain U190
Recent Form
Spain U19 W
Spain U19 W2
Austria U19 W1
Spain U19 W4
Iceland U19 W0
Switzerland U19 W2
Spain U19 W2
Portugal U19 W0
Spain U19 W0
Spain U19 W3
Northern Ireland U19 W0
Spain U19 W3
Hungary U19 W0
Germany U19 W0
Spain U19 W5
Spain U19 W5
Belgium U19 W1
Spain U19 W8
Faroe Islands U19 W0
Sweden U19 W
Germany U19 W2
Sweden U19 W0
Bosnia & Herzegovina U19 W0
Sweden U19 W5
Sweden U19 W1
Poland U19 W0
Sweden U19 W0
Italy U19 W0
Sweden U19 W1
Ukraine U19 W0
Netherlands U19 W1
Sweden U19 W2
Denmark U19 W3
Sweden U19 W0
Germany U19 W0
Sweden U19 W1
Sweden U19 W0
Poland U19 W2
Sweden U19 W2
Bulgaria U19 W0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Tuesday, 7th July 2026, Spain U19 W host Sweden U19 W at FF BH Football Training Centre (Zenica) in Euro U19 Women. We recommend Spain U19 W to win as the standout selection.
Spain U19 W arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from their last 9 outings.
Sweden U19 W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 1D 3L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Spain U19 W, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Sweden U19 W's 2, with 1 draws from 7 encounters. Both teams have scored in 14% of those meetings.
Our verdict: spain u19 w to win at odds of 1.14 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Euro U19 Women match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.14, sitting at roughly 80% in our model. The match gets going at 3:00 pm over at FF BH Football Training Centre (Zenica).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Spain U19 W vs Sweden U19 W?
Our selection is 1 — Spain U19 W to win, priced at approximately 1.14. Tip confidence rating: 73%.
What is Spain U19 W's current form?
Spain U19 W have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 9 matches.
How has Sweden U19 W been performing recently?
Sweden U19 W have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Spain U19 W lead with 4 wins versus Sweden U19 W's 2, with 1 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 14%.
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