I
Iberia 1999
Home
W
L
W
W
L
5W 1D 3L
→ Steady
VS
—
5:00 pm
—
Mikheil Meskhi Stadium (Tbilisi)
F
Flora
Away
L
W
W
L
W
7W 0D 3L
▲ Improving
Implied Prob
66.7%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
+12.3%
Value detected
Kelly %
37%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.50
Over 2.5 Goals68%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Iberia 1999 vs Flora
Competition: UCL Qualifiers
Date: Tuesday, 14th July 2026
KO: 5:00 pm
Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals)
Odds: 1.50
Confidence: 79%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (68%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Iberia 1999
0
Draws
0
Flora
1
Meetings
5
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Over 2.5 in 100% of H2H.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Iberia 1999
Metric
Flora
1.3
Goals For / Game
2.4
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.1
33%
Clean Sheets
40%
5-1-3
W — D — L
7-0-3
Win Rate
3.1
Avg Goals
79%
Over 1.5
68%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
I0
0-0
5.0%
0-1
9.0%
0-2
8.1%
0-3
4.8%
0-4
2.2%
0-5
0.8%
I1
1-0
6.0%
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
1-3
5.8%
1-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
I2
2-0
3.6%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
5.8%
2-3
3.5%
2-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
I3
3-0
1.4%
3-1
2.6%
3-2
2.3%
3-3
1.4%
3-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
I4
4-0
0.4%
4-1
0.8%
4-2
0.7%
4-3
0.4%
4-4
0.2%
4-5
0.1%
I5
5-0
0.1%
5-1
0.2%
5-2
0.2%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-1(10.8%)
1-2(9.7%)
0-1(9.0%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
I=Home goals ↓ F=Away →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
25%
Home Win & BTTS No
18%
Draw & BTTS Yes
2%
Draw & BTTS No
2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
31%
Away Win & BTTS No
22%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
29%
Home Win & Under 2.5
14%
Draw & Over 2.5
3%
Draw & Under 2.5
1%
Away Win & Over 2.5
36%
Away Win & Under 2.5
17%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Flora2
Iberia 19993
Recent Form
Iberia 1999
Flora2
Iberia 19993
Iberia 19991
Dinamo Tbilisi0
Iberia 19992
Meshakhte Tkibuli1
Iberia 19991
Rustavi2
Iberia 19991
Spaeri1
Iberia 19991
Dinamo Batumi0
Samgurali3
Iberia 19992
Iberia 19991
Gagra0
Dinamo Tbilisi2
Iberia 19990
Flora
Flora2
Iberia 19993
Kuressaare0
Flora3
Levadia1
Flora2
Flora1
Paide2
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Flora2
Flora1
Levadia3
Nomme Utd0
Flora4
Paide1
Flora5
Narva0
Flora3
Kalju0
Flora1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Tuesday, 14th July 2026, Iberia 1999 host Flora at Mikheil Meskhi Stadium (Tbilisi) in UCL Qualifiers. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.
Iberia 1999 arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 9 outings.
Flora are travelling well, with a record of 7W 0D 3L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Iberia 1999, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Flora's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.
Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.50 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this UCL Qualifiers match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is Over 2.5 at @1.50, sitting at roughly 80% in our model. The match gets going at 5:00 pm over at Mikheil Meskhi Stadium (Tbilisi).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Iberia 1999 vs Flora?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.50. Tip confidence rating: 79%.
What is Iberia 1999's current form?
Iberia 1999 have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 9 matches.
How has Flora been performing recently?
Flora have recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Iberia 1999 lead with 1 wins versus Flora's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
Bet Responsibly. StraightWinOdds provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.