WON Tip WON Istra 1961 1-3 Hadjuk Split
I

Istra 1961

Home
W W L L L
3W 1D 6L ▲ Improving
VS
1-3
H
Hadjuk Split
Away
W W L L D
5W 1D 4L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Tuesday, 7th April 2026
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob 80% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +4% Value detected
Kelly % 20% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Istra 1961 vs Hadjuk Split Competition: Croatia HNL Date: Tuesday, 7th April 2026 Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals) Odds: 1.25 Confidence: 84% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Head to Head
Record
2
Istra 1961
4
Draws
4
Hadjuk Split
10
Meetings
2.1
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 1.5 in 80% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Istra 1961
Metric
Hadjuk Split
1
Goals For / Game
1.8
1.6
Goals Against / Game
1.1
10%
Clean Sheets
40%
3-1-6
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
30%
50%
2.8
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
I0
0-0 6.4%
0-1 10.9%
0-2 9.2%
0-3 5.2%
0-4 2.2%
0-5 0.8%
I1
1-0 6.7%
1-1 11.4%
1-2 9.7%
1-3 5.5%
1-4 2.3%
1-5 0.8%
I2
2-0 3.5%
2-1 6.0%
2-2 5.1%
2-3 2.9%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.4%
I3
3-0 1.2%
3-1 2.1%
3-2 1.8%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.2%
I4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.6%
4-2 0.5%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
I5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(11.4%) 0-1(10.9%) 1-2(9.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip I=Home goals ↓   H=Away →
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Team Ratings
Grades
Istra 1961
Overall
3.3
Scoring
3.3
Defence
4.7
Hadjuk Split
Overall
5.3
Scoring
6.0
Defence
6.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Home Win & BTTS No 17%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Away Win & BTTS No 28%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 17%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 28%
Away Win & Under 2.5 28%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
25.01.26
HNL: Hajduk Split1
Istra 19612
19.10.25
HNL: Istra 19610
Hajduk Split3
03.08.25
HNL: Hajduk Split2
Istra 19611
23.04.25
HNL: Hajduk Split0
Istra 19611
15.02.25
HNL: Istra 19611
Hajduk Split1
09.11.24
HNL: Hajduk Split1
Istra 19611
25.08.24
HNL: Istra 19611
Hajduk Split1
12.05.24
HNL: Istra 19611
Hajduk Split1
02.03.24
HNL: Hajduk Split1
Istra 19610
26.11.23
HNL: Istra 19610
Hajduk Split2
Recent Form
Istra 1961
20.03.26
HNL: NK Istra 19612
NK Varaždin1
W
15.03.26
HNL: HNK Rijeka0
NK Istra 19612
W
06.03.26
HNL: NK Istra 19610
NK Osijek1
L
27.02.26
HNL: Slaven Belupo1
NK Istra 19610
L
21.02.26
HNL: NK Istra 19610
HNK Gorica2
L
14.02.26
HNL: Dinamo Zagreb4
NK Istra 19610
L
07.02.26
HNL: HNK Vukovar 19913
NK Istra 19612
L
30.01.26
HNL: NK Istra 19611
NK Lokomotiva1
D
25.01.26
HNL: Hajduk Split1
NK Istra 19612
W
20.01.26
HNL: NK Istra 19611
HNK Rijeka2
L
Hadjuk Split
21.03.26
HNL: Vukovar 19910
Hajduk Split6
W
15.03.26
HNL: Hajduk Split2
NK Lokomotiva1
W
08.03.26
HNL: Hajduk Split1
Dinamo Zagreb3
L
04.03.26
Croatian Cup: HNK Rijeka3
Hajduk Split2
L
28.02.26
HNL: NK Varaždin1
Hajduk Split1
D
22.02.26
HNL: Hajduk Split1
HNK Rijeka0
W
15.02.26
HNL: NK Osijek0
Hajduk Split2
W
07.02.26
HNL: Hajduk Split2
Slaven Belupo0
W
31.01.26
HNL: HNK Gorica1
Hajduk Split0
L
25.01.26
HNL: Hajduk Split1
Istra 19612
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 7th April 2026, Istra 1961 host Hadjuk Split in Croatia HNL. We recommend over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

Istra 1961 arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Hadjuk Split are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Istra 1961, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Hadjuk Split's 4, with 4 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.25 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Croatia HNL match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing Over 1.5, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.25. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Istra 1961 vs Hadjuk Split?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 84%.
What is Istra 1961's current form?
Istra 1961 have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Hadjuk Split been performing recently?
Hadjuk Split have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Istra 1961 lead with 2 wins versus Hadjuk Split's 4, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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