WON Tip WON Narva 3-0 Tammeka
N

Narva

Home
L W L W L
3W 3D 4L ▲ Improving
VS
3-0
T
Tammeka
Away
W W L L D
5W 1D 4L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Tuesday, 7th April 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob 68.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +7.5% Value detected
Kelly % 23.8% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.46
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Narva vs Tammeka Competition: Estonia Meistriliiga Date: Tuesday, 7th April 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.46 Confidence: 76% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
Head to Head
Record
5
Narva
1
Draws
4
Tammeka
10
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 60% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Narva
Metric
Tammeka
1.6
Goals For / Game
2.1
1.7
Goals Against / Game
1.6
10%
Clean Sheets
20%
3-3-4
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
30%
50%
3.5
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
N0
0-0 3.0%
0-1 5.7%
0-2 5.5%
0-3 3.5%
0-4 1.6%
0-5 0.6%
N1
1-0 4.8%
1-1 9.2%
1-2 8.7%
1-3 5.5%
1-4 2.6%
1-5 1.0%
N2
2-0 3.9%
2-1 7.3%
2-2 7.0%
2-3 4.4%
2-4 2.1%
2-5 0.8%
N3
3-0 2.1%
3-1 3.9%
3-2 3.7%
3-3 2.4%
3-4 1.1%
3-5 0.4%
N4
4-0 0.8%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.5%
4-5 0.2%
N5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-1(9.2%) 1-2(8.7%) 2-1(7.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip N=Home goals ↓   T=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Narva
Overall
3.9
Scoring
5.3
Defence
4.3
Tammeka
Overall
5.3
Scoring
7.0
Defence
4.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 9%
Draw & BTTS Yes 14%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 35%
Away Win & BTTS No 15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 9%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 35%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
17.01.26
Friendly: Narva1
Tammeka2
08.11.25
Meistriliiga: Tammeka2
Narva0
09.08.25
Meistriliiga: Narva4
Tammeka1
03.05.25
Meistriliiga: Narva4
Tammeka0
13.04.25
Meistriliiga: Tammeka1
Narva2
03.11.24
Meistriliiga: Tammeka3
Narva3
31.08.24
Meistriliiga: Narva0
Tammeka1
27.05.24
Meistriliiga: Tammeka0
Narva2
16.03.24
Meistriliiga: Narva0
Tammeka5
07.10.23
Meistriliiga: Narva2
Tammeka0
Recent Form
Narva
03.04.26
Meistriliiga: Nõmme Kalju2
JK Narva Trans1
L
21.03.26
Meistriliiga: JK Narva Trans2
Pärnu JK Vaprus1
W
15.03.26
Meistriliiga: Paide Linnameeskond1
JK Narva Trans0
L
11.03.26
Cup Estonia: JK Narva Trans4
Viimsi JK3
W
07.03.26
Meistriliiga: JK Narva Trans1
Harju JK Laagri2
L
25.02.26
Friendly: JK Narva Trans2
Tartu Welco2
D
21.02.26
Friendly: FC Kuressaare2
JK Narva Trans2
D
15.02.26
Friendly: Pärnu JK Vaprus0
JK Narva Trans2
W
11.02.26
Friendly: JK Narva Trans1
SK Super Nova3
L
07.02.26
Friendly: JK Narva Trans1
Paide Linnameeskond1
D
Tammeka
03.04.26
Meistriliiga: JK Tammeka Tartu3
FC Flora1
W
21.03.26
Meistriliiga: FC Nõmme United2
JK Tammeka Tartu3
W
14.03.26
Meistriliiga: FC Kuressaare3
JK Tammeka Tartu2
L
08.03.26
Meistriliiga: JK Tammeka Tartu0
Nõmme Kalju FC1
L
27.02.26
Friendly: Riga Mariners1
JK Tammeka Tartu1
D
15.02.26
Friendly: JK Tammeka Tartu2
Viimsi JK0
W
08.02.26
Friendly: FCI Levadia4
JK Tammeka Tartu2
L
31.01.26
Friendly: FC Nõmme United0
JK Tammeka Tartu6
W
25.01.26
Friendly: JK Tammeka Tartu0
JK Tallinna Kalev3
L
17.01.26
Friendly: JK Narva Trans1
JK Tammeka Tartu2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 7th April 2026, Narva host Tammeka in Estonia Meistriliiga. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Narva arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Tammeka are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Narva, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Tammeka's 4, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.46 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Estonia Meistriliiga match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing Over 2.5, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.46. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Narva vs Tammeka?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.46. Tip confidence rating: 76%.
What is Narva's current form?
Narva have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Tammeka been performing recently?
Tammeka have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Narva lead with 5 wins versus Tammeka's 4, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. StraightWinOdds provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.