WON Tip WON Kairat Almaty 2-0 Kaspij Aktau
K

Kairat Almaty

Home
D W W L D
4W 1D 5L ▲ Improving
VS
2-0
K
Kaspij Aktau
Away
L W L D L
5W 1D 4L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Saturday, 18th April 2026
1
Backing Kairat Almaty to win
Implied Prob 84.7% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -30.7% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Kairat Almaty to win
1.18
BTTS — No65%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Kairat Almaty vs Kaspij Aktau Competition: Kazakhstan Premier League Date: Saturday, 18th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Kairat Almaty to win) Odds: 1.18 Confidence: 54% Also: BTTS — No (65%)
Head to Head
Record
6
Kairat Almaty
3
Draws
1
Kaspij Aktau
10
Meetings
3.4
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Kairat Almaty won 6 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Kairat Almaty
Metric
Kaspij Aktau
0.2
Goals For / Game
1.7
0.3
Goals Against / Game
1.3
0%
Clean Sheets
20%
4-1-5
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
40%
50%
1.8
Avg Goals
40%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
K0
0-0 17.4%
0-1 17.4%
0-2 8.7%
0-3 2.9%
0-4 0.7%
0-5 0.1%
K1
1-0 13.0%
1-1 13.0%
1-2 6.5%
1-3 2.2%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
K2
2-0 4.9%
2-1 4.9%
2-2 2.4%
2-3 0.8%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
K3
3-0 1.2%
3-1 1.2%
3-2 0.6%
3-3 0.2%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
K4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.2%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
K5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(13.0%) 2-0(4.9%) 2-1(4.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip K=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
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Team Ratings
Grades
Kairat Almaty
Overall
4.3
Scoring
0.7
Defence
9.0
Kaspij Aktau
Overall
5.3
Scoring
5.7
Defence
5.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Away Win & BTTS No 33%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 16%
Home Win & Under 2.5 24%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 20%
Away Win & Under 2.5 30%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
12.04.25Kazakhstan Cup
Kairat Almaty3
Kaspij Aktau0
01.10.23Premier League
Kaspij Aktau1
Kairat Almaty1
14.03.23Premier League
Kairat Almaty3
Kaspij Aktau1
27.08.22Premier League
Kaspij Aktau2
Kairat Almaty2
09.04.22Premier League
Kairat Almaty1
Kaspij Aktau0
15.08.21Kazakhstan Cup
Kaspij Aktau2
Kairat Almaty4
17.07.21Kazakhstan Cup
Kairat Almaty0
Kaspij Aktau2
23.06.21Premier League
Kairat Almaty5
Kaspij Aktau1
14.04.21Premier League
Kaspij Aktau1
Kairat Almaty1
22.10.20Premier League
Kairat Almaty3
Kaspij Aktau1
Recent Form
Kairat Almaty
12.04.26Premier League
Aktobe1
Kaspij Aktau0
L
09.04.26Kazakhstan Cup
Ekibastuz0
Kaspij Aktau4
W
05.04.26Premier League
Kaspij Aktau0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan1
L
22.03.26Premier League
Altai0
Kaspij Aktau0
D
17.03.26Premier League
Kaspij Aktau1
Okzhetpes3
L
08.03.26Premier League
Kyzyl-Zhar SK2
Kaspij Aktau1
L
24.10.25First Division
Akas FC1
Kaspij Aktau2
W
17.10.25First Division
Kaspij Aktau3
Shakhter Karagandy2
W
03.10.25First Division
Kairat Almaty 22
Kaspij Aktau3
W
26.09.25First Division
Kaspij Aktau3
Aktobe 21
W
Kaspij Aktau
12.04.26Premier League
Aktobe1
Kaspij Aktau0
L
09.04.26Kazakhstan Cup
FC Batyr0
Kaspij Aktau4
W
05.04.26Premier League
Kaspij Aktau0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan1
L
22.03.26Premier League
Altai0
Kaspij Aktau0
D
17.03.26Premier League
Kaspij Aktau1
Okzhetpes3
L
08.03.26Premier League
Kyzyl-Zhar SK2
Kaspij Aktau1
L
24.10.25First Division
AKAS1
Kaspij Aktau2
W
17.10.25First Division
Kaspij Aktau3
Shakhter Karagandy2
W
03.10.25First Division
Kairat Almaty 22
Kaspij Aktau3
W
26.09.25First Division
Kaspij Aktau3
Aktobe 21
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 18th April 2026, Kairat Almaty host Kaspij Aktau in Kazakhstan Premier League. We recommend Kairat Almaty to win as the standout selection.

Kairat Almaty arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Kaspij Aktau are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Kairat Almaty, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Kaspij Aktau's 1, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: kairat almaty to win at odds of 1.18 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Kazakhstan Premier League match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.18. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kairat Almaty vs Kaspij Aktau?
Our selection is 1 — Kairat Almaty to win, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 54%.
What is Kairat Almaty's current form?
Kairat Almaty have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Kaspij Aktau been performing recently?
Kaspij Aktau have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Kairat Almaty lead with 6 wins versus Kaspij Aktau's 1, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
⚠️
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