WON Tip WON Neman 3-1 Naftan
N

Neman

Home
W W D W W
5W 4D 1L → Steady
VS
3-1
N
Naftan
Away
L L D D L
2W 3D 5L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Saturday, 18th April 2026
1
Backing Neman to win
Neman 50%
Draw 30%
Naftan 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 72.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -14.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
8
Neman
1
Draws
1
Naftan
10
Meetings
3.4
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Neman won 8 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Neman
Metric
Naftan
2
Goals For / Game
1
0.7
Goals Against / Game
1.5
50%
Clean Sheets
20%
5-4-1
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate
50%
20%
2.6
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
N0
0-0 7.4%
0-1 6.3%
0-2 2.7%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
N1
1-0 13.0%
1-1 11.1%
1-2 4.7%
1-3 1.3%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
N2
2-0 11.4%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 4.1%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.0%
N3
3-0 6.6%
3-1 5.6%
3-2 2.4%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
N4
4-0 2.9%
4-1 2.5%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
N5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(13.0%) 2-0(11.4%) 2-1(9.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip N=Home goals ↓   N=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Neman Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Naftan Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
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Team Ratings
Grades
Neman
Overall
6.2
Scoring
6.7
Defence
7.7
Naftan
Overall
2.9
Scoring
3.3
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 18%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 26%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 18%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
19.10.25Vysheyshaya Liga
Neman1
Naftan0
20.05.25Vysheyshaya Liga
Naftan1
Neman3
25.09.24Vysheyshaya Liga
Naftan0
Neman0
16.03.24Vysheyshaya Liga
Neman2
Naftan1
10.02.24Club Friendly
Neman4
Naftan0
02.12.23Vysheyshaya Liga
Neman6
Naftan1
07.07.23Vysheyshaya Liga
Naftan0
Neman3
10.02.23Club Friendly
Neman4
Naftan0
24.07.19Belarusian Cup
Naftan1
Neman2
17.09.17Vysheyshaya Liga
Naftan3
Neman2
Recent Form
Neman
10.04.26Vysheyshaya Liga
FC Minsk0
Neman1
W
04.04.26Vysheyshaya Liga
Neman2
Vitebsk0
W
21.03.26Vysheyshaya Liga
Neman0
BATE Borisov0
D
14.03.26Club Friendly
Neman7
Niva Dolbizno0
W
07.03.26Club Friendly
Neman3
Volna Pinsk1
W
07.03.26Club Friendly
Neman0
Baranovici0
D
28.02.26Belarusian Super Cup
ML Vitebsk2
Neman (2-3 on pens)2
W
21.02.26Club Friendly
Neman3
Vitebsk1
W
15.02.26Club Friendly
Neman2
Vitebsk2
D
11.02.26Club Friendly
Torpedo Zhodino1
Neman0
L
Naftan
10.04.26Vysheyshaya Liga
Naftan0
Gomel2
L
03.04.26Vysheyshaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk2
Naftan0
L
22.03.26Vysheyshaya Liga
Naftan0
Dnepr Mogilev0
D
07.03.26Club Friendly
Naftan1
Vitebsk1
D
04.03.26Club Friendly
Smorgon3
Naftan2
L
25.02.26Club Friendly
Dnepr Mogilev1
Naftan2
W
18.02.26Club Friendly
Din. Minsk1
Naftan1
D
14.02.26Club Friendly
Naftan3
Orsha0
W
07.02.26Club Friendly
Isloch1
Naftan0
L
31.01.26Club Friendly
SKA-19384
Naftan1
L
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Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 18th April 2026, Neman host Naftan in Belarus Vysshaya Liga. We recommend Neman to win as the standout selection.

Neman arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Naftan are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 3D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Neman, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to Naftan's 1, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: neman to win at odds of 1.38 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Belarus Vysshaya Liga match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.38. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Neman vs Naftan?
Our selection is 1 — Neman to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Neman's current form?
Neman have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Naftan been performing recently?
Naftan have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Neman lead with 8 wins versus Naftan's 1, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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