WON
Tip WON
Kauno Zalgiris 4-0 Panevezys
K
Kauno Zalgiris
Home
W
W
W
W
W
5W 0D 0L
→ Steady
VS
4-0
P
Panevezys
Away
D
L
D
L
W
1W 2D 2L
▲ Improving
Kauno Zalgiris
50%
Draw
30%
Panevezys
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
69.9%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-1.9%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
4
Kauno Zalgiris
0
Draws
1
Panevezys
5
Meetings
2.4
Avg Goals
20%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Kauno Zalgiris won 4 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
Kauno Zalgiris
Metric
Panevezys
1.6
Goals For / Game
1.2
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.4
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
5-0-0
W — D — L
1-2-2
Win Rate
2.4
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
K0
0-0
9.1%
0-1
8.2%
0-2
3.7%
0-3
1.1%
0-4
0.3%
0-5
0.0%
K1
1-0
13.6%
1-1
12.3%
1-2
5.5%
1-3
1.7%
1-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
K2
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
K3
3-0
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
3-2
2.1%
3-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
3-5
0.0%
K4
4-0
1.9%
4-1
1.7%
4-2
0.8%
4-3
0.2%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
K5
5-0
0.6%
5-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(13.6%)
2-0(10.2%)
2-1(9.2%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
K=Home goals ↓ P=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Kauno Zalgiris Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Panevezys Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
43%
Home Win & BTTS No
28%
Draw & BTTS Yes
8%
Draw & BTTS No
6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
9%
Away Win & BTTS No
6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
36%
Home Win & Under 2.5
36%
Draw & Over 2.5
7%
Draw & Under 2.5
7%
Away Win & Over 2.5
8%
Away Win & Under 2.5
8%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
⚽ SC (16.02.26): Kauno Zalgiris1
FK Panevezys0
⚽ TL (02.11.25): Kauno Zalgiris3
FK Panevezys2
⚽ TL (24.08.25): FK Panevezys1
Kauno Zalgiris0
⚽ TL (24.06.25): Kauno Zalgiris3
FK Panevezys0
⚽ TL (19.04.25): FK Panevezys0
Kauno Zalgiris2
Recent Form
Kauno Zalgiris
⚽ TL (07.03.26): Dziugas Telsiai1
Kauno Zalgiris2
⚽ TL (28.02.26): Kauno Zalgiris1
Banga0
⚽ TL (23.02.26): Riteriai1
Kauno Zalgiris2
⚽ SC (16.02.26): Kauno Zalgiris1
FK Panevezys0
⚽ CF (06.02.26): Kauno Zalgiris2
Zimbru Chisinau1
Panevezys
⚽ TL (07.03.26): FK Panevezys1
Hegelmann1
⚽ TL (27.02.26): Zalgiris4
FK Panevezys1
⚽ TL (22.02.26): FK Panevezys0
Suduva0
⚽ SC (16.02.26): Kauno Zalgiris1
FK Panevezys0
⚽ CF (11.02.26): FK Panevezys4
Transinvest1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Tuesday, 10th March 2026, Kauno Zalgiris host Panevezys in Lithuania TopLyga. We recommend Kauno Zalgiris to win as the standout selection.
Kauno Zalgiris arrive in strong form, having recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 outings.
Panevezys are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 2D 2L across 5 matches.
Historical meetings favour Kauno Zalgiris, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Panevezys's 1, with 0 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 20% of those meetings.
Our verdict: kauno zalgiris to win at odds of 1.43 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Kauno Zalgiris firmly establishes themselves as a dominant force in Lithuania, generating consistently excellent home form metrics that strike fear into visiting teams.
They structure their attacks intelligently, producing a high volume of dangerous chances while successfully limiting opponent breakthroughs. Suduva displays a highly concerning downward trajectory on the form charts, struggling completely to replicate the historical dominance they once enjoyed.
Head-to-head data from recent seasons highlights Kauno Zalgiris’s rapidly growing superiority in this exact fixture. Suduva frequently loses the midfield battle and surrenders far too many high-quality opportunities.
Kauno reads these statistical trends perfectly and will aggressively target Suduva’s declining defensive structure. The momentum entirely favors the hosts.
Taking Kauno Zalgiris to capture all three points aligns flawlessly with the current form, historical data, and overall trajectory of both clubs.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kauno Zalgiris vs Panevezys?
Our selection is 1 — Kauno Zalgiris to win, priced at approximately 1.43. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Kauno Zalgiris's current form?
Kauno Zalgiris have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.
How has Panevezys been performing recently?
Panevezys have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Kauno Zalgiris lead with 4 wins versus Panevezys's 1, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.
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