Strong Signal 84% Confidence
M

Mjallby

Home
D L W D L
1W 6D 3L → Steady
VS
5:00 pm
Strandvallen (Hällevik)
S
Slovan Bratislava
Away
W D W W W
6W 2D 2L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Tuesday, 4th August 2026
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob 82% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +2% Value detected
Kelly % 11.3% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Mjallby
Metric
Slovan Bratislava
1.7
Goals For / Game
1.6
1.8
Goals Against / Game
0.7
30%
Clean Sheets
50%
1-6-3
W — D — L
6-2-2
Win Rate
10%
60%
2.9
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
M0
0-0 5.5%
0-1 9.4%
0-2 8.0%
0-3 4.5%
0-4 1.9%
0-5 0.7%
M1
1-0 6.6%
1-1 11.2%
1-2 9.5%
1-3 5.4%
1-4 2.3%
1-5 0.8%
M2
2-0 4.0%
2-1 6.7%
2-2 5.7%
2-3 3.2%
2-4 1.4%
2-5 0.5%
M3
3-0 1.6%
3-1 2.7%
3-2 2.3%
3-3 1.3%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
M4
4-0 0.5%
4-1 0.8%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
M5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(11.2%) 1-2(9.5%) 0-1(9.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip M=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
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Team Ratings
Grades
Mjallby
Overall
2.8
Scoring
5.7
Defence
4.0
Slovan Bratislava
Overall
6.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
7.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Home Win & BTTS No 5%
Draw & BTTS Yes 18%
Draw & BTTS No 18%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Away Win & BTTS No 28%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 4%
Home Win & Under 2.5 5%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 20%
Away Win & Over 2.5 25%
Away Win & Under 2.5 30%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Mjallby
28.07.26CL
Lincoln Red Imps0
Mjallby0
D
25.07.26ALL
Kalmar2
Mjallby1
L
21.07.26CL
Mjallby3
Lincoln Red Imps0
W
17.07.26ALL
Mjallby0
Vasteras SK0
D
11.07.26ALL
Mjallby1
AIK2
L
03.07.26ALL
Sirius4
Mjallby4
D
27.06.26CF
FC Copenhagen5
Mjallby3
L
24.06.26CF
Mjallby3
Halmstad3
D
25.05.26ALL
Goteborg1
Mjallby1
D
21.05.26ALL
Elfsborg1
Mjallby1
D
Slovan Bratislava
01.08.26NL
Slovan Bratislava3
Podbrezova0
W
29.07.26CL
Slovan Bratislava1
Iberia 19991
D
26.07.26NL
Banska Bystrica0
Slovan Bratislava4
W
21.07.26CL
Iberia 19990
Slovan Bratislava2
W
16.07.26CF
Slovan Bratislava3
Pafos2
W
11.07.26CF
Slavia Prague0
Slovan Bratislava1
W
04.07.26CF
Puskas Academy1
Slovan Bratislava0
L
29.06.26CF
Crvena zvezda1
Slovan Bratislava1
D
24.06.26CF
Grazer AK0
Slovan Bratislava1
W
16.05.26NL
Slovan Bratislava0
Michalovce2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 4th August 2026, Mjallby host Slovan Bratislava at Strandvallen (Hällevik) in Champions League Qualifier. We recommend over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

Mjallby arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Slovan Bratislava are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 2D 2L across 10 matches.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.22 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Let me be honest with you about how this Champions League Qualifier match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.

The home team rolls in on 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.

Across from them, the away side brings 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.

Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is Over 1.5 at @1.22, sitting at roughly 90% in our model. The match gets going at 5:00 pm over at Strandvallen (Hällevik).

That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Mjallby vs Slovan Bratislava?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.22. Tip confidence rating: 84%.
What is Mjallby's current form?
Mjallby have won 1, drawn 6 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Slovan Bratislava been performing recently?
Slovan Bratislava have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game.
⚠️
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