LOST Tip LOST MTK Budapest 0-2 Paks
M

MTK Budapest

Home
D D D L D
2W 4D 4L ▲ Improving
VS
0-2
P
Paks
Away
D D L L L
1W 2D 7L ▲ Improving
StraightWinOdds Selection · Friday, 20th March 2026
BTTS
Backing both teams to score
Implied Prob 73% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +12% Value detected
Kelly % 44.5% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
BTTS — both teams to score
1.37
Over 2.5 Goals65% BTTS — Yes75%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
MTK Budapest vs Paks Competition: Hungary NB 1 Date: Friday, 20th March 2026 Pick: BTTS (both teams to score) Odds: 1.37 Confidence: 85% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: BTTS — Yes (75%)
Head to Head
Record
1
MTK Budapest
2
Draws
7
Paks
10
Meetings
3.5
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip BTTS in 7 of 10 H2H games.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
MTK Budapest
Metric
Paks
1.4
Goals For / Game
1.1
1.9
Goals Against / Game
2
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
2-4-4
W — D — L
1-2-7
Win Rate
20%
10%
3.2
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
M0
0-0 4.1%
0-1 6.1%
0-2 4.6%
0-3 2.3%
0-4 0.9%
0-5 0.3%
M1
1-0 6.9%
1-1 10.4%
1-2 7.8%
1-3 3.9%
1-4 1.5%
1-5 0.4%
M2
2-0 5.9%
2-1 8.8%
2-2 6.6%
2-3 3.3%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.4%
M3
3-0 3.3%
3-1 5.0%
3-2 3.8%
3-3 1.9%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
M4
4-0 1.4%
4-1 2.1%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
M5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(10.4%) 2-1(8.8%) 1-2(7.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip M=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
MTK Budapest
Overall
3.2
Scoring
4.7
Defence
3.7
Paks
Overall
1.6
Scoring
3.7
Defence
3.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 8%
Draw & BTTS Yes 38%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 4%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 12%
Draw & Over 2.5 33%
Draw & Under 2.5 18%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
06.12.25
NBI: Paksi FC3
MTK Budapest1
24.08.25
NBI: MTK Budapest2
Paksi FC3
11.04.25
NBI: MTK Budapest1
Paksi FC2
07.12.24
NBI: Paksi FC4
MTK Budapest2
03.12.24
NBI: MTK Budapest3
Paksi FC1
03.03.24
NBI: MTK Budapest0
Paksi FC2
05.11.23
NBI: Paksi FC0
MTK Budapest0
28.07.23
NBI: MTK Budapest1
Paksi FC1
16.04.22
NBI: Paksi FC4
MTK Budapest0
18.12.21
NBI: MTK Budapest1
Paksi FC4
Recent Form
MTK Budapest
13.03.26
NBI: ETO Győr0
MTK Budapest0
D
08.03.26
NBI: MTK Budapest1
DVTK1
D
27.02.26
NBI: Debrecen2
MTK Budapest2
D
23.02.26
NBI: MTK Budapest1
Ferencváros3
L
14.02.26
NBI: MTK Budapest2
Puskás Academy2
D
11.02.26
HC: MTK Budapest1
Kecskeméti TE2
L
08.02.26
NBI: Nyíregyháza4
MTK Budapest2
L
31.01.26
NBI: MTK Budapest1
Kazincbarcika3
L
24.01.26
NBI: Kisvárda2
MTK Budapest3
W
17.01.26
CF: MTK Budapest1
Ajka0
W
Paks
14.03.26
NBI: Paksi FC1
Zalaegerszegi1
D
07.03.26
NBI: Újpest0
Paksi FC0
D
28.02.26
NBI: Kisvárda2
Paksi FC1
L
22.02.26
NBI: Paksi FC3
ETO Győr4
L
14.02.26
NBI: Paksi FC1
DVTK2
L
11.02.26
HC: Paksi FC2
DVTK6
L
07.02.26
NBI: Debrecen1
Paksi FC0
L
01.02.26
NBI: Paksi FC0
Ferencváros1
L
24.01.26
NBI: Puskás Academy1
Paksi FC2
W
16.01.26
CF: Widzew Łódź2
Paksi FC1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 20th March 2026, MTK Budapest host Paks in Hungary NB 1. We recommend both teams to score as the standout selection.

MTK Budapest arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Paks are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 2D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour MTK Budapest, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Paks's 7, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: both teams to score at odds of 1.37 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Hungary NB 1 match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing BTTS, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.37. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for MTK Budapest vs Paks?
Our selection is BTTS — both teams to score, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 85%.
What is MTK Budapest's current form?
MTK Budapest have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Paks been performing recently?
Paks have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
MTK Budapest lead with 1 wins versus Paks's 7, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. StraightWinOdds provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.