WON Tip WON Oran 1-0 ASO Chlef
O

Oran

Home
W L W W W
7W 1D 2L → Steady
VS
1-0
A
ASO Chlef
Away
W L W L W
5W 1D 4L ▼ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection · Thursday, 7th May 2026
1
Backing Oran to win
Oran 50%
Draw 30%
ASO Chlef 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 72.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -26.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
1
Oran
5
Draws
4
ASO Chlef
10
Meetings
1.2
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
10%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Oran won 1 of the last 10 meetings (5 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Oran
Metric
ASO Chlef
1.3
Goals For / Game
0.9
1
Goals Against / Game
0.9
30%
Clean Sheets
40%
7-1-2
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
70%
50%
2.1
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
O0
0-0 12.9%
0-1 12.2%
0-2 5.8%
0-3 1.8%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
O1
1-0 14.2%
1-1 13.5%
1-2 6.4%
1-3 2.0%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
O2
2-0 7.8%
2-1 7.4%
2-2 3.5%
2-3 1.1%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
O3
3-0 2.9%
3-1 2.7%
3-2 1.3%
3-3 0.4%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
O4
4-0 0.8%
4-1 0.8%
4-2 0.4%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
O5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(14.2%) 2-0(7.8%) 2-1(7.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip O=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Oran Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
ASO Chlef Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Oran
Overall
7.3
Scoring
4.3
Defence
6.7
ASO Chlef
Overall
5.3
Scoring
3.0
Defence
7.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 30%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 21%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 17%
Away Win & Under 2.5 21%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
18.12.25DIV
ASO Chlef1
Oran0
25.02.25DIV
ASO Chlef1
Oran0
04.10.24DIV
Oran0
ASO Chlef0
09.02.24DIV
Oran1
ASO Chlef1
15.09.23DIV
ASO Chlef2
Oran0
11.03.23DIV
ASO Chlef2
Oran1
17.09.22DIV
Oran0
ASO Chlef0
07.05.22DIV
ASO Chlef1
Oran1
07.01.22DIV
Oran1
ASO Chlef0
01.07.21DIV
ASO Chlef0
Oran0
Recent Form
Oran
29.04.26DIV
Kabylie1
Oran2
W
17.04.26DIV
ES Setif3
Oran0
L
09.04.26DIV
Oran2
Rouisset1
W
03.04.26DIV
Constantine0
Oran1
W
17.03.26DIV
Oran2
El Bayadh0
W
13.03.26DIV
Saoura2
Oran0
L
06.03.26DIV
Oran2
Khenchela1
W
27.02.26DIV
Paradou1
Oran2
W
20.02.26DIV
Oran2
MC Alger1
W
07.02.26DIV
Mostaganem0
Oran0
D
ASO Chlef
17.04.26DIV
ASO Chlef1
Olympique Akbou0
W
10.04.26DIV
Ben Aknoun2
ASO Chlef1
L
05.04.26DIV
ASO Chlef2
USM Alger1
W
18.03.26DIV
CR Belouizdad2
ASO Chlef1
L
13.03.26DIV
ASO Chlef1
Mostaganem0
W
06.03.26DIV
ASO Chlef1
ES Setif0
W
28.02.26DIV
Rouisset1
ASO Chlef1
D
20.02.26DIV
ASO Chlef0
Constantine2
L
13.02.26DIV
El Bayadh0
ASO Chlef1
W
08.02.26DIV
ASO Chlef0
Saoura1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 7th May 2026, Oran host ASO Chlef in Algeria Ligue 1. We recommend Oran to win as the standout selection.

Oran arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

ASO Chlef are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Oran, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to ASO Chlef's 4, with 5 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 30% of those meetings.

Our verdict: oran to win at odds of 1.38 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Algeria Ligue 1 match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing 1, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.38. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Oran vs ASO Chlef?
Our selection is 1 — Oran to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 46%.
What is Oran's current form?
Oran have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has ASO Chlef been performing recently?
ASO Chlef have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Oran lead with 1 wins versus ASO Chlef's 4, with 5 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
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