Strong Signal 76% Confidence
P

PPJ

Home
D D W D W
3W 6D 1L โ†’ Steady
VS
โ€”
5:00 pm
โ€”
Jรคtkรคsaaren liikuntapuisto (Helsinki)
K
Kiffen
Away
W W W W W
6W 1D 3L โ†’ Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection ยท Saturday, 7th February 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob 71.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +4.6% Value detected
Kelly % 16% Suggested bankroll %
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Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 โ€” over 2.5 goals
1.40
Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals90%
๐Ÿ“‹ Betting Slip / Acca Builder
PPJ vs Kiffen Competition: Finland Kakkonen A Date: Saturday, 7th February 2026 KO: 5:00 pm Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.40 Confidence: 76% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
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Head to Head
Record
4
PPJ
2
Draws
4
Kiffen
10
Meetings
3.2
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 70% of H2H.
๐Ÿ“Š
Stats Duel
Comparison
PPJ
Metric
Kiffen
2
Goals For / Game
2.2
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.7
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
3-6-1
W โ€” D โ€” L
6-1-3
Win Rate
30%
60%
3.6
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
๐ŸŽฏ
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
P0
0-0 2.9%
0-1 4.9%
0-2 4.2%
0-3 2.4%
0-4 1.0%
0-5 0.3%
P1
1-0 5.3%
1-1 9.0%
1-2 7.7%
1-3 4.4%
1-4 1.9%
1-5 0.6%
P2
2-0 4.9%
2-1 8.4%
2-2 7.1%
2-3 4.0%
2-4 1.7%
2-5 0.6%
P3
3-0 3.0%
3-1 5.2%
3-2 4.4%
3-3 2.5%
3-4 1.1%
3-5 0.4%
P4
4-0 1.4%
4-1 2.4%
4-2 2.0%
4-3 1.2%
4-4 0.5%
4-5 0.2%
P5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-1(9.0%) 2-1(8.4%) 1-2(7.7%)
โ–  Best match โ–  Possible โ–  Low ยท โ–  Contradicts tip P=Home goals โ†“   K=Away โ†’
๐Ÿ“ˆ
Team Ratings
Grades
PPJ
Overall
4.8 โ–ผ
Scoring
6.7 โ–ผ
Defence
6.0 โ–ผ
Kiffen
Overall
6.3 โ–ผ
Scoring
7.3 โ–ผ
Defence
4.3 โ–ผ
๐Ÿ”€
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Home Win & BTTS No 8%
Draw & BTTS Yes 18%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Away Win & BTTS No 17%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 6%
Draw & Over 2.5 21%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 36%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
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Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ€”
Kelly %
โ€”
Stake
โ€”
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
๐Ÿ“œ
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
25.04.26KAK
Kiffen0
PPJ4
16.08.25KAK
PPJ4
Kiffen1
13.06.25KAK
Kiffen2
PPJ0
07.03.25CF
PPJ2
Kiffen3
02.08.24KAK
PPJ2
Kiffen1
31.05.24KAK
Kiffen3
PPJ2
16.04.24CUP
Kiffen0
PPJ1
01.10.23KAK
Kiffen0
PPJ0
13.07.23KAK
PPJ1
Kiffen2
28.07.22KAK
Kiffen2
PPJ2
Recent Form
PPJ
27.06.26KAK
PEPO2
PPJ2
D
11.06.26KAK
PPJ3
Atlantis3
D
06.06.26KAK
MyPa1
PPJ3
W
31.05.26KAK
HPS2
PPJ2
D
22.05.26KAK
PPJ3
Lahden Reipas0
W
16.05.26KAK
Union Plaani2
PPJ2
D
09.05.26KAK
PPJ1
HIFK1
D
03.05.26KAK
PPJ0
PuiU0
D
29.04.26CUP
PPJ0
HJS1
L
25.04.26KAK
Kiffen0
PPJ4
W
Kiffen
27.06.26KAK
Kiffen3
Lahden Reipas2
W
12.06.26KAK
HPS1
Kiffen2
W
08.06.26KAK
Kiffen2
PuiU0
W
29.05.26KAK
Union Plaani0
Kiffen2
W
23.05.26KAK
Kiffen3
MyPa1
W
18.05.26KAK
HIFK3
Kiffen3
D
09.05.26KAK
PEPO2
Kiffen1
L
02.05.26KAK
Kiffen4
Atlantis1
W
25.04.26KAK
Kiffen0
PPJ4
L
19.04.26KAK
Lahden Reipas3
Kiffen2
L
PPJ (Home)
11.06.26KAK
PPJ3
Atlantis3
D
22.05.26KAK
PPJ3
Lahden Reipas0
W
09.05.26KAK
PPJ1
HIFK1
D
03.05.26KAK
PPJ0
PuiU0
D
29.04.26CUP
PPJ0
HJS1
L
17.04.26KAK
PPJ1
PEPO1
D
26.09.25KAK
PPJ5
NJS1
W
19.09.25KAK
PPJ5
Atlantis 20
W
06.09.25KAK
PPJ1
MuSa0
W
16.08.25KAK
PPJ4
Kiffen1
W
Kiffen (Away)
12.06.26KAK
HPS1
Kiffen2
W
29.05.26KAK
Union Plaani0
Kiffen2
W
18.05.26KAK
HIFK3
Kiffen3
D
09.05.26KAK
PEPO2
Kiffen1
L
19.04.26KAK
Lahden Reipas3
Kiffen2
L
13.09.25KAK
Ilves 25
Kiffen1
L
09.09.25KAK
TPV3
Kiffen2
L
30.08.25KAK
HJS3
Kiffen0
L
16.08.25KAK
PPJ4
Kiffen1
L
25.07.25KAK
HPS1
Kiffen0
L
๐Ÿ“
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 7th February 2026, PPJ host Kiffen at Jรคtkรคsaaren liikuntapuisto (Helsinki) in Finland Kakkonen A. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

PPJ arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Kiffen are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 1D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour PPJ, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Kiffen's 4, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.40 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Let me be honest with you about how this Finland Kakkonen A match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.

The home team rolls in on 2 wins, 3 draws from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.

Across from them, the away side brings 5 wins from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.

Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is Over 2.5 at @1.40, sitting at roughly 80% in our model. The match gets going at 5:00 pm over at Jรคtkรคsaaren liikuntapuisto (Helsinki).

That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today โ€” but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.

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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for PPJ vs Kiffen?
Our selection is Over 2.5 โ€” over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.40. Tip confidence rating: 76%.
What is PPJ's current form?
PPJ have won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Kiffen been performing recently?
Kiffen have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
PPJ lead with 4 wins versus Kiffen's 4, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
โš ๏ธ
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