WON Tip WON Raja Casablanca 1-0 Difaa El Jadidi
R

Raja Casablanca

Home
L W W W D
5W 3D 2L → Steady
VS
1-0
D
Difaa El Jadidi
Away
W W D L W
6W 3D 1L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Sunday, 3rd May 2026
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob 76.3% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +0.7% Value detected
Kelly % 2.8% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.31
Under 2.5 Goals70% Difaa El Jadidi Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Raja Casablanca vs Difaa El Jadidi Competition: Morocco Botola Pro Date: Sunday, 3rd May 2026 Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals) Odds: 1.31 Confidence: 77% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Difaa El Jadidi Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
7
Raja Casablanca
2
Draws
1
Difaa El Jadidi
10
Meetings
2.4
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 1.5 in 80% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Raja Casablanca
Metric
Difaa El Jadidi
1.5
Goals For / Game
1
0.6
Goals Against / Game
0.5
50%
Clean Sheets
60%
5-3-2
W — D — L
6-3-1
Win Rate
50%
60%
1.8
Avg Goals
55%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
D0
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
R0
0-0 16.5%
0-1 13.2%
0-2 5.3%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
R1
1-0 16.5%
1-1 13.2%
1-2 5.3%
1-3 1.4%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
R2
2-0 8.3%
2-1 6.6%
2-2 2.6%
2-3 0.7%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
R3
3-0 2.8%
3-1 2.2%
3-2 0.9%
3-3 0.2%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
R4
4-0 0.7%
4-1 0.6%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
R5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-0(16.5%) 1-0(16.5%) 0-1(13.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip R=Home goals ↓   D=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Raja Casablanca
Overall
5.9
Scoring
5.0
Defence
8.0
Difaa El Jadidi
Overall
6.9
Scoring
3.3
Defence
8.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 26%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 11%
Home Win & Under 2.5 25%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 13%
Away Win & Under 2.5 30%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
28.09.25BOT
Difaa El Jadidi0
Raja Casablanca2
08.05.25BOT
Raja Casablanca3
Difaa El Jadidi2
25.12.24BOT
Difaa El Jadidi2
Raja Casablanca0
23.06.23BOT
Raja Casablanca3
Difaa El Jadidi2
24.01.23BOT
Difaa El Jadidi0
Raja Casablanca0
06.05.22BOT
Raja Casablanca2
Difaa El Jadidi0
30.10.21BOT
Difaa El Jadidi0
Raja Casablanca2
24.06.21BOT
Raja Casablanca2
Difaa El Jadidi0
28.02.21BOT
Difaa El Jadidi0
Raja Casablanca0
20.09.20BOT
Raja Casablanca3
Difaa El Jadidi1
Recent Form
Raja Casablanca
30.04.26BOT
FAR Rabat2
Raja Casablanca1
L
26.04.26BOT
Raja Casablanca4
FUS Rabat1
W
07.03.26BOT
Raja Casablanca2
Olympique de Safi0
W
01.03.26BOT
Hassania Agadir0
Raja Casablanca1
W
25.02.26BOT
Berkane1
Raja Casablanca1
D
22.02.26BOT
Raja Casablanca2
IR Tanger0
W
13.02.26BOT
Raja Casablanca0
Yacoub El Mansour0
D
08.02.26BOT
COD Meknes1
Raja Casablanca0
L
01.02.26BOT
Raja Casablanca3
Renaissance Zemamra0
W
25.01.26BOT
Union Touarga1
Raja Casablanca1
D
Difaa El Jadidi
30.04.26BOT
Difaa El Jadidi2
Renaissance Zemamra1
W
25.04.26BOT
COD Meknes0
Difaa El Jadidi1
W
06.04.26BOT
Wydad AC1
Difaa El Jadidi1
D
08.03.26BOT
Berkane2
Difaa El Jadidi1
L
28.02.26BOT
Difaa El Jadidi2
Yacoub El Mansour1
W
21.02.26BOT
Kawkab Marrakech0
Difaa El Jadidi0
D
14.02.26BOT
Difaa El Jadidi1
Union Touarga0
W
31.01.26BOT
Difaa El Jadidi0
Maghreb Fez0
D
24.01.26BOT
Dcheira0
Difaa El Jadidi1
W
09.11.25BOT
Difaa El Jadidi1
FUS Rabat0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Sunday, 3rd May 2026, Raja Casablanca host Difaa El Jadidi in Morocco Botola Pro. We recommend over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

Raja Casablanca arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Difaa El Jadidi are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 3D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Raja Casablanca, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Difaa El Jadidi's 1, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 30% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.31 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Morocco Botola Pro match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing Over 1.5, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.31. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Raja Casablanca vs Difaa El Jadidi?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 77%.
What is Raja Casablanca's current form?
Raja Casablanca have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Difaa El Jadidi been performing recently?
Difaa El Jadidi have recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Raja Casablanca lead with 7 wins versus Difaa El Jadidi's 1, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
⚠️
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