S
Scotland
Home
L
W
W
W
L
6W 0D 4L
▲ Improving
VS
—
11:00 pm
Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, FL)
B
Brazil
Away
W
D
W
W
W
6W 2D 2L
▲ Improving
Scotland
20%
Draw
30%
Brazil
50%
H Fair Odds
5
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
2
Implied Prob
72.5%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-11.5%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Brazil to win
1.38
Over 2.5 Goals65%
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Scotland vs Brazil
Competition: World Cup 2026
Date: Wednesday, 24th June 2026
KO: 11:00 pm
Pick: 2 (Brazil to win)
Odds: 1.38
Confidence: 61%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%)
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Head to Head
Record
0
Scotland
1
Draws
4
Brazil
5
Meetings
2.2
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
Brazil won 4 of 5 meetings.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Scotland
Metric
Brazil
2
Goals For / Game
2.6
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.1
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
6-0-4
W — D — L
6-2-2
Win Rate
3.4
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
S0
0-0
3.3%
0-1
6.2%
0-2
5.7%
0-3
3.5%
0-4
1.6%
0-5
0.6%
S1
1-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
1-2
8.9%
1-3
5.5%
1-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
S2
2-0
4.0%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
6.9%
2-3
4.2%
2-4
2.0%
2-5
0.7%
S3
3-0
2.1%
3-1
3.8%
3-2
3.5%
3-3
2.2%
3-4
1.0%
3-5
0.4%
S4
4-0
0.8%
4-1
1.5%
4-2
1.4%
4-3
0.9%
4-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
S5
5-0
0.3%
5-1
0.5%
5-2
0.4%
5-3
0.3%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-2(8.9%)
0-1(6.2%)
0-2(5.7%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
S=Home goals ↓ B=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Scotland Win
5
20%
Draw
3.33
30%
Brazil Win
2
50%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
28%
Home Win & BTTS No
18%
Draw & BTTS Yes
5%
Draw & BTTS No
3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
28%
Away Win & BTTS No
18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
30%
Home Win & Under 2.5
16%
Draw & Over 2.5
5%
Draw & Under 2.5
3%
Away Win & Over 2.5
30%
Away Win & Under 2.5
16%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Brazil2
Scotland0
Brazil2
Scotland1
Brazil1
Scotland0
Brazil4
Scotland1
Scotland0
Brazil0
Recent Form
Scotland
Scotland0
Morocco1
Haiti0
Scotland1
Bolivia0
Scotland4
Scotland4
Curacao1
Scotland0
Ivory Coast1
Scotland0
Japan1
Scotland4
Denmark2
Greece3
Scotland2
Scotland2
Belarus1
Scotland3
Greece1
Brazil
Brazil3
Haiti0
Brazil1
Morocco1
Brazil2
Egypt1
Brazil6
Panama2
Brazil3
Croatia1
Brazil1
France2
Brazil1
Tunisia1
Brazil2
Senegal0
Japan3
Brazil2
South Korea0
Brazil5
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Wednesday, 24th June 2026, Scotland host Brazil at Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, FL) in World Cup 2026. We recommend Brazil to win as the standout selection.
Scotland arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Brazil are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 2D 2L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Scotland, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Brazil's 4, with 1 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.
Our verdict: brazil to win at odds of 1.38 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this World Cup 2026 match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 2 at @1.38, sitting at roughly 20,30,50% in our model. The match gets going at 11:00 pm over at Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, FL).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Scotland vs Brazil?
Our selection is 2 — Brazil to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 61%.
What is Scotland's current form?
Scotland have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Brazil been performing recently?
Brazil have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Scotland lead with 0 wins versus Brazil's 4, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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