S
SER Caxias
Home
W
L
W
D
W
4W 5D 1L
▲ Improving
VS
—
11:30 pm
Estadio Francisco Stedile (Caxias do Sul)
A
Anapolis
Away
W
L
L
W
D
4W 2D 4L
▲ Improving
SER Caxias
50%
Draw
30%
Anapolis
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
66.7%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
-11.7%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — SER Caxias to win
1.50
Under 2.5 Goals85%
BTTS — No70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
SER Caxias vs Anapolis
Competition: Brazil Serie C
Date: Tuesday, 30th June 2026
KO: 11:30 pm
Pick: 1 (SER Caxias to win)
Odds: 1.50
Confidence: 55%
Also: Under 2.5 Goals (85%)
Also: BTTS — No (70%)
Head to Head
Record
1
SER Caxias
0
Draws
0
Anapolis
1
Meetings
1
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip
SER Caxias won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
Stats Duel
Comparison
SER Caxias
Metric
Anapolis
1.2
Goals For / Game
0
0.7
Goals Against / Game
0
40%
Clean Sheets
0%
4-5-1
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate
1
Avg Goals
40%
Over 1.5
15%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
S0
0-0
38.7%
0-1
13.5%
0-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
0-4
0.0%
0-5
0.0%
S1
1-0
23.2%
1-1
8.1%
1-2
1.4%
1-3
0.2%
1-4
0.0%
1-5
0.0%
S2
2-0
7.0%
2-1
2.4%
2-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
2-4
0.0%
2-5
0.0%
S3
3-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
3-2
0.1%
3-3
0.0%
3-4
0.0%
3-5
0.0%
S4
4-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
4-2
0.0%
4-3
0.0%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
S5
5-0
0.0%
5-1
0.0%
5-2
0.0%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-0(23.2%)
2-0(7.0%)
2-1(2.4%)
■ Best match
■ Possible
■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip
S=Home goals ↓ A=Away →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
SER Caxias Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Anapolis Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
11%
Home Win & BTTS No
25%
Draw & BTTS Yes
9%
Draw & BTTS No
21%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
11%
Away Win & BTTS No
25%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
5%
Home Win & Under 2.5
30%
Draw & Over 2.5
5%
Draw & Under 2.5
26%
Away Win & Over 2.5
5%
Away Win & Under 2.5
30%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
SER Caxias1
Anápolis0
Recent Form
SER Caxias
SER Caxias1
Maringá FC |1
Guarani2
SER Caxias |1
SER Caxias2
Ituano |1
Maranhão0
SER Caxias |0
SER Caxias2
Paysandu PA |0
Barra FC0
SER Caxias |0
São Bernardo1
SER Caxias |1
Amazonas1
SER Caxias |1
SER Caxias2
Volta Redonda |0
SER Caxias2
Ypiranga FC |1
Anapolis
Anápolis2
Itabaiana |0
Amazonas1
Anápolis |0
Paysandu PA4
Anápolis |0
Anápolis3
Paysandu PA |1
Anápolis0
Maranhão |0
Rio Branco ES2
Anápolis |1
Brusque1
Anápolis |0
Anápolis3
Rio Branco ES |0
Anápolis1
Barra FC |1
Vila Nova FC1
Anápolis (pens 3 - 4) |1
SER Caxias (Home)
SER Caxias1
Maringá FC |1
SER Caxias2
Ituano |1
SER Caxias2
Paysandu PA |0
SER Caxias2
Volta Redonda |0
SER Caxias2
Ypiranga FC |1
SER Caxias1
Confiança |0
SER Caxias1
Juventude |0
SER Caxias0
Operário-PR |0
SER Caxias0
Guarany de Bagé |1
SER Caxias0
São Luiz (pens 2 - 3) |1
Anapolis (Away)
Amazonas1
Anápolis |0
Paysandu PA4
Anápolis |0
Rio Branco ES2
Anápolis |1
Brusque1
Anápolis |0
Vila Nova FC1
Anápolis (pens 3 - 4) |1
Paysandu PA2
Anápolis |1
Ferroviária1
Anápolis |0
Ypiranga FC3
Anápolis |0
Gama2
Anápolis |1
Ituano2
Anápolis |0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Tuesday, 30th June 2026, SER Caxias host Anapolis at Estadio Francisco Stedile (Caxias do Sul) in Brazil Serie C. We recommend SER Caxias to win as the standout selection.
SER Caxias arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Anapolis are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 2D 4L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour SER Caxias, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Anapolis's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.
Our verdict: ser caxias to win at odds of 1.50 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this Brazil Serie C match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1 at @1.50, sitting at roughly 50,30,20% in our model. The match gets going at 11:30 pm over at Estadio Francisco Stedile (Caxias do Sul).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today — but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for SER Caxias vs Anapolis?
Our selection is 1 — SER Caxias to win, priced at approximately 1.50. Tip confidence rating: 55%.
What is SER Caxias's current form?
SER Caxias have won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Anapolis been performing recently?
Anapolis have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
SER Caxias lead with 1 wins versus Anapolis's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
Bet Responsibly. StraightWinOdds provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.