S
Shanghai Port
Home
D
L
W
W
L
3W 5D 2L
โผ Declining
VS
โ
12:00 pm
โ
Pudong Football Stadium (Shanghai)
S
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Away
L
W
L
L
W
4W 1D 5L
โผ Declining
Implied Prob
89.3%
Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge
+0.7%
Value detected
Kelly %
6.7%
Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1X โ Shanghai Port to win or draw
1.12
Over 2.5 Goals70%
Over 1.5 Goals90%
BTTS โ Yes75%
๐ Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Competition: China FA Cup
Date: Tuesday, 21st July 2026
KO: 12:00 pm
Pick: 1X (Shanghai Port to win or draw)
Odds: 1.12
Confidence: 90%
Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%)
Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
Also: BTTS โ Yes (75%)
Head to Head
Record
4
Shanghai Port
1
Draws
0
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
5
Meetings
3.4
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Neutral
Insufficient H2H data.
Stats Duel
Comparison
Shanghai Port
Metric
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1.6
Goals For / Game
1.5
1.5
Goals Against / Game
1.6
10%
Clean Sheets
10%
3-5-2
W โ D โ L
4-1-5
Win Rate
3.1
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Rate
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
S0
0-0
4.5%
0-1
6.8%
0-2
5.1%
0-3
2.5%
0-4
1.0%
0-5
0.3%
S1
1-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
1-2
8.1%
1-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
S2
2-0
5.8%
2-1
8.7%
2-2
6.5%
2-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
S3
3-0
3.1%
3-1
4.6%
3-2
3.5%
3-3
1.7%
3-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
S4
4-0
1.2%
4-1
1.9%
4-2
1.4%
4-3
0.7%
4-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
S5
5-0
0.4%
5-1
0.6%
5-2
0.4%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Scores
1-1(10.8%)
2-1(8.7%)
1-0(7.2%)
โ Best match
โ Possible
โ Low ยท โ Contradicts tip
S=Home goals โ S=Away โ
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
23%
Home Win & BTTS No
8%
Draw & BTTS Yes
23%
Draw & BTTS No
8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
30%
Away Win & BTTS No
10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
21%
Home Win & Under 2.5
9%
Draw & Over 2.5
21%
Draw & Under 2.5
9%
Away Win & Over 2.5
28%
Away Win & Under 2.5
12%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
โ
Kelly %
โ
Stake
โ
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
Shanghai Port1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1
Shanghai Port2
Shanghai Port3
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1
Shanghai Port2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng0
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng0
Shanghai Port6
Recent Form
Shanghai Port
Yunnan Yukun2
Shanghai Port2
Qingdao West Coast2
Shanghai Port1
Henan Songshan Longmen1
Shanghai Port2
Shanghai Second1
Shanghai Port2
Liaoning Tieren3
Shanghai Port2
Shanghai Port1
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1
Chengdu Rongcheng0
Shanghai Port1
Shanghai Port2
Zhejiang Professional2
Beijing Guoan2
Shanghai Port2
Shanghai Port1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Wuhan Three Towns2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng0
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng3
Qingdao West Coast0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger3
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng0
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng2
Chengdu Rongcheng3
Shenzhen Juniors1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng3
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng3
Qingdao Hainiu2
Shanghai Shenhua1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1
Dalian Yingbo1
Henan Songshan Longmen1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng0
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1
Shandong Taishan2
Shanghai Port (Home)
Shanghai Port1
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1
Shanghai Port2
Zhejiang Professional2
Shanghai Port1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1
Shanghai Port4
Wuhan Three Towns0
Shanghai Port1
Chongqing Tonglianglong2
Shanghai Port2
Yunnan Yukun1
Shanghai Port4
Qingdao West Coast1
Shanghai Port1
Henan Songshan Longmen2
Shanghai Port0
Beijing Guoan2
Shanghai Port0
Ulsan HD0
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng (Away)
Wuhan Three Towns2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger3
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng0
Shenzhen Juniors1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng3
Shanghai Shenhua1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng2
Henan Songshan Longmen1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng0
Shanghai Port1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1
Zhejiang Professional2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1
Chongqing Tonglianglong2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng0
Qingdao West Coast1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng0
Chengdu Rongcheng5
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Tuesday, 21st July 2026, Shanghai Port host Shenzhen Xinpengcheng at Pudong Football Stadium (Shanghai) in China FA Cup. We recommend Shanghai Port to win or draw as the standout selection.
Shanghai Port arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 1D 5L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Shanghai Port, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Shenzhen Xinpengcheng's 0, with 1 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.
Our verdict: shanghai port to win or draw at odds of 1.12 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Let me be honest with you about how this China FA Cup match looks once you strip away the noise. The pundits will give you a narrative. We are going to give you the evidence and let you decide whether it adds up.
The home team rolls in on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. Now, plenty of people will see that and stop reading, which is exactly the mistake the bookmakers are counting on. A recent run only means something when you understand why it happened. Were the wins built on solid defending and clinical finishing, or did they ride their luck and survive a couple of scares? Five matches is enough of a sample to spot the difference, and the difference is where the money is.
Across from them, the away side brings 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games on their travels. Road form is the great separator in this sport. A team that knows how to grind out a result in someone else’s backyard is worth a completely different price than one that folds the moment things get uncomfortable. We have watched closely for which of those two this lot resembles right now.
Put the home and away pictures side by side and the value reveals itself. The bookies have set their line; we think it is a touch off. Our angle is 1X at @1.12, sitting at roughly 90% in our model. The match gets going at 12:00 pm over at Pudong Football Stadium (Shanghai).
That is the read. Take it, leave it, or fold it into a slip with our other tips today โ but at least now you know the reasoning behind it.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Shanghai Port vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng?
Our selection is 1X โ Shanghai Port to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.12. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Shanghai Port's current form?
Shanghai Port have won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Shenzhen Xinpengcheng been performing recently?
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Shanghai Port lead with 4 wins versus Shenzhen Xinpengcheng's 0, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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