WON Tip WON Sonderjyske 1-2 Midtjylland
S

Sonderjyske

Home
L L D L D
2W 4D 4L → Steady
VS
1-2
M
Midtjylland
Away
W W D D L
4W 4D 2L → Steady
StraightWinOdds Selection · Thursday, 23rd April 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob 67.1% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +10.9% Value detected
Kelly % 33.1% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
3
Sonderjyske
2
Draws
5
Midtjylland
10
Meetings
4.9
Avg Goals
90%
BTTS
90%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 90% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Sonderjyske
Metric
Midtjylland
1
Goals For / Game
1.4
1.9
Goals Against / Game
0.9
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
2-4-4
W — D — L
4-4-2
Win Rate
20%
40%
2.6
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
S0
0-0 7.4%
0-1 12.3%
0-2 10.1%
0-3 5.6%
0-4 2.3%
0-5 0.8%
S1
1-0 7.1%
1-1 11.6%
1-2 9.6%
1-3 5.3%
1-4 2.2%
1-5 0.7%
S2
2-0 3.4%
2-1 5.5%
2-2 4.6%
2-3 2.5%
2-4 1.0%
2-5 0.3%
S3
3-0 1.1%
3-1 1.8%
3-2 1.4%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
S4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.4%
4-2 0.3%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(12.3%) 1-1(11.6%) 0-2(10.1%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   M=Away →
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Team Ratings
Grades
Sonderjyske
Overall
3.2
Scoring
3.3
Defence
3.7
Midtjylland
Overall
5.2
Scoring
4.7
Defence
7.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Home Win & BTTS No 9%
Draw & BTTS Yes 22%
Draw & BTTS No 18%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 10%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 20%
Draw & Under 2.5 20%
Away Win & Over 2.5 20%
Away Win & Under 2.5 20%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
04.04.26SL
Midtjylland2
Sonderjyske2
09.01.26CF
Sonderjyske3
Midtjylland6
23.11.25SL
Sonderjyske2
Midtjylland1
28.07.25SL
Midtjylland6
Sonderjyske2
20.10.24SL
Sonderjyske3
Midtjylland2
24.08.24SL
Midtjylland3
Sonderjyske2
29.06.24CF
Midtjylland2
Sonderjyske2
24.10.21SL
Midtjylland3
Sonderjyske2
13.08.21SL
Sonderjyske0
Midtjylland2
15.04.21CUP
Sonderjyske3
Midtjylland1
Recent Form
Sonderjyske
17.04.26SL
Brondby6
Sonderjyske0
L
12.04.26SL
Sonderjyske0
Viborg2
L
04.04.26SL
Midtjylland2
Sonderjyske2
D
22.03.26SL
Nordsjaelland2
Sonderjyske0
L
15.03.26SL
Sonderjyske1
Aarhus1
D
01.03.26SL
Sonderjyske1
Odense0
W
23.02.26SL
Brondby0
Sonderjyske0
D
16.02.26SL
Sonderjyske2
Silkeborg1
W
08.02.26SL
Nordsjaelland2
Sonderjyske1
L
30.01.26CF
Sonderjyske3
Aalborg3
D
Midtjylland
20.04.26SL
Midtjylland2
Aarhus1
W
12.04.26SL
Brondby1
Midtjylland2
W
04.04.26SL
Midtjylland2
Sonderjyske2
D
22.03.26SL
Viborg1
Midtjylland1
D
19.03.26UEL
Midtjylland1
Nottingham Forest2
L
15.03.26SL
Midtjylland0
Nordsjaelland1
L
12.03.26UEL
Nottingham Forest0
Midtjylland1
W
08.03.26CUP
Midtjylland1
Aarhus1
D
01.03.26SL
Midtjylland0
Brondby0
D
22.02.26SL
Silkeborg0
Midtjylland4
W
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Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 23rd April 2026, Sonderjyske host Midtjylland in Denmark Superliga. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Sonderjyske arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Midtjylland are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 4D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Sonderjyske, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Midtjylland's 5, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 90% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.49 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Denmark Superliga match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing Over 2.5, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.49. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Sonderjyske vs Midtjylland?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.49. Tip confidence rating: 78%.
What is Sonderjyske's current form?
Sonderjyske have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Midtjylland been performing recently?
Midtjylland have recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Sonderjyske lead with 3 wins versus Midtjylland's 5, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 90%.
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