WON Tip WON Sunderland U21 3-1 Arsenal U21
S

Sunderland U21

Home
L W W W W
7W 1D 2L โ–ผ Declining
VS
3-1
A
Arsenal U21
Away
L D L W W
4W 2D 4L โ–ผ Declining
StraightWinOdds Selection ยท Monday, 23rd March 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob 73.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +16.5% Value detected
Kelly % 62.2% Suggested bankroll %
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Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 โ€” over 2.5 goals
1.36
Over 2.5 Goals70%
๐Ÿ“‹ Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Sunderland U21 vs Arsenal U21 Competition: Premier League 2 Date: Monday, 23rd March 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.36 Confidence: 90% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%)
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Head to Head
Record
2
Sunderland U21
0
Draws
1
Arsenal U21
3
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 100% of H2H.
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Sunderland U21
Metric
Arsenal U21
2.5
Goals For / Game
1.4
1.6
Goals Against / Game
1.9
20%
Clean Sheets
40%
7-1-2
W โ€” D โ€” L
4-2-4
Win Rate
70%
40%
3.7
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
S0
0-0 2.5%
0-1 3.7%
0-2 2.8%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.2%
S1
1-0 5.4%
1-1 8.2%
1-2 6.1%
1-3 3.1%
1-4 1.2%
1-5 0.3%
S2
2-0 6.0%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 6.7%
2-3 3.4%
2-4 1.3%
2-5 0.4%
S3
3-0 4.4%
3-1 6.6%
3-2 4.9%
3-3 2.5%
3-4 0.9%
3-5 0.3%
S4
4-0 2.4%
4-1 3.6%
4-2 2.7%
4-3 1.4%
4-4 0.5%
4-5 0.2%
S5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 1.6%
5-2 1.2%
5-3 0.6%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(9.0%) 1-1(8.2%) 2-2(6.7%)
โ–  Best match โ–  Possible โ–  Low ยท โ–  Contradicts tip S=Home goals โ†“   A=Away โ†’
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Team Ratings
Grades
Sunderland U21
Overall
7.3 โ–ผ
Scoring
8.3 โ–ผ
Defence
4.7 โ–ผ
Arsenal U21
Overall
4.6 โ€”
Scoring
4.7 โ€”
Defence
3.7 โ€”
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Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Home Win & BTTS No 25%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 39%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 22%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
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Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
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Kelly %
โ€”
Stake
โ€”
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
16.12.24
PL2: Arsenal U211
Sunderland U212
18.12.23
PL2: Sunderland U211
Arsenal U212
02.12.13
PL2: Arsenal U211
Sunderland U215
Recent Form
Sunderland U21
14.03.26
PL2: Chelsea U214
Sunderland U210
L
09.03.26
PL2: Sunderland U215
Leeds U212
W
06.03.26
PLC: Sunderland U213
Watford U211
W
02.03.26
PL2: Crystal Palace U210
Sunderland U211
W
20.02.26
PL2: Everton U211
Sunderland U212
W
11.02.26
PLC: Nottingham U211
Sunderland U216
W
06.02.26
PL2: Brighton U210
Sunderland U212
W
01.02.26
PL2: Sunderland U213
Leicester U212
W
26.01.26
PL2: Wolves U212
Sunderland U212
D
21.01.26
PLIC: Sunderland U211
Dortmund II3
L
Arsenal U21
13.03.26
PL2: Arsenal U211
Leicester City U215
L
06.03.26
PL2: Norwich City U212
Arsenal U212
D
27.02.26
PL2: Arsenal U210
Ipswich Town U211
L
23.02.26
PL2: Reading U211
Arsenal U214
W
13.02.26
PL2: Arsenal U211
Newcastle United U210
W
06.02.26
PL2: Arsenal U210
Everton U210
D
01.02.26
PL2: Leeds United U210
Arsenal U214
W
23.01.26
PL2: Arsenal U211
Burnley U210
W
17.01.26
PL2: Liverpool U217
Arsenal U210
L
11.11.25
TRO: Cardiff3
Arsenal U211
L
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Match Analysis
Writeup

On Monday, 23rd March 2026, Sunderland U21 host Arsenal U21 in Premier League 2. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Sunderland U21 arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Arsenal U21 are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 2D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Sunderland U21, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Arsenal U21's 1, with 0 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.36 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Betting on football gets a whole lot easier when you stop listening to your gut and start paying attention to what the numbers are actually saying. This upcoming Premier League 2 match is the perfect excuse to tune out the noise, forget about which club you normally root for, and just dig into the hard facts. We always begin by checking out the home team.

Sure, their overall record for the season dictates the early betting lines, but that only tells half the story. The real secret to finding a good bet is looking closely at their most recent games. That recent action tells us everything we need to know about how well they are attacking and whether their defense is holding up under pressure right now.

Then, you have to give the away team the exact same level of attention. You need to take a step back, look at how they have played across the entire season, and compare that to their performances over the last couple of weeks. Doing this helps you spot situations where the bookies might have priced them completely wrong.

On top of all that, history matters heavily in these matchups. Past meetings between these specific clubs often reveal hidden patterns and playing styles that basic stats just completely miss. When you combine those past head-to-head results with how both sides are playing today, you get a really clear picture of how the 90 minutes will unfold.

Taking all of this into account, the smartest move here is backing Over 2.5, especially with the fantastic value sitting at @1.36. Once the game gets underway, all we can do is sit back, watch the action, and let the final score show if our math was right on the money. Check out our other daily tips for more smart bets.

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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Sunderland U21 vs Arsenal U21?
Our selection is Over 2.5 โ€” over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Sunderland U21's current form?
Sunderland U21 have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Arsenal U21 been performing recently?
Arsenal U21 have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Sunderland U21 lead with 2 wins versus Arsenal U21's 1, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
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